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RESEARCH/SYMBOLS/BTCUSDT
READ 2026-07-31 04:27:47 UTC · BUCKET 23:59 · DATASET rev 2f4c3411

BTCUSDTMeasured state and what followed

BTC / TETHER USD · BINANCE USDT-M PERPETUAL · ONE OF 683 MARKETS RECORDED

76 DAYS RECORDED · SINCE 2026-05-15
64303.1
+0.36% · 24H
LAST COMPLETE 1M CLOSE · 04:39 UTC · NOT A LIVE TICK
Open BTCUSDT in the terminal
Right now · BTCUSDT

Buyers are dominating the tape.

The 809 previous times this happened on BTCUSDT, the median move over the next 24 hours was -0.07%, with a typical worst drawdown of -1.24% (799 of 809 with a complete 24h).

1 of the 6 market states we track is active on BTCUSDT right now, measured over the minute ending 23:59 UTC.

Measured from 76 days of recorded BTC market data. Ask any number below again tomorrow: same answer.> HOW OUR PUBLISHED CLAIMS HAVE HELD UP
REPLAY MOMENT PRO: OLDER REPLAYMODELLED MAPTRACKED POSITIONS · HYPERLIQUID
6726964163610565794964303 NOW
30 DAYS · BINANCE 4H CANDLES · DIAMONDS REPLAY THE EXACT MOMENT A RULE FIREDMAP TO 04:35 UTC · lf.v2SEMI-LIVE · READ 04:40:20 UTCUNLOCK 23 OLDER MARKERS
65230 (+1.4%) $17.86M · 62900 (-2.2%) $6.84M · 61735 (-4.0%) $6.16M$63.34M OF TRACKED POSITIONS ON THIS CHART · $439.25M IN 77 CLUSTERS BEYOND ITS PRICE RANGE
> What the shaded rows and the bars are

Shaded rows mark prices where leveraged positions would be forced to close if price gets there, built from this market's own price and volume. A map of fuel, not a prediction: it says nothing about whether price will go there.

The bars on the right are real positions we can currently see on Hyperliquid, a different exchange. They are not all open interest, and they are a snapshot of this minute rather than a history.

Across $1.45B of real liquidations, the brightest tenth of this map captured about 22% of the dollars - roughly twice what nearness to price alone explains.

