When most of the crowd is long, what happens next?
61,640 matches·all scanned symbols·2025-07-15 to 2026-09-04
Readings in this definition: global long ratio. Each page states the exact rule, its limits and what it does not prove.
After 30 minutes this setup fell 2% or more in 1,793 of 59,105 complete windows (3.0%), against 1.9% with no condition (5,826,103 of 309,306,062): 1.61x.
Best point inside 30 minutes reached +5% or more in 638 of 60,277 complete windows; worst point fell 5% or more in 735 of 60,277.
- 61,640
- matches
- 844
- markets
- 321,932,326
- eligible market-minutes scanned
- 2,535
- without a 30m outcome
Reference rates are what the record did anyway: all eligible minutes across the same 844 markets and the same window, with no condition and no matching, read by the same rule at every horizon.
| Horizon | Closed 2% or more higher | Closed 2% or more lower | Closed 5% or more higher | Closed 5% or more lower | High point 5% or more above | Low point 5% or more below |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 minutes 2,535 absent | 1,576 of 59,105 (2.7%)2.1% with no condition (6,523,279 of 309,306,062) · 1.26x | 1,793 of 59,105 (3.0%)1.9% with no condition (5,826,103 of 309,306,062) · 1.61x | 282 of 59,105 (0.5%)0.3% with no condition (893,008 of 309,306,062) · 1.65x | 294 of 59,105 (0.5%)0.2% with no condition (717,031 of 309,306,062) · 2.15x | 638 of 60,277 (1.1%)0.7% with no condition (2,144,607 of 314,124,431) · 1.55x | 735 of 60,277 (1.2%)0.6% with no condition (1,992,016 of 314,124,431) · 1.92x |
| 1 hour 2,535 absent | 2,807 of 59,105 (4.7%)4.1% with no condition (12,625,601 of 309,270,041) · 1.16x | 3,102 of 59,105 (5.2%)3.9% with no condition (12,006,140 of 309,270,041) · 1.35x | 509 of 59,105 (0.9%)0.6% with no condition (1,962,537 of 309,270,041) · 1.36x | 508 of 59,105 (0.9%)0.5% with no condition (1,554,800 of 309,270,041) · 1.71x | 1,208 of 60,275 (2.0%)1.5% with no condition (4,728,628 of 314,109,985) · 1.33x | 1,273 of 60,275 (2.1%)1.3% with no condition (4,078,811 of 314,109,985) · 1.63x |
| 4 hours 2,792 absent | 7,527 of 58,848 (12.8%)12.1% with no condition (37,217,067 of 308,817,300) · 1.06x | 8,925 of 58,848 (15.2%)13.0% with no condition (40,042,741 of 308,817,300) · 1.17x | 1,718 of 58,848 (2.9%)2.7% with no condition (8,215,424 of 308,817,300) · 1.10x | 1,858 of 58,848 (3.2%)2.5% with no condition (7,606,298 of 308,817,300) · 1.28x | 4,271 of 60,264 (7.1%)6.4% with no condition (20,179,064 of 313,989,332) · 1.10x | 4,403 of 60,264 (7.3%)5.7% with no condition (17,974,657 of 313,989,332) · 1.28x |
| 24 hours 3,182 absent | 16,423 of 58,458 (28.1%)27.0% with no condition (83,027,835 of 307,038,713) · 1.04x | 19,573 of 58,458 (33.5%)32.6% with no condition (100,217,389 of 307,038,713) · 1.03x | 7,255 of 58,458 (12.4%)11.7% with no condition (36,049,343 of 307,038,713) · 1.06x | 8,738 of 58,458 (14.9%)13.7% with no condition (42,173,897 of 307,038,713) · 1.09x | 17,395 of 60,111 (28.9%)28.3% with no condition (88,759,065 of 313,152,058) · 1.02x | 19,050 of 60,111 (31.7%)29.3% with no condition (91,675,224 of 313,152,058) · 1.08x |
| 72 hours | Not in this pinned result (record_result.v6). Outcomes at this horizon were added to the engine later; a rerun publishes them as a new labeled result. | |||||
| 7 days | Not in this pinned result (record_result.v6). Outcomes at this horizon were added to the engine later; a rerun publishes them as a new labeled result. | |||||
Occurrences per day · UTC · sum 61,640
30-minute return distribution · 59,105 present · 2,535 absent10 fixed buckets
"Full-record refresh of q#5e498394, which scanned 2026-05-15 to 2026-07-26. That pinned report is unchanged."
