USELESSUSDT rose into Sep 1
+102%
Exact setup countedLower wick · 15m ≥ 0.65 and Sweep + reclaim · 1h bearish and Cascade clustering ≥ 0.54 · Read at 1 minute before the move.
Usually lower after 30 minutes: 2 of 3 completed matches fell.
Both are true: these readings sat before this rise, and the other times they appeared, what followed more often fell. That disagreement is the finding: a lead-up that looks special is not the same as one that usually comes before rises.
Evidence and counting
Read at 1 minute before the move.
Of the 3 fires, 3 came before the move began; none were during it.
About 0.1 a day, on 3 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
This is not a similarity search. Each count matches the exact readings above and nothing else.
Picked in hindsight: the counts include every other time these readings appeared, not just this move.
Fires often arrive as clusters of consecutive minutes, and forward windows overlap. A cluster is one episode, not many independent trials.
If these counts read weaker than the move suggested, that is the tool working: the lead-up of a picked move always looks special until it is counted everywhere else.
What the minutes before it looked like
Hourly candles. The marked lines are the minutes the readings came from: 1 minute, 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours and 24 hours before the move began. Every one of them sits before the move, never inside it.
A reading stands out when it sits outside the range it usually holds. The rules are fixed: the same ones the moment reader on the research page uses.
No recorded readings at 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours, 24 hours before the move.
- -1m2026-08-29 17:59 UTC
At 1 minute before the move, 3 of the 39 readings stood out.
Lower wick · 15m ≥ 0.65Sweep + reclaim · 1h bearishCascade clustering ≥ 0.54Show the full readings
READING BEFORE THE MOVE SEARCHES FOR Lower wick · 15m feature.candle_lower_wick_15m 0.6552 ≥ 0.65 Sweep + reclaim · 1h feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_1h bearish bearish Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.5411 ≥ 0.54
Also counted
Every night the record counts what fired and what usually followed: the daily brief.
No account? Replay a real move tick by tick, free: TUT short squeeze · 9 Aug 2026.