EDGEDEPTH /RESEARCH · PUBLIC REPORT · VERIFIED RECORD
Every time $5M or more liquidated in the trailing hour
282 matches·all scanned symbols·2026-05-15 to 2026-07-26
PUBLISHED 2026-07-27 BY @admin282 MATCHES
282 matches across 677 markets. Thirty minutes later, 133 of the 282 had closed lower and 149 had closed higher.
0 of the 282 (0.0%) traded 5% or more above the match at some point inside 1h. That is a high-water mark, not a close.
EVERY NUMBER ON THIS PAGE RE-RUNS UNDER q#34fc2ca4
"282 episodes of a $5,000,000-plus liquidation hour (deduped false-to-true anchors) over the full corpus: BTC 127, ETH 123, SOL 15 - a majors phenomenon. What follows is chop, not fireworks: 24h forward closed at or beyond +5% in 8 of 282 episodes and at or beyond -5% in 15 of 282; typical 24h MFE and MAE both sit in the 1-5% band. The cohort comparison (same document, cohort_result.v2) shows the tails are NARROWER than baseline, not wider: every other eligible bucket reached +5% in 24h 10.6% of the time and -5% 11.2% (of 41.9M buckets with a complete horizon). But the baseline spans 677 symbols while these episodes are majors-dominated, so much of that gap is composition, not calm. Cost line (flat assumption until measured spreads ship): ~2 bps half-spread on majors + 5 bps taker per side = ~14 bps round trip; deflate thresholds accordingly before reading a net edge. Verdict: "a big liquidation hour means fireworks ahead" does not survive the count. Descriptive only; not advice."
WHAT WAS SEARCHED - THESE EXACT VALUES RANrecord_occurrences · research_query.v2
SCOPEtimes.anchor_time between 2026-05-15T00:00:00.000Z to 2026-07-26T00:00:00.000Z
WHEREfeature.liq_notional_usd_1h ≥ 5000000
Read-only. Every value above was confirmed by the author before the run. The prose on this page is commentary; these values are the research.
PINNED RESULT - NEVER CHANGES
v2 · nrm.v1 · ft.v1 · rev f0d647bc…69d5d977 · q#34fc2ca4
THIS ID RE-RUNS THE EXACT SAME SEARCH · SAME ANSWER, ANY DAY, ANY ACCOUNT
FRESHNESS - NEW DATA IS A NEW RUN, NEVER A SILENT MERGE
the record grows nightly; this page reports the window it scanned, as it stood. re-running after the record has grown is a new, labeled result: this one never changes.
WHAT FOLLOWED - EVERY MATCH COUNTED, NEVER A FILTERCHARTS DERIVE FROM THE PINNED RESULT · COMPLETE WITHOUT JS
282 matches across 47,387,038 market-minutes scanned · 677 markets
0 OF 282(0.0%) WENT ON TO GAIN 5%+ WITHIN 1h · MEASURED FORWARD (MFE_1H), NEVER A FILTER
OCCURRENCES PER DAY · UTC · SUM 282
FWD_RET_30M DISTRIBUTION · 282 PRESENT · 0 ABSENT10 FIXED BUCKETS
WHAT THE NUMBERS SAY - GENERATED FROM THE RESULT, NOT WRITTEN BY ANYONETEMPLATE OUTPUT · VALUES INTERPOLATED FROM outcomes_summary
HEADLINE SPLIT (mfe_1h)
0 OF 282 (0.0%) traded 5% or more above the match at some point within 1h (mfe_1h, a high-water mark and not a close); 282 OF 282 did not. measured forward from each match.
PEAK DAY · SPAN
peak day 2026-06-05: 19 OF 282 (6.7%). span 73 UTC days scanned: 61 with matches, 12 with zero.
DISTRIBUTION SHAPE (fwd_ret_30m)
modal bucket 0..+1 pct: 122 OF 282 (43.3%). 133 OF 282 closed below 0 · 149 OF 282 at or above 0.
PRESENT / ABSENT BY METRIC
fwd_ret_30m: PRESENT 282 · ABSENT 0
mfe_1h: PRESENT 282 · ABSENT 0
mae_1h: PRESENT 282 · ABSENT 0
THRESHOLD COUNTS (fwd_ret_30m) - BOTH SIGNS, EXACT PARTIAL SUMS OF THE BUCKETS
≥ +127 OF 282
≥ +25 OF 282
≥ +50 OF 282
≥ +100 OF 282
≥ +150 OF 282
≥ +200 OF 282
≤ -121 OF 282
≤ -25 OF 282
≤ -52 OF 282
≤ -100 OF 282
≤ -150 OF 282
≤ -200 OF 282
EVERY ROW IS A PARTIAL SUM OF THE BUCKET COUNTS ABOVE: THE TABLE AND THE CHART CAN NEVER DISAGREE.