Results since publicationThe same search on data recorded after publication, side by side
| Outcome | Original window, 2025-07-15 to 2026-09-04 | Since publication, from 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|---|
| Traded 5% or more above the match within 1h | 1,208 of 60,275 (2.0%) · 1,365 absent, not counted | loading |
| Closed 2% or more higher at 24h | 16,423 of 58,458 (28.1%) · 3,182 absent, not counted | loading |
| Closed 2% or more lower at 24h | 19,573 of 58,458 (33.5%) · 3,182 absent, not counted | loading |
Both periods are counted the same way. The later period is the same search on data recorded after publication, not a preregistered test. A missing outcome is never counted as zero.
Matches by marketMost matches: ORDIUSDC 604 · ALLUSDT 465 · ETHFIUSDC 432844 markets itemized
How many matches each market contributed, over the minutes actually scanned there. The rate is matches per 10,000 scanned minutes, a frequency of the setup and not a result. What followed is summarized above over all matches together; the pinned result carries no per-market outcome summary, so none is claimed here.
Showing 25 of 844 itemized markets
- ORDIUSDC604437,76013.8
- ALLUSDT465516,3919.0
- ETHFIUSDC432437,7609.9
- 1000SHIBUSDC413437,7609.4
- WLDUSDC395437,7609.0
- NOTUSDT392548,6407.1
- LINKUSDC390437,7608.9
- USUALUSDT363548,6406.6
- VANRYUSDT359529,9206.8
- SONICUSDT332548,6406.1
- CGPTUSDT331548,6406.0
- XAIUSDT309548,6405.6
- ETHUSDT_260327306263,03111.6
- REZUSDT306548,6405.6
- PIXELUSDT301548,6405.5
- SUIUSDC294437,7606.7
- WAXPUSDT291548,6405.3
- UNIUSDC289437,7606.6
- WOOUSDT289548,6405.3
- 1000SATSUSDT285548,6405.2
- ACTUSDT281548,6405.1
- ADAUSDC281437,7606.4
- LTCUSDT276548,6405.0
- BRETTUSDT271548,6404.9
- BNTUSDT270548,6404.9
Examples and replaysFirst 50 of 61,640 matches
Examples, never the denominator; the counts above cover every match. Replay opens 30 minutes before the moment.
MarketWhen (UTC)30m returnHigh-water 1hLow-water 1hReplay
KATUSDT2026-08-20 23:51···replay →
Why this matched: the recorded values at that minute
| Field | Op | Query | Observed | Scope |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.7002 | setup_point_in_time |
WAXPUSDT2026-08-20 23:36···replay →
Why this matched: the recorded values at that minute
| Field | Op | Query | Observed | Scope |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.7011 | setup_point_in_time |
XNYUSDT2026-08-20 23:11+0.33%··replay →
Why this matched: the recorded values at that minute
| Field | Op | Query | Observed | Scope |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.7009 | setup_point_in_time |
LGELECTRONICSUSDT2026-08-20 23:06−0.71%··replay →
Why this matched: the recorded values at that minute
| Field | Op | Query | Observed | Scope |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.7157 | setup_point_in_time |
SAMSUNGEMUSDT2026-08-20 23:06−0.78%··replay →
Why this matched: the recorded values at that minute
| Field | Op | Query | Observed | Scope |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.7099 | setup_point_in_time |
CARVUSDT2026-08-20 23:01···replay →
Why this matched: the recorded values at that minute
| Field | Op | Query | Observed | Scope |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.7 | setup_point_in_time |
BANDUSDT2026-08-20 22:31+0.18%+2.10%−0.30%replay →
Why this matched: the recorded values at that minute
| Field | Op | Query | Observed | Scope |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.7002 | setup_point_in_time |
KATUSDT2026-08-20 22:21+0.00%+0.58%−0.15%replay →
Why this matched: the recorded values at that minute
| Field | Op | Query | Observed | Scope |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.7 | setup_point_in_time |
YBUSDT2026-08-20 22:16+3.88%+6.90%−100.00%replay →
Why this matched: the recorded values at that minute
| Field | Op | Query | Observed | Scope |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.7011 | setup_point_in_time |
XNYUSDT2026-08-20 22:01+0.34%+0.86%−0.21%replay →
Why this matched: the recorded values at that minute
| Field | Op | Query | Observed | Scope |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.7021 | setup_point_in_time |
BRETTUSDT2026-08-20 21:41−0.15%+0.24%−1.14%replay →
Why this matched: the recorded values at that minute
| Field | Op | Query | Observed | Scope |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.7008 | setup_point_in_time |
BANDUSDT2026-08-20 21:26+0.30%+0.60%−0.12%replay →
Why this matched: the recorded values at that minute
