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RESEARCH/SYMBOLS/ETHUSDT
READ 2026-07-31 04:28:01 UTC · BUCKET 23:59 · DATASET rev 2f4c3411

ETHUSDTMeasured state and what followed

ETH / TETHER USD · BINANCE USDT-M PERPETUAL · ONE OF 683 MARKETS RECORDED

76 DAYS RECORDED · SINCE 2026-05-15
1904.80
+0.01% · 24H
LAST COMPLETE 1M CLOSE · 04:39 UTC · NOT A LIVE TICK
Open ETHUSDT in the terminal
Right now · ETHUSDT

The crowd is long while the top traders are not.

The 47 previous times this happened on ETHUSDT, the median move over the next 24 hours was -0.80%, with a typical worst drawdown of -1.88% (46 of 47 with a complete 24h).

1 of the 6 market states we track is active on ETHUSDT right now, measured over the minute ending 23:59 UTC.

Measured from 76 days of recorded ETH market data. Ask any number below again tomorrow: same answer.> HOW OUR PUBLISHED CLAIMS HAVE HELD UP
REPLAY MOMENT PRO: OLDER REPLAYMODELLED MAPTRACKED POSITIONS · HYPERLIQUID
19991848169815471905 NOW
30 DAYS · BINANCE 4H CANDLES · DIAMONDS REPLAY THE EXACT MOMENT A RULE FIREDMAP TO 04:35 UTC · lf.v2SEMI-LIVE · READ 04:39:20 UTCUNLOCK 24 OLDER MARKERS
1891 (-0.7%) $10.29M · 1750 (-8.1%) $8.20M · 1956 (+2.7%) $5.14M$54.62M OF TRACKED POSITIONS ON THIS CHART · $434.24M IN 54 CLUSTERS BEYOND ITS PRICE RANGE
> What the shaded rows and the bars are

Shaded rows mark prices where leveraged positions would be forced to close if price gets there, built from this market's own price and volume. A map of fuel, not a prediction: it says nothing about whether price will go there.

The bars on the right are real positions we can currently see on Hyperliquid, a different exchange. They are not all open interest, and they are a snapshot of this minute rather than a history.

Across $1.45B of real liquidations, the brightest tenth of this map captured about 22% of the dollars - roughly twice what nearness to price alone explains.