THE MATCHES - FIRST 50 OF 282VALUES AS THEY STOOD AT THE MOMENT · WHAT FOLLOWED, MEASURED FORWARD
The rows below are the pinned first page (50 of 282, in time order). The counts and charts above cover ALL matches: this page is examples, never the denominator.
SYMBOLANCHOR · UTCFWD30MMFE1HMAE1H
ETHUSDT2026-07-24 13:52−0.08%+0.34%−0.51%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.liq_notional_usd_1h | between | {"gte":5000000} | 5027579.722700002 | setup_point_in_time |
BTCUSDT2026-07-24 13:41−0.14%+0.27%−0.90%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.liq_notional_usd_1h | between | {"gte":5000000} | 5173998.720239999 | setup_point_in_time |
ETHUSDT2026-07-24 07:11−0.60%+0.33%−0.82%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.liq_notional_usd_1h | between | {"gte":5000000} | 9467834.020300003 | setup_point_in_time |
BTCUSDT2026-07-23 12:48+0.12%+0.40%−0.15%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.liq_notional_usd_1h | between | {"gte":5000000} | 5578733.00825 | setup_point_in_time |
ETHUSDT2026-07-23 12:47+0.04%+0.58%−0.20%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.liq_notional_usd_1h | between | {"gte":5000000} | 5776518.48453 | setup_point_in_time |
ETHUSDT2026-07-22 14:16−0.32%+0.44%−0.65%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.liq_notional_usd_1h | between | {"gte":5000000} | 5038053.021889997 | setup_point_in_time |
BTCUSDT2026-07-21 13:56−0.12%+0.27%−0.20%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.liq_notional_usd_1h | between | {"gte":5000000} | 6404987.471269998 | setup_point_in_time |
BTCUSDT2026-07-21 08:25−0.10%+0.10%−0.25%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.liq_notional_usd_1h | between | {"gte":5000000} | 5133133.43567 | setup_point_in_time |
BTCUSDT2026-07-20 18:13−0.50%+0.09%−0.91%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.liq_notional_usd_1h | between | {"gte":5000000} | 16191086.698719997 | setup_point_in_time |
ETHUSDT2026-07-20 18:13−0.59%+0.09%−1.24%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.liq_notional_usd_1h | between | {"gte":5000000} | 7923301.660720002 | setup_point_in_time |
BTCUSDT2026-07-20 15:55−0.06%+0.18%−0.29%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.liq_notional_usd_1h | between | {"gte":5000000} | 5703951.76527 | setup_point_in_time |
BTCUSDT2026-07-20 05:14−0.00%+0.23%−0.25%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.liq_notional_usd_1h | between | {"gte":5000000} | 6084430.310160002 | setup_point_in_time |
ETHUSDT2026-07-20 05:14+0.03%+0.32%−0.33%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.liq_notional_usd_1h | between | {"gte":5000000} | 9186173.004649997 | setup_point_in_time |
ETHUSDT2026-07-17 17:12−0.53%+0.05%−0.75%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.liq_notional_usd_1h | between | {"gte":5000000} | 11316259.930979999 | setup_point_in_time |
ETHUSDT2026-07-17 14:11−0.38%+0.04%−1.06%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.liq_notional_usd_1h | between | {"gte":5000000} | 5013673.75081 | setup_point_in_time |
ETHUSDT2026-07-17 13:08−0.53%+0.95%−0.63%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.liq_notional_usd_1h | between | {"gte":5000000} | 6566485.476380001 | setup_point_in_time |
BTCUSDT2026-07-17 06:17+0.23%+0.37%−0.04%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.liq_notional_usd_1h | between | {"gte":5000000} | 5225066.0855 | setup_point_in_time |
ETHUSDT2026-07-17 05:59+0.61%+0.74%−0.13%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.liq_notional_usd_1h | between | {"gte":5000000} | 11224758.75446 | setup_point_in_time |
ETHUSDT2026-07-17 00:37+1.06%+1.18%−0.04%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.liq_notional_usd_1h | between | {"gte":5000000} | 5889487.190270002 | setup_point_in_time |
SPCXUSDT2026-07-16 22:49+1.22%+2.36%−1.16%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.liq_notional_usd_1h | between | {"gte":5000000} | 10433563.235006496 | setup_point_in_time |
BTCUSDT2026-07-16 08:11+0.38%+0.46%−0.32%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.liq_notional_usd_1h | between | {"gte":5000000} | 6419921.4026000025 | setup_point_in_time |