| Field | Op | Query | Observed | Scope |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.7 | setup_point_in_time |
XNYUSDT2026-08-20 20:51+0.30%+0.64%−0.53%replay →
Why this matched: the recorded values at that minute
| Field | Op | Query | Observed | Scope |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.7007 | setup_point_in_time |
SIGNUSDT2026-08-20 20:46+0.24%+0.46%−0.21%replay →
Why this matched: the recorded values at that minute
| Field | Op | Query | Observed | Scope |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.7005 | setup_point_in_time |
MOCAUSDT2026-08-20 20:36−0.15%+0.46%−0.25%replay →
Why this matched: the recorded values at that minute
| Field | Op | Query | Observed | Scope |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.7005 | setup_point_in_time |
COPPERUSDT2026-08-20 20:31+0.03%+0.08%−0.02%replay →
Why this matched: the recorded values at that minute
| Field | Op | Query | Observed | Scope |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.7023 | setup_point_in_time |
BANDUSDT2026-08-20 20:26+0.48%+0.90%+0.00%replay →
Why this matched: the recorded values at that minute
| Field | Op | Query | Observed | Scope |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.7002 | setup_point_in_time |
ZHIPUUSDT2026-08-20 20:26−0.35%+0.13%−0.40%replay →
Why this matched: the recorded values at that minute
| Field | Op | Query | Observed | Scope |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.7002 | setup_point_in_time |
CUSDT2026-08-20 19:41−0.47%+1.02%−1.01%replay →
Why this matched: the recorded values at that minute
| Field | Op | Query | Observed | Scope |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.7003 | setup_point_in_time |
FARTCOINUSDT2026-08-20 19:26−1.88%+0.59%−100.00%replay →
Why this matched: the recorded values at that minute
| Field | Op | Query | Observed | Scope |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.7006 | setup_point_in_time |
PAYPUSDT2026-08-20 19:21···replay →
Why this matched: the recorded values at that minute
| Field | Op | Query | Observed | Scope |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.7168 | setup_point_in_time |
BEATUSDT2026-08-20 19:06−1.98%+1.20%−100.00%replay →
Why this matched: the recorded values at that minute
| Field | Op | Query | Observed | Scope |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.7 | setup_point_in_time |
CARVUSDT2026-08-20 19:01+0.72%+1.29%+0.03%replay →
Why this matched: the recorded values at that minute
| Field | Op | Query | Observed | Scope |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.7002 | setup_point_in_time |
MAGICUSDT2026-08-20 18:36+0.33%+0.71%−0.35%replay →
Why this matched: the recorded values at that minute
| Field | Op | Query | Observed | Scope |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.7008 | setup_point_in_time |
DEEPUSDT2026-08-20 18:21−0.07%+0.87%−0.73%replay →
Why this matched: the recorded values at that minute
| Field | Op | Query | Observed | Scope |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.703 | setup_point_in_time |
CUSDT2026-08-20 18:16+0.30%+0.97%−0.39%replay →
Why this matched: the recorded values at that minute
| Field | Op | Query | Observed | Scope |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.7013 | setup_point_in_time |
KATUSDT2026-08-20 18:06−0.39%+0.09%−0.63%replay →
Why this matched: the recorded values at that minute
| Field | Op | Query | Observed | Scope |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.7013 | setup_point_in_time |
SIGNUSDT2026-08-20 18:06−0.37%+0.37%−0.49%replay →
Why this matched: the recorded values at that minute
| Field | Op | Query | Observed | Scope |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.7009 | setup_point_in_time |
BILLUSDT2026-08-20 17:41−1.31%+0.05%−1.41%replay →
Why this matched: the recorded values at that minute
| Field | Op | Query | Observed | Scope |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.7005 | setup_point_in_time |
BEATUSDT2026-08-20 17:26+12.38%+17.82%−100.00%replay →
Why this matched: the recorded values at that minute
| Field | Op | Query | Observed | Scope |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.717 | setup_point_in_time |
ZHIPUUSDT2026-08-20 17:26+0.05%+0.13%−0.27%replay →
Why this matched: the recorded values at that minute
| Field | Op | Query | Observed | Scope |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.7018 | setup_point_in_time |
QNTXUSDT2026-08-20 17:21+0.40%+0.75%−0.26%replay →
Why this matched: the recorded values at that minute
| Field | Op | Query | Observed | Scope |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.7005 | setup_point_in_time |
