READ 2026-07-31 04:41:02 UTC · BUCKET 23:59 · DATASET rev 2f4c3411

BNBUSDTMeasured state and what followed

BNB / TETHER USD · BINANCE USDT-M PERPETUAL · ONE OF 683 MARKETS RECORDED

76 DAYS RECORDED · SINCE 2026-05-15
589.55
+2.99% · 24H
LAST COMPLETE 1M CLOSE · 04:42 UTC · NOT A LIVE TICK
Open BNBUSDT in the terminal
Right now · BNBUSDT

The crowd is long while the top traders are not.

This has happened 7 times before on BNBUSDT: too few to summarize what followed (this page needs 30 recorded occurrences). Every occurrence is listed below.

1 of the 6 market states we track is active on BNBUSDT right now, measured over the minute ending 23:59 UTC.

Measured from 76 days of recorded BNB market data. Ask any number below again tomorrow: same answer.> HOW OUR PUBLISHED CLAIMS HAVE HELD UP
REPLAY MOMENT PRO: OLDER REPLAYMODELLED MAP
598.97577.63556.28534.94
30 DAYS · BINANCE 4H CANDLES · DIAMONDS REPLAY THE EXACT MOMENT A RULE FIREDMAP TO 04:35 UTC · lf.v2UNLOCK 23 OLDER MARKERS
> What the shaded rows are

Shaded rows mark prices where leveraged positions would be forced to close if price gets there, built from this market's own price and volume. A map of fuel, not a prediction: it says nothing about whether price will go there.

Across $1.45B of real liquidations, the brightest tenth of this map captured about 22% of the dollars - roughly twice what nearness to price alone explains.

Watch these levels move live
State · the last measured minute

What BNBUSDT is doing right now

33 FEATURES, EACH COMPARED WITH ITS OWN 76-DAY RECORD · P82 = HIGHER THAN ON 82% OF THIS MARKET'S RECORDED MINUTES

Get a live readSIGN IN · FREE · THE LIVE READ IS THIS MINUTE; THIS PAGE READS THE RECORD
FlowTAPE · TOXICITY · PRICE · 10 FEATURES
Toxic flow (VPIN)0.27P68
VPIN regimeNORMAL·
Taker buy share · 15m0.51P58
Large-trade share · 15m0.00P00
Return · 15m+0.03%P59
Return · 1h+0.16%P71
Range · 1h0.32%P20
Realized vol · 1h0.03%P23
Realized vol percentile0.21P21
VWAP distance · day+0.37%P78
Book3 FEATURES
Book imbalance · top levels72% BIDP68
Book imbalance percentile0.66P66
Spread · normalized0.01P69
Key moments · fired rulesLAST 30 DAYS
07-29 13:39Book tipped hard to one side REPLAY
07-28 19:54Book tipped hard to one side REPLAY
07-27 18:45Swept the lows and reclaimed REPLAY
07-26 00:15Swept the lows and reclaimed REPLAY
07-25 07:38Book tipped hard to one side REPLAY
07-24 05:36Book tipped hard to one side REPLAY
07-23 15:16Liquidations burst above baseline REPLAYPRO
07-22 23:15Swept the lows and reclaimed REPLAYPRO
ANCHORS INSIDE THE 7-DAY FREE WINDOW (SINCE 2026-07-24) REPLAY FREE WITH AN ACCOUNT · OLDER ANCHORS ARE PRO · MARKER + 30M PRE-ROLL
DerivativesFUNDING · OI · LIQUIDATIONS · POSITIONING · 10 FEATURES
Funding rate · 8h+0.0019%P45
Funding · normalized0.02P45
Minutes to funding1SETTLES 00:00 UTC
OI velocity percentile0.26P26
Liquidation intensity0.00ZERO 98% OF THE TIME
Liq notional · 1h$0ZERO 22% OF THE TIME
Cascade clustering0.58P18
Top-trader long share62.9%P93
Global long share75.2%P91
Top vs crowd skew-12.3 PTSP78
CandlesLAST COMPLETED 15M + 1H · 10 FEATURES
Body share · 15m0.41P72
Body share · 1h0.73P92
Upper wick · 15m0.01P09
Lower wick · 15m0.58P89
Compression · 15m0.85P46
Engulfing · 15mNONE·
Engulfing · 1hNONE·
Sweep + reclaim · 15mFALSE·
Sweep + reclaim · 1hFALSE·
Containment · 15mNONE·
CANDLE FEATURES READ THE LAST COMPLETED CANDLE, NEVER THE ONE FORMING · NO COMPLETED CANDLE: SHOWN AS ABSENT, NEVER GUESSED
SNAPSHOT KEY · v2 · nrm.v1 · ft.v1 · rev 2f4c3411 · q#eb52f6b0SAME KEY, SAME BYTES · THE CACHE KEY IS THE RE-RUN PROOF> RUN THIS READ OVER THE API> WHAT THESE FEATURES MEASURE
What followed · counted on the record

Market states BNBUSDT is in right now

The same six market states are checked on every symbol page. One is active on BNBUSDT right now. For each: how often it has occurred on this market first (the base rate), then what followed each prior occurrence, measured forward over fixed horizons.