ETHUSDT2026-07-16 08:11−0.25%+0.03%−1.32%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.liq_notional_usd_1h | between | {"gte":5000000} | 13982524.574789992 | setup_point_in_time |
SPCXUSDT2026-07-15 16:12+0.45%+2.21%−0.03%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.liq_notional_usd_1h | between | {"gte":5000000} | 5384901.792921401 | setup_point_in_time |
BTCUSDT2026-07-15 12:54+0.38%+0.57%−0.50%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.liq_notional_usd_1h | between | {"gte":5000000} | 6310365.300569999 | setup_point_in_time |
ETHUSDT2026-07-15 12:50+1.79%+2.15%−0.09%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.liq_notional_usd_1h | between | {"gte":5000000} | 7303465.833010001 | setup_point_in_time |
BTCUSDT2026-07-14 15:30+0.40%+0.75%+0.00%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.liq_notional_usd_1h | between | {"gte":5000000} | 6871480.247299998 | setup_point_in_time |
ETHUSDT2026-07-14 15:30−0.42%+0.31%−0.78%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.liq_notional_usd_1h | between | {"gte":5000000} | 5441421.210469998 | setup_point_in_time |
BTCUSDT2026-07-14 12:31+0.44%+1.00%−0.37%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.liq_notional_usd_1h | between | {"gte":5000000} | 6775951.319979996 | setup_point_in_time |
ETHUSDT2026-07-14 12:31+2.21%+3.57%−0.16%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.liq_notional_usd_1h | between | {"gte":5000000} | 5295229.72812 | setup_point_in_time |
ETHUSDT2026-07-14 10:58−0.06%+0.10%−0.44%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.liq_notional_usd_1h | between | {"gte":5000000} | 5045647.29722 | setup_point_in_time |
BTCUSDT2026-07-13 18:00+0.08%+0.32%−0.11%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.liq_notional_usd_1h | between | {"gte":5000000} | 5727119.667550001 | setup_point_in_time |
ETHUSDT2026-07-13 17:58+0.05%+0.58%−0.49%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.liq_notional_usd_1h | between | {"gte":5000000} | 5377108.744269997 | setup_point_in_time |
ETHUSDT2026-07-13 03:34−0.11%+0.29%−0.33%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.liq_notional_usd_1h | between | {"gte":5000000} | 5146858.93139 | setup_point_in_time |
BTCUSDT2026-07-13 03:10−0.22%+0.18%−0.51%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.liq_notional_usd_1h | between | {"gte":5000000} | 6478271.890889999 | setup_point_in_time |
ETHUSDT2026-07-13 00:12−1.31%+0.47%−1.57%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.liq_notional_usd_1h | between | {"gte":5000000} | 6552241.353690003 | setup_point_in_time |
ETHUSDT2026-07-12 00:01−0.34%+0.08%−0.60%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.liq_notional_usd_1h | between | {"gte":5000000} | 5061464.851249999 | setup_point_in_time |
BTCUSDT2026-07-10 14:19−0.11%+0.34%−0.50%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.liq_notional_usd_1h | between | {"gte":5000000} | 5752725.55694 | setup_point_in_time |
BTCUSDT2026-07-10 01:49+0.02%+0.15%−0.28%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.liq_notional_usd_1h | between | {"gte":5000000} | 5554361.895050003 | setup_point_in_time |
BTCUSDT2026-07-09 18:08−0.09%+0.19%−0.32%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.liq_notional_usd_1h | between | {"gte":5000000} | 5148139.881169999 | setup_point_in_time |
BTCUSDT2026-07-09 03:06+0.39%+0.47%−0.08%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.liq_notional_usd_1h | between | {"gte":5000000} | 5176031.574619998 | setup_point_in_time |
BTCUSDT2026-07-08 08:28−0.16%+0.29%−0.68%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.liq_notional_usd_1h | between | {"gte":5000000} | 5101785.199559998 | setup_point_in_time |
BTCUSDT2026-07-08 02:36+0.58%+0.71%−0.25%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.liq_notional_usd_1h | between | {"gte":5000000} | 5146211.026140001 | setup_point_in_time |
SOLUSDT2026-07-08 02:34+1.07%+1.19%−0.28%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.liq_notional_usd_1h | between | {"gte":5000000} | 5669245.603251 | setup_point_in_time |