XANUSDT2026-08-20 17:16−0.56%+0.43%−1.18%replay →
Why this matched: the recorded values at that minute
| Field | Op | Query | Observed | Scope |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.7002 | setup_point_in_time |
BTRUSDT2026-08-20 17:11−0.36%+0.79%−1.45%replay →
Why this matched: the recorded values at that minute
| Field | Op | Query | Observed | Scope |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.7031 | setup_point_in_time |
BANDUSDT2026-08-20 17:01−0.06%+0.06%−100.00%replay →
Why this matched: the recorded values at that minute
| Field | Op | Query | Observed | Scope |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.7004 | setup_point_in_time |
MAGICUSDT2026-08-20 16:56+0.09%+0.23%−0.30%replay →
Why this matched: the recorded values at that minute
| Field | Op | Query | Observed | Scope |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.7015 | setup_point_in_time |
AVAXUSDT2026-08-20 16:51+0.72%+1.43%−100.00%replay →
Why this matched: the recorded values at that minute
| Field | Op | Query | Observed | Scope |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.7003 | setup_point_in_time |
CARVUSDT2026-08-20 16:51−0.06%+0.59%−0.44%replay →
Why this matched: the recorded values at that minute
| Field | Op | Query | Observed | Scope |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.7007 | setup_point_in_time |
ETHUSDT2026-08-20 16:51−0.39%+0.11%−100.00%replay →
Why this matched: the recorded values at that minute
| Field | Op | Query | Observed | Scope |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.7022 | setup_point_in_time |
CUSDT2026-08-20 16:41+0.93%+1.49%+0.00%replay →
Why this matched: the recorded values at that minute
| Field | Op | Query | Observed | Scope |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.7007 | setup_point_in_time |
MOCAUSDT2026-08-20 16:41−0.04%+0.74%−0.23%replay →
Why this matched: the recorded values at that minute
| Field | Op | Query | Observed | Scope |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.7001 | setup_point_in_time |
RDDTUSDT2026-08-20 16:21+0.03%+0.37%−0.38%replay →
Why this matched: the recorded values at that minute
| Field | Op | Query | Observed | Scope |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.7069 | setup_point_in_time |
SIGNUSDT2026-08-20 16:16+0.60%+0.72%−0.62%replay →
Why this matched: the recorded values at that minute
| Field | Op | Query | Observed | Scope |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.7022 | setup_point_in_time |
WDCUSDT2026-08-20 16:16−0.47%+0.36%−0.78%replay →
Why this matched: the recorded values at that minute
| Field | Op | Query | Observed | Scope |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.7021 | setup_point_in_time |
XANUSDT2026-08-20 16:16+1.25%+2.31%−0.47%replay →
Why this matched: the recorded values at that minute
| Field | Op | Query | Observed | Scope |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.7014 | setup_point_in_time |
BEATUSDT2026-08-20 16:11+0.00%+1.70%−100.00%replay →
Why this matched: the recorded values at that minute
| Field | Op | Query | Observed | Scope |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.707 | setup_point_in_time |
BANDUSDT2026-08-20 15:56−0.12%+0.66%−0.36%replay →
Why this matched: the recorded values at that minute
| Field | Op | Query | Observed | Scope |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.7009 | setup_point_in_time |
QNTXUSDT2026-08-20 15:56−0.31%+0.40%−1.06%replay →
Why this matched: the recorded values at that minute
| Field | Op | Query | Observed | Scope |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.701 | setup_point_in_time |
FARTCOINUSDT2026-08-20 15:51−0.49%+3.08%−100.00%replay →
Why this matched: the recorded values at that minute
| Field | Op | Query | Observed | Scope |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.7003 | setup_point_in_time |
ZHONGJIUSDT2026-08-20 15:51−0.08%+0.56%−0.41%replay →
Why this matched: the recorded values at that minute
| Field | Op | Query | Observed | Scope |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.7031 | setup_point_in_time |
Evidence and methodologyThe exact search, the pin, missing data and versions
Published 2026-09-05 by @admin · q#d17e982c
Exact search
Every time the crowd is heavily long
SCOPEtimes.anchor_time between 2025-07-15T00:00:00.000Z to 2026-09-04T00:00:00.000Z
These values are what ran, confirmed by the author before the run. Prose on this page is commentary. A chip links to the page that defines its reading.