1 OF 6 ACTIVE NOW · 5 NOT ACTIVE · 0 NOT MEASURABLE> THE CONDITIONS INDEX: EVERY CONDITION, EVERY SYMBOL
THIS PAGE COUNTS THE FULL RECORD TO DATE: 2026-05-15 TO 2026-07-29 (76 DAYS), GROWING DAILY.

Crowd long, leaders not

feature.top_global_long_skew<= -10ANDfeature.global_long_ratio>= 0.65
TRUE NOW · ENTERED 16:26 UTC · 31H 33M IN STATE Arm for BNBUSDT
BASE RATE · THIS SYMBOL
104,466 OF 109,436 (95.46%)
ELIGIBLE BNBUSDT MINUTES · 2026-05-15 TO 2026-07-29
1,685 MINUTES EXCLUDED: WARMUP-ABSENT FEATURES SHRINK THE DENOMINATOR, NEVER COERCED TO 0
7 OCCURRENCES · EDGE-TRIGGERED (TRUE AFTER FALSE) · REPEAT FIRES CONSOLIDATED
+ SHOW OCCURRENCES PER DAY- OCCURRENCES PER DAY · UTC · SUM 7 · ZERO DAYS KEEP THEIR SLOT
Outcome summary withheld · too few samples

7 occurrences is a list, not a distribution. This page needs 30 occurrences with a complete follow-up window before it summarizes; below that it lists every occurrence and stops. The count is still a verified count, and it grows with the record.

Observed examples in a selected archive, not a guarantee. Nothing here is trading advice.

v2 · nrm.v1 · ft.v1 · rev 2f4c3411 · q#ac176939> RE-RUN THIS COUNT> THIS CONDITION ON EVERY SYMBOLALSO TRUE NOW: ETHUSDT · SOLUSDT · XRPUSDT · +1

More setups, counted nightly

Beyond the six above, 10 more setups are counted nightly on BNBUSDT. None of the 10 measurable this minute is active.

Pro reveals for each of these what the six above already show: how often it has happened on this market, out of how many chances, and what followed each time. This page stays free and refreshes all day; the record behind it is the paid part, and watching the free page can never rebuild a past minute.

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Arm it · turn the measured setup into an alert

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Arming keeps the definition you just read running against live BNBUSDT data. When the same measured setup appears again, you get the exact values, the time it fired, and a replay link. You can inspect the lead-in and what followed without watching the terminal all day.

WATCHEvery completed minuteVERIFYExact values at the fireREPLAYThe lead-in and aftermath
Arm a definition for BNBUSDT> OPEN IN RESEARCH INSTEADFREE ACCOUNTS SAVE ALERTS IN EDGEDEPTH · PRO ADDS TELEGRAM + DISCORD DELIVERY AND OLDER REPLAY ACCESS · ONE CLICK PREFILLS THE EXACT CHIPS FOR CONFIRMATION
Research history · BNBUSDT

Published research and archived events

MACHINE-READABLE INDEX: GET /api/research/reports
Published reports touching BNBUSDT5

Observed examples in a selected archive, not a guarantee. Nothing here is trading advice.

Archived events · BNBUSDT0

NO ARCHIVED EVENTS REFERENCE BNBUSDT. EVENTS ARE ARCHIVED WHEN LIQUIDATION ACTIVITY CROSSES THE ARCHIVE THRESHOLDS; NOTHING ON THIS MARKET HAS YET.

API / MCP · research tier

Every number on this page re-runs.

Each panel above ends in its reproducibility key. The same reads are one call over the API, or tool calls from an AI agent over MCP: same key, same bytes, any account, any day.

SCANS SPEND MONTHLY CREDITS · A CACHED RE-RUN NEVER SPENDS

# the state block
GET /api/v1/research/snapshot?symbol=BNBUSDT&t=last-complete
canonical bytes · q#eb52f6b0
# any condition on this page
POST /api/v1/research/query {"target": "record_occurrences", "key": "q#ac176939" }
occurrences + outcomes_summary, byte-identical
# the public report index
GET /api/research/reports
hash8 canonical url, machine-readable