ETHUSDT2026-07-08 02:02+0.01%+0.50%−0.55%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.liq_notional_usd_1h | between | {"gte":5000000} | 5407978.209140001 | setup_point_in_time |
ETHUSDT2026-07-07 16:53−0.29%+0.06%−0.56%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.liq_notional_usd_1h | between | {"gte":5000000} | 8526205.268390004 | setup_point_in_time |
ETHUSDT2026-07-07 15:29+0.25%+0.74%−0.07%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.liq_notional_usd_1h | between | {"gte":5000000} | 5007709.799710004 | setup_point_in_time |
BTCUSDT2026-07-07 14:59+0.20%+0.83%−0.35%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.liq_notional_usd_1h | between | {"gte":5000000} | 7658620.67581 | setup_point_in_time |
BTCUSDT2026-07-06 21:10−0.38%+0.44%−0.45%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.liq_notional_usd_1h | between | {"gte":5000000} | 5278117.135619999 | setup_point_in_time |
ETHUSDT2026-07-06 21:10−0.69%+0.53%−0.94%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.liq_notional_usd_1h | between | {"gte":5000000} | 19457888.72622 | setup_point_in_time |
BTCUSDT2026-07-06 15:51+0.75%+0.97%−0.01%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.liq_notional_usd_1h | between | {"gte":5000000} | 6768627.944189997 | setup_point_in_time |
HOW THIS WAS COMPUTED - GENERATED FROM THE DEFINITION, NOT WRITTEN BY ANYONESAME ID, SAME RESULT · FULL VERSIONS BELOW
DEFINITION
1 clause · 1 scope
feature.liq_notional_usd_1h ≥ 5000000. the chips at the top of the page are this definition, verbatim.
EXECUTION
edge-triggered · 1m UTC grid
the predicate becomes true having been false; sequences chain greedy-earliest and anchor at completion; episode dedupe PT1H. deterministic at every worker count.
DENOMINATORS
47,387,038 of 70,192,037
eligible market-minutes scanned (one market for one minute) across 677 markets; 22,804,999 excluded where a measurement was not yet available - missing data shrinks the denominator, it never counts as zero; 15778 market-days excluded by the source ledger. counts are matches within the scanned window, never a base rate.
OUTCOMES
forward from anchor · in-scan
closed threshold list ±1/2/5/10/15/20 pct, 14 fixed buckets across 9 forward metrics, computed over all occurrences pre-paging. an outcome absent at the record edge (horizon incomplete) is counted, never truncated or implied zero. nothing on this page is filterable by outcome. nothing here is a guarantee or trading advice.
OBSERVATION SCOPE
setup as-of anchor
setup values are as-of the anchor bucket close (point-in-time freeze); window aggregates cover their stated pre-anchor duration; every value the predicate consulted is at or before the anchor.
PIN
pinned 2026-07-27 · 282
the pinned result (counts, page-1 rows, outcomes, outcomes summary) never mutates. later dataset revisions are new runs, never merged.
SORT
times.anchor_time asc
the only record sort in v2.0; page limit 50. the pinned rows are page 1 of 282 - charts and rates derive from the summary over all occurrences, never from the page.
VERSIONS
q#34fc2ca4 · rev f0d647bc1445
schema research_query.v2 · normalization archive_normalization.v1 · features feature_defs.v1 · encoding record_result.v4. same key implies a byte-identical rerun.
DATASET REV · FULL
f0d647bc14452e0295117f9097d10b35c52afa1d007f1ece970d1a5169d5d977
SINCE PUBLICATION - HOW THE SAME SEARCH HAS DONE ON NEW DATASAME DOCUMENT · 2026-07-27 → NOW
ARMED AS A STANDING ALERT (definition #4, linked 2026-07-27): the live alert watches for exactly this definition - it and this page compile to the same ID.
MFE ≥ +5% within 1hhistory 0.0% of 282 · forward loading…
closed ≥ +2% at 24hhistory 16.3% of 282 · forward loading…
closed ≤ −2% at 24hhistory 28.0% of 282 · forward loading…
Forward outcomes are observed counts of the period after publication, refreshed hourly from the same deterministic document. Horizons complete on their own clock; a pending horizon is counted as pending, never as zero. Nothing here is a guarantee or trading advice.
Run your own variation
The values above are the whole definition. Re-open them in /research (the Find occurrences study), change anything, and it re-enters the confirm step before anything runs.