Watch these levels move live
State · the last measured minute

What ETHUSDT is doing right now

33 FEATURES, EACH COMPARED WITH ITS OWN 76-DAY RECORD · P82 = HIGHER THAN ON 82% OF THIS MARKET'S RECORDED MINUTES

Get a live readSIGN IN · FREE · THE LIVE READ IS THIS MINUTE; THIS PAGE READS THE RECORD
FlowTAPE · TOXICITY · PRICE · 10 FEATURES
Toxic flow (VPIN)0.23P28
VPIN regimeNORMAL·
Taker buy share · 15m0.50P53
Large-trade share · 15m0.19P36
Return · 15m+0.02%P56
Return · 1h+0.18%P71
Range · 1h0.57%P42
Realized vol · 1h0.06%P56
Realized vol percentile0.29P29
VWAP distance · day+0.24%P68
Book3 FEATURES
Book imbalance · top levels86% ASKP15
Book imbalance percentile0.49P49
Spread · normalized0.01P30
Key moments · fired rulesLAST 30 DAYS
07-30 00:00Swept the lows and reclaimed ▸ REPLAY
07-29 05:41Liquidations burst above baseline ▸ REPLAY
07-28 13:39Liquidations burst above baseline ▸ REPLAY
07-27 14:36Book tipped hard to one side ▸ REPLAY
07-26 15:00Swept the lows and reclaimed ▸ REPLAY
07-25 10:00Swept the lows and reclaimed ▸ REPLAY
07-24 00:33Liquidations burst above baseline REPLAYPRO
07-23 07:45Swept the lows and reclaimed REPLAYPRO
ANCHORS INSIDE THE 7-DAY FREE WINDOW (SINCE 2026-07-24) REPLAY FREE WITH AN ACCOUNT · OLDER ANCHORS ARE PRO · MARKER + 30M PRE-ROLL
DerivativesFUNDING · OI · LIQUIDATIONS · POSITIONING · 10 FEATURES
Funding rate · 8h+0.0021%P36
Funding · normalized0.04P25
Minutes to funding1SETTLES 00:00 UTC
OI velocity percentile0.17P17
Liquidation intensity0.00ZERO 91% OF THE TIME
Liq notional · 1h$11KP06
Cascade clustering0.56P34
Top-trader long share57.7%P32
Global long share68.7%P50
Top vs crowd skew-11.0 PTSP46
CandlesLAST COMPLETED 15M + 1H · 10 FEATURES
Body share · 15m0.55P82
Body share · 1h0.66P91
Upper wick · 15m0.03P10
Lower wick · 15m0.42P75
Compression · 15m0.74P37
Engulfing · 15mNONE·
Engulfing · 1hNONE·
Sweep + reclaim · 15mFALSE·
Sweep + reclaim · 1hFALSE·
Containment · 15mNONE·
CANDLE FEATURES READ THE LAST COMPLETED CANDLE, NEVER THE ONE FORMING · NO COMPLETED CANDLE: SHOWN AS ABSENT, NEVER GUESSED
SNAPSHOT KEY · v2 · nrm.v1 · ft.v1 · rev 2f4c3411 · q#5015f242SAME KEY, SAME BYTES · THE CACHE KEY IS THE RE-RUN PROOF> RUN THIS READ OVER THE API> WHAT THESE FEATURES MEASURE
What followed · counted on the record

Market states ETHUSDT is in right now

The same six market states are checked on every symbol page. One is active on ETHUSDT right now. For each: how often it has occurred on this market first (the base rate), then what followed each prior occurrence, measured forward over fixed horizons.

1 OF 6 ACTIVE NOW · 5 NOT ACTIVE · 0 NOT MEASURABLE> THE CONDITIONS INDEX: EVERY CONDITION, EVERY SYMBOL
THIS PAGE COUNTS THE FULL RECORD TO DATE: 2026-05-15 TO 2026-07-29 (76 DAYS), GROWING DAILY.

Crowd long, leaders not

feature.top_global_long_skew<= -10ANDfeature.global_long_ratio>= 0.65
TRUE NOW · ENTERED 11:01 UTC · 12H 58M IN STATE⚡ Arm for ETHUSDT
BASE RATE · THIS SYMBOL
59,680 OF 109,436 (54.53%)
ELIGIBLE ETHUSDT MINUTES · 2026-05-15 TO 2026-07-29
1,685 MINUTES EXCLUDED: WARMUP-ABSENT FEATURES SHRINK THE DENOMINATOR, NEVER COERCED TO 0
47 OCCURRENCES · EDGE-TRIGGERED (TRUE AFTER FALSE) · REPEAT FIRES CONSOLIDATED
+ SHOW OCCURRENCES PER DAY- OCCURRENCES PER DAY · UTC · SUM 47 · ZERO DAYS KEEP THEIR SLOT

After the 47 prior times, ETHUSDT’s median 24h was -0.80% with a typical -1.88% drawdown (46 of 47 with a complete 24h).