Watch these levels move live
State · the last measured minute

What BTCUSDT is doing right now

33 FEATURES, EACH COMPARED WITH ITS OWN 76-DAY RECORD · P82 = HIGHER THAN ON 82% OF THIS MARKET'S RECORDED MINUTES

Get a live readSIGN IN · FREE · THE LIVE READ IS THIS MINUTE; THIS PAGE READS THE RECORD
FlowTAPE · TOXICITY · PRICE · 10 FEATURES
Toxic flow (VPIN)0.37P88
VPIN regimeNORMAL·
Taker buy share · 15m0.68P98
Large-trade share · 15m0.23P19
Return · 15m-0.01%P47
Return · 1h+0.07%P62
Range · 1h0.28%P16
Realized vol · 1h0.04%P43
Realized vol percentile0.18P18
VWAP distance · day-0.18%P34
Book3 FEATURES
Book imbalance · top levels83% ASKP18
Book imbalance percentile0.15P15
Spread · normalized0.00P53
Key moments · fired rulesLAST 30 DAYS
07-29 08:15Swept the lows and reclaimed ▸ REPLAY
07-28 20:30Swept the lows and reclaimed ▸ REPLAY
07-27 13:12Book tipped hard to one side ▸ REPLAY
07-26 16:29Liquidations burst above baseline ▸ REPLAY
07-25 08:50Liquidations burst above baseline ▸ REPLAY
07-24 19:15Swept the lows and reclaimed ▸ REPLAY
07-23 16:45Swept the lows and reclaimed REPLAYPRO
07-22 12:50Liquidations burst above baseline REPLAYPRO
ANCHORS INSIDE THE 7-DAY FREE WINDOW (SINCE 2026-07-24) REPLAY FREE WITH AN ACCOUNT · OLDER ANCHORS ARE PRO · MARKER + 30M PRE-ROLL
DerivativesFUNDING · OI · LIQUIDATIONS · POSITIONING · 10 FEATURES
Funding rate · 8h+0.0037%P41
Funding · normalized0.12P39
Minutes to funding1SETTLES 00:00 UTC
OI velocity percentile0.17P17
Liquidation intensity0.00ZERO 91% OF THE TIME
Liq notional · 1h$4KP04
Cascade clustering0.59P47
Top-trader long share61.3%P90
Global long share60.9%P48
Top vs crowd skew0.4 PTSP80
CandlesLAST COMPLETED 15M + 1H · 10 FEATURES
Body share · 15m0.01P51
Body share · 1h0.31P68
Upper wick · 15m0.23P50
Lower wick · 15m0.76P98
Compression · 15m0.64P24
Engulfing · 15mNONE·
Engulfing · 1hNONE·
Sweep + reclaim · 15mFALSE·
Sweep + reclaim · 1hFALSE·
Containment · 15mNONE·
CANDLE FEATURES READ THE LAST COMPLETED CANDLE, NEVER THE ONE FORMING · NO COMPLETED CANDLE: SHOWN AS ABSENT, NEVER GUESSED
SNAPSHOT KEY · v2 · nrm.v1 · ft.v1 · rev 2f4c3411 · q#d0acc1e4SAME KEY, SAME BYTES · THE CACHE KEY IS THE RE-RUN PROOF> RUN THIS READ OVER THE API> WHAT THESE FEATURES MEASURE
What followed · counted on the record

Market states BTCUSDT is in right now

The same six market states are checked on every symbol page. One is active on BTCUSDT right now. For each: how often it has occurred on this market first (the base rate), then what followed each prior occurrence, measured forward over fixed horizons.

1 OF 6 ACTIVE NOW · 5 NOT ACTIVE · 0 NOT MEASURABLE> THE CONDITIONS INDEX: EVERY CONDITION, EVERY SYMBOL
THIS PAGE COUNTS THE FULL RECORD TO DATE: 2026-05-15 TO 2026-07-29 (76 DAYS), GROWING DAILY.

One-sided tape: buyers

feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m>= 0.62EDGE-TRIGGEREDDEDUPE PT1H
TRUE NOW · ENTERED 23:24 UTC · 35M IN STATE⚡ Arm for BTCUSDT
BASE RATE · THIS SYMBOL
9,307 OF 109,396 (8.51%)
ELIGIBLE BTCUSDT MINUTES · 2026-05-15 TO 2026-07-29
1,725 MINUTES EXCLUDED: WARMUP-ABSENT FEATURES SHRINK THE DENOMINATOR, NEVER COERCED TO 0
809 OCCURRENCES · EDGE-TRIGGERED (TRUE AFTER FALSE) · REPEAT FIRES CONSOLIDATED
+ SHOW OCCURRENCES PER DAY- OCCURRENCES PER DAY · UTC · SUM 809 · ZERO DAYS KEEP THEIR SLOT

After the 809 prior times, BTCUSDT’s median 24h was -0.07% with a typical -1.24% drawdown (799 of 809 with a complete 24h).

