Daily brief

August 16, 2026: what fired, and what usually follows

Every night, the market states EdgeDepth tracks are counted against the full record. When one fired, this page shows what usually followed the previous times it fired on that market, and links the moment itself for replay. Counts first, each with its size, straight from the record.

Short squeeze on PORTALUSDT

POR04:47 UTC
PEAK MOVE+36.4%NET MOVE+8.2%LIQUIDATED$1.17M

PORTALUSDT rose 36.4% intraperiod, then round-tripped to finish 8.2% above its starting price.

WATCH ITWatch the replayReplays from the last 7 days play free with an account.

Pump on PORTALUSDT

POR08:42 UTC
PEAK MOVE+34.1%NET MOVE+14.6%LIQUIDATED$226K

PORTALUSDT rose as much as 34.1% and finished 14.6% above its starting price.

WATCH ITWatch the replayReplays from the last 7 days play free with an account.

OI accelerating into liquidations

BTCBTCUSDT · 21:41 UTC
WHAT FIRED

OI accelerating into liquidations fired on BTCUSDT at 21:41 UTC.

WHAT USUALLY FOLLOWS

The 1,442 previous times this happened on BTCUSDT, the median move over the next 24 hours was -0.13%, with a typical worst drawdown of -1.51% (1,439 of 1,442 with a complete 24h).

Over the last 30 days, 5 of 100 of these closed 2% or more higher within a day (5.0%). Across the 39,457 BTCUSDT minutes when it was not present, 832 did (2.1%).

Why the counts matter
WATCH ITWatch the replayReplays from the last 7 days play free with an account.

Swept the lows and reclaimed (1h)

ADAADAUSDT · 23:00 UTC
WHAT FIRED

Swept the lows and reclaimed (1h) fired on ADAUSDT at 23:00 UTC. It fired 3 times on this market during the day; the latest is linked below. It also fired on AVAXUSDT, BNBUSDT, BTCUSDT, LINKUSDT and 2 other markets.

WHAT USUALLY FOLLOWS

The 592 previous times this happened on ADAUSDT, the median move over the next 24 hours was -0.31%, with a typical worst drawdown of -2.71% (589 of 592 with a complete 24h).

Over the last 30 days, 8 of 38 of these closed 2% or more higher within a day (21.1%). Across the 37,971 ADAUSDT minutes when it was not present, 8,938 did (23.5%).

Why the counts matter
WATCH ITWatch the replayReplays from the last 7 days play free with an account.

Crowd long, leaders not

XRPXRPUSDT · 18:21 UTC
WHAT FIRED

Crowd long, leaders not fired on XRPUSDT at 18:21 UTC. It also fired on SOLUSDT.

WHAT USUALLY FOLLOWS

The 199 previous times this happened on XRPUSDT, the median move over the next 24 hours was -0.09%, with a typical worst drawdown of -1.66% (198 of 199 with a complete 24h).

Over the last 30 days, 2 of 30 of these closed 2% or more higher within a day (6.7%). Across the 15,785 XRPUSDT minutes when it was not present, 832 did (5.3%).

Why the counts matter
WATCH ITWatch the replayReplays from the last 7 days play free with an account.

Checked across 75 markets and 21 tracked market states. Ask this page again tomorrow: same answer for this day.

Observed examples in a selected archive, not a guarantee. Nothing here is trading advice.

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