HorizonComputableMedian fwdMedian MFEMedian MAEReached >= +2%Reached <= -2%
30m47 OF 47-0.04%+0.23%-0.31%0 OF 47 (0.0%)0 OF 47 (0.0%)
1h47 OF 47+0.02%+0.26%-0.46%0 OF 47 (0.0%)1 OF 47 (2.1%)
4h47 OF 47-0.16%+0.53%-0.95%1 OF 47 (2.1%)5 OF 47 (10.6%)
24h46 · 1 PENDING-0.80%+1.15%-1.88%9 OF 46 (19.6%)21 OF 46 (45.7%)
MFE / MAE: MAXIMUM FAVORABLE / ADVERSE EXCURSION FROM ANCHOR, PAST TENSE · PENDING = HORIZON NOT YET CLOSED AT THE RECORD EDGE
+ SHOW THE FULL LADDER · 1H · +/-1/2/5/10/15/20%- THRESHOLD LADDER · 1H · CLOSED LIST +/-1/2/5/10/15/20%
>= +1%2 OF 47>= +2%0 OF 47>= +5%0 OF 47>= +10%0 OF 47>= +15%0 OF 47>= +20%0 OF 47<= -1%7 OF 47<= -2%1 OF 47<= -5%0 OF 47<= -10%0 OF 47<= -15%0 OF 47<= -20%0 OF 47
LATEST OCCURRENCES07-29 11:01 ▸ REPLAY07-27 22:56 ▸ REPLAY07-27 19:26 ▸ REPLAY· ALL 47 IN THE RE-RUN

Observed examples in a selected archive, not a guarantee. Nothing here is trading advice.

v2 · nrm.v1 · ft.v1 · rev 2f4c3411 · q#51da4cc7> RE-RUN THIS COUNT> THIS CONDITION ON EVERY SYMBOLALSO TRUE NOW: SOLUSDT · BNBUSDT · XRPUSDT · +1

More setups, counted nightly

Beyond the six above, 14 more setups are counted nightly on ETHUSDT. 1 of the 14 measurable this minute is active:

Pro reveals for each of these what the six above already show: how often it has happened on this market, out of how many chances, and what followed each time. This page stays free and refreshes all day; the record behind it is the paid part, and watching the free page can never rebuild a past minute.

> SEE PRO PLANS
Arm it · turn the measured setup into an alert

Let EdgeDepth watch ETHUSDT for you

Arming keeps the definition you just read running against live ETHUSDT data. When the same measured setup appears again, you get the exact values, the time it fired, and a replay link. You can inspect the lead-in and what followed without watching the terminal all day.

WATCHEvery completed minuteVERIFYExact values at the fireREPLAYThe lead-in and aftermath
⚡ Arm a definition for ETHUSDT> OPEN IN RESEARCH INSTEADFREE ACCOUNTS SAVE ALERTS IN EDGEDEPTH · PRO ADDS TELEGRAM + DISCORD DELIVERY AND OLDER REPLAY ACCESS · ONE CLICK PREFILLS THE EXACT CHIPS FOR CONFIRMATION
Research history · ETHUSDT

Published research and archived events

MACHINE-READABLE INDEX: GET /api/research/reports
Published reports touching ETHUSDT5

Observed examples in a selected archive, not a guarantee. Nothing here is trading advice.

> ALL PUBLISHED RESEARCH
Archived events · ETHUSDT1
Short squeeze · 2026-07-14 09:28 UTC616 LIQUIDATIONS · $46.9M NOTIONAL · IN 481 MINUTES
> EVENT PAGE REPLAYPRO
> THE EVENT ARCHIVE
API / MCP · research tier

Every number on this page re-runs.

Each panel above ends in its reproducibility key. The same reads are one call over the API, or tool calls from an AI agent over MCP: same key, same bytes, any account, any day.

Get a key> API DOCS, GRAMMAR + CREDITS

SCANS SPEND MONTHLY CREDITS · A CACHED RE-RUN NEVER SPENDS

# the state block
GET /api/v1/research/snapshot?symbol=ETHUSDT&t=last-complete
→ canonical bytes · q#5015f242# any condition on this page
POST /api/v1/research/query {"target": "record_occurrences", "key": "q#51da4cc7" }
→ occurrences + outcomes_summary, byte-identical# the public report index
GET /api/research/reports
→ hash8 → canonical url, machine-readable