ICNTUSDT rose 90% into Aug 3. The record covers the whole lead-up.

Move window: 2026-07-31 21:00 to 2026-08-03 07:00 UTC. The record for ICNTUSDT currently ends 2026-08-03 00:00 UTC.

This move ran past the end of the record, so the counts below cover the lead-up and the covered part of the move. The rest joins the record after tonight’s rebuild.

VWAP distance · day ≤ -0.039

feature.vwap_dist

Read at 4 hours before the move.

Minutes like this appeared 49 times in the 43,201 minutes searched (0.1%). What followed was close to a coin flip: 23 rose and 26 fell over the next 30 minutes (49 of the 49 matches have a complete 30 minutes forward).

Of the 49 fires, 45 came before the move began and 4 happened while it was already under way. A fire during the move sees it; it does not telegraph it.

About 1.6 a day, on 14 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.

q#7b56fcf4 @ dataset b91f2197

Best supported: VWAP distance · day ≤ -0.039, the combination with the most fires before the move began.

Opens this exact search in the research tool. Nothing runs until you confirm it there, and arming it as an alert sends a message when it next becomes true.

Picked in hindsight: the counts include every other time these readings appeared, not just this move.

What the minutes before it looked like

Where these readings were taken
record endsthe move beginsreadings taken here0.211800.102200.150190.22072Jul 30 19:00Jul 31 21:00Aug 3 09:00UTC · log price scale

Hourly candles. The marked lines are the minutes the readings came from: 1 minute, 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours and 24 hours before the move began. Every one of them sits before the move, never inside it.

A reading stands out when it sits outside the range it usually holds. The rules are fixed: the same ones the moment reader on the research page uses.

At 1 minute before the move, 5 of the 33 readings stood out. 2026-07-31 20:59 UTC
READINGBEFORE THE MOVESEARCHES FOR
Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m0.466≤ 0.47
Engulfing · 15m feature.candle_engulfing_15mbearishbearish
Sweep + reclaim · 1h feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_1hbullishbullish
VPIN regime feature.vpin_regimeelevatedelevated
VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist-0.03058≤ -0.03
At 15 minutes before the move, 5 of the 33 readings stood out. 2026-07-31 20:45 UTC
READINGBEFORE THE MOVESEARCHES FOR
Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m0.466≤ 0.47
Engulfing · 15m feature.candle_engulfing_15mbearishbearish
Sweep + reclaim · 1h feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_1hbullishbullish
Taker buy share · 15m feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m0.3037≤ 0.31
VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist-0.03628≤ -0.036
At 1 hour before the move, 5 of the 33 readings stood out. 2026-07-31 20:00 UTC
READINGBEFORE THE MOVESEARCHES FOR
Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance0.8474≥ 0.84
Sweep + reclaim · 1h feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_1hbullishbullish
Return · 15m feature.ret_15m0.01084≥ 0.01
Return · 1h feature.ret_1h0.02473≥ 0.024
VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist-0.02637≤ -0.026
At 4 hours before the move, 1 of the 33 readings stood out. 2026-07-31 17:00 UTC
READINGBEFORE THE MOVESEARCHES FOR
VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist-0.03925≤ -0.039
At 24 hours before the move, 1 of the 33 readings stood out. 2026-07-30 21:00 UTC
READINGBEFORE THE MOVESEARCHES FOR
Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m0.4364≤ 0.44

Also counted

This is not a similarity search. Each count matches the exact readings above and nothing else.

Compression · 15m ≤ 0.47 and Engulfing · 15m bearish and Sweep + reclaim · 1h bullish

feature.candle_compression_15m + feature.candle_engulfing_15m + feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_1h

Read at 1 minute before the move.

Minutes like this appeared only 1 time in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed leaned up: 1 of the 1 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward rose (100%).

Its one fire came before the move began.

About 0 a day over 31 days, but 2026-07-31 alone holds 100% of them: this is close to a single episode.

q#0f1f5a35 @ dataset b91f2197

Book imbalance · top levels ≥ 0.84 and Sweep + reclaim · 1h bullish and Return · 15m ≥ 0.01

feature.book_imbalance + feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_1h + feature.ret_15m

Read at 1 hour before the move.

Minutes like this appeared only 7 times in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed leaned down: 6 of the 7 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward fell (86%).

Of the 7 fires, 7 came before the move began; none were during it.

About 0.2 a day, on 6 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.

q#87c9dc6c @ dataset b91f2197

Fires often arrive as clusters of consecutive minutes, and forward windows overlap. A cluster is one episode, not many independent trials.

If these counts read weaker than the move suggested, that is the tool working: the lead-up of a picked move always looks special until it is counted everywhere else.