HorizonComputableMedian fwdMedian MFEMedian MAEReached >= +2%Reached <= -2%
30m808 · 1 PENDING-0.00%+0.13%-0.12%2 OF 808 (0.2%)0 OF 808 (0.0%)
1h807 · 2 PENDING-0.00%+0.19%-0.19%2 OF 807 (0.2%)1 OF 807 (0.1%)
4h805 · 4 PENDING-0.04%+0.38%-0.44%20 OF 806 (2.5%)31 OF 806 (3.8%)
24h799 · 10 PENDING-0.07%+0.99%-1.24%158 OF 799 (19.8%)237 OF 799 (29.7%)
A COMMON CONDITION WITH A FLAT DISTRIBUTION IS A FINDING: THE COUNT SAYS HOW OFTEN, NOT WHAT TO DOMFE / MAE: MAXIMUM FAVORABLE / ADVERSE EXCURSION FROM ANCHOR, PAST TENSE · PENDING = HORIZON NOT YET CLOSED AT THE RECORD EDGE
+ SHOW THE FULL LADDER · 1H · +/-1/2/5/10/15/20%- THRESHOLD LADDER · 1H · CLOSED LIST +/-1/2/5/10/15/20%
>= +1%23 OF 807>= +2%2 OF 807>= +5%0 OF 807>= +10%0 OF 807>= +15%0 OF 807>= +20%0 OF 807<= -1%21 OF 807<= -2%1 OF 807<= -5%0 OF 807<= -10%0 OF 807<= -15%0 OF 807<= -20%0 OF 807
LATEST OCCURRENCES07-29 23:24 ▸ REPLAY07-29 21:24 ▸ REPLAY07-29 17:54 ▸ REPLAY· ALL 809 IN THE RE-RUN

Observed examples in a selected archive, not a guarantee. Nothing here is trading advice.

v2 · nrm.v1 · ft.v1 · rev 2f4c3411 · q#e297b226> RE-RUN THIS COUNT> THIS CONDITION ON EVERY SYMBOLALSO TRUE NOW: TRXUSDT · APTUSDT · TIAUSDT

More setups, counted nightly

Beyond the six above, 13 more setups are counted nightly on BTCUSDT. 2 of the 13 measurable this minute are active:

Pro reveals for each of these what the six above already show: how often it has happened on this market, out of how many chances, and what followed each time. This page stays free and refreshes all day; the record behind it is the paid part, and watching the free page can never rebuild a past minute.

> SEE PRO PLANS
Arm it · turn the measured setup into an alert

Let EdgeDepth watch BTCUSDT for you

Arming keeps the definition you just read running against live BTCUSDT data. When the same measured setup appears again, you get the exact values, the time it fired, and a replay link. You can inspect the lead-in and what followed without watching the terminal all day.

WATCHEvery completed minuteVERIFYExact values at the fireREPLAYThe lead-in and aftermath
⚡ Arm a definition for BTCUSDT> OPEN IN RESEARCH INSTEADFREE ACCOUNTS SAVE ALERTS IN EDGEDEPTH · PRO ADDS TELEGRAM + DISCORD DELIVERY AND OLDER REPLAY ACCESS · ONE CLICK PREFILLS THE EXACT CHIPS FOR CONFIRMATION
Research history · BTCUSDT

Published research and archived events

MACHINE-READABLE INDEX: GET /api/research/reports
Published reports touching BTCUSDT5

Observed examples in a selected archive, not a guarantee. Nothing here is trading advice.

> ALL PUBLISHED RESEARCH
Archived events · BTCUSDT0

NO ARCHIVED EVENTS REFERENCE BTCUSDT. EVENTS ARE ARCHIVED WHEN LIQUIDATION ACTIVITY CROSSES THE ARCHIVE THRESHOLDS; NOTHING ON THIS MARKET HAS YET.

> THE EVENT ARCHIVE
API / MCP · research tier

Every number on this page re-runs.

Each panel above ends in its reproducibility key. The same reads are one call over the API, or tool calls from an AI agent over MCP: same key, same bytes, any account, any day.

Get a key> API DOCS, GRAMMAR + CREDITS

SCANS SPEND MONTHLY CREDITS · A CACHED RE-RUN NEVER SPENDS

# the state block
GET /api/v1/research/snapshot?symbol=BTCUSDT&t=last-complete
→ canonical bytes · q#d0acc1e4# any condition on this page
POST /api/v1/research/query {"target": "record_occurrences", "key": "q#e297b226" }
→ occurrences + outcomes_summary, byte-identical# the public report index
GET /api/research/reports
→ hash8 → canonical url, machine-readable