Pinned result
v2 · nrm.v1 · ft.v1 · rev 6e2bee53…a3be76fb · q#d17e982c
This ID reruns to the same answer on any day and any account. It never changes; the record grows nightly and a rerun publishes as a new labeled result.
Outcome diagnostics
Headline split (mfe_1h)
1,208 of 60,275 (2.0%) traded 5% or more above the match at some point within 1h (mfe_1h, a high-water mark and not a close). 59,067 of 60,275 did not. Measured forward from each match. 1,365 absent, excluded from the denominator.
Peak day and span
Busiest day 2025-07-15: 419 of 61,640 matches (0.7%). 417 UTC days scanned: 400 with matches, 17 with none.
Present and absent by metric
fwd_ret_30m: present 59,105 · absent 2,535
mfe_1h: present 60,275 · absent 1,365
mae_1h: present 60,275 · absent 1,365
Absent: no completed outcome (record edge or missing minutes), excluded from every rate.
Threshold counts (fwd_ret_30m), both signs
≥ +024202 OF 59105
≥ +020308 OF 59105
≥ +111602 OF 59105
≥ +15023 OF 59105
≥ +21576 OF 59105
≥ +5282 OF 59105
≥ +1077 OF 59105
≥ +1530 OF 59105
≥ +2018 OF 59105
≥ +306 OF 59105
≥ +501 OF 59105
≥ +1000 OF 59105
≥ +2000 OF 59105
≥ +4000 OF 59105
≤ -025751 OF 59105
≤ -021804 OF 59105
≤ -112938 OF 59105
≤ -15854 OF 59105
≤ -21793 OF 59105
≤ -5294 OF 59105
≤ -1075 OF 59105
≤ -1536 OF 59105
≤ -2024 OF 59105
≤ -3016 OF 59105
≤ -509 OF 59105
≤ -1000 OF 59105
Every row is an exact partial sum of the distribution buckets in the chart, so the table and the chart cannot disagree.
Methodology and versions
DEFINITION
1 clause · 1 scope
How this is counted
feature.global_long_ratio ≥ 0.7. the chips at the top of the page are this definition, verbatim.
EXECUTION
edge-triggered · 1m UTC grid
How this is counted
the predicate becomes true having been false; sequences chain greedy-earliest and anchor at completion; episode dedupe PT1H. deterministic at every worker count.
DENOMINATORS
321,932,326 of 505,590,604
How this is counted
eligible market-minutes scanned (one market for one minute) across 844 markets; 183,658,278 excluded where a measurement was not yet available - missing data shrinks the denominator, it never counts as zero; 53197 market-days excluded by the source ledger. counts are matches within the scanned window, never a base rate.
OUTCOMES
forward from anchor · in-scan
How this is counted
closed threshold list ±0/0/1/1/2/5/10/15/20/30/50/100/200/400 pct, 28 fixed buckets across 12 forward metrics, computed over all occurrences pre-paging. an outcome absent at the record edge (horizon incomplete) is counted, never truncated or implied zero. nothing on this page is filterable by outcome. nothing here is a guarantee or trading advice.
OBSERVATION SCOPE
setup as-of anchor
How this is counted
setup values are as-of the anchor bucket close (point-in-time freeze); window aggregates cover their stated pre-anchor duration; every value the predicate consulted is at or before the anchor.
PIN
pinned 2026-09-05 · 61640
How this is counted
the pinned result (counts, page-1 rows, outcomes, outcomes summary) never mutates. later dataset revisions are new runs, never merged.
SORT
times.anchor_time asc
How this is counted
the only record sort in v2.0; page limit 50. the pinned rows are page 1 of 61,640 - charts and rates derive from the summary over all occurrences, never from the page.
VERSIONS
q#d17e982c · rev 6e2bee531043
How this is counted
schema research_query.v2 · normalization archive_normalization.v1 · features feature_defs.v1 · encoding record_result.v6. same key implies a byte-identical rerun.
DATASET REV · FULL
6e2bee531043791f0990ab61c8c7c22d18aaea20c1543c1798cd9019a3be76fb
These are counts of what happened in the scanned window, not a promise it happens again. Nothing here is trading advice.