EDGEDEPTH /RESEARCH · PUBLIC REPORT · VERIFIED RECORD
Every time the crowd is heavily long
8,637 matches·all scanned symbols·2026-05-15 to 2026-07-26
PUBLISHED 2026-07-31 BY @admin8,637 MATCHES
8,637 matches across 677 markets. Thirty minutes later, 3,670 of the 7,528 had closed lower and 3,858 had closed higher.
159 of the 7,993 (2.0%) traded 5% or more above the match at some point inside 1h. That is a high-water mark, not a close.
EVERY NUMBER ON THIS PAGE RE-RUNS UNDER q#5e498394
WHAT WAS SEARCHED - THESE EXACT VALUES RANrecord_occurrences · research_query.v2
SCOPEtimes.anchor_time between 2026-05-15T00:00:00.000Z to 2026-07-26T00:00:00.000Z
WHEREfeature.global_long_ratio ≥ 0.7
Read-only. Every value above was confirmed by the author before the run. The prose on this page is commentary; these values are the research.
PINNED RESULT - NEVER CHANGES
v2 · nrm.v1 · ft.v1 · rev 476ab0c0…feae95e4 · q#5e498394
THIS ID RE-RUNS THE EXACT SAME SEARCH · SAME ANSWER, ANY DAY, ANY ACCOUNT
FRESHNESS - NEW DATA IS A NEW RUN, NEVER A SILENT MERGE
the record grows nightly; this page reports the window it scanned, as it stood. re-running after the record has grown is a new, labeled result: this one never changes.
WHAT FOLLOWED - EVERY MATCH COUNTED, NEVER A FILTERCHARTS DERIVE FROM THE PINNED RESULT · COMPLETE WITHOUT JS
8,637 matches across 47,426,721 market-minutes scanned · 677 markets
159 OF 7,993(2.0%) WENT ON TO GAIN 5%+ WITHIN 1h · MEASURED FORWARD (MFE_1H), NEVER A FILTER
OCCURRENCES PER DAY · UTC · SUM 8637
FWD_RET_30M DISTRIBUTION · 7528 PRESENT · 1109 ABSENT10 FIXED BUCKETS
WHAT THE NUMBERS SAY - GENERATED FROM THE RESULT, NOT WRITTEN BY ANYONETEMPLATE OUTPUT · VALUES INTERPOLATED FROM outcomes_summary
HEADLINE SPLIT (mfe_1h)
159 OF 7993 (2.0%) traded 5% or more above the match at some point within 1h (mfe_1h, a high-water mark and not a close); 7834 OF 7993 did not. measured forward from each match. 644 ABSENT, EXCLUDED FROM THE DENOMINATOR.
PEAK DAY · SPAN
peak day 2026-06-05: 339 OF 8637 (3.9%). span 73 UTC days scanned: 70 with matches, 3 with zero.
DISTRIBUTION SHAPE (fwd_ret_30m)
modal bucket 0..+1 pct: 3228 OF 7528 (42.9%). 3670 OF 7528 closed below 0 · 3858 OF 7528 at or above 0.
PRESENT / ABSENT BY METRIC
fwd_ret_30m: PRESENT 7528 · ABSENT 1109
mfe_1h: PRESENT 7993 · ABSENT 644
mae_1h: PRESENT 7993 · ABSENT 644
THRESHOLD COUNTS (fwd_ret_30m) - BOTH SIGNS, EXACT PARTIAL SUMS OF THE BUCKETS
≥ +1630 OF 7528
≥ +2203 OF 7528
≥ +532 OF 7528
≥ +106 OF 7528
≥ +151 OF 7528
≥ +201 OF 7528
≤ -1623 OF 7528
≤ -2211 OF 7528
≤ -532 OF 7528
≤ -106 OF 7528
≤ -152 OF 7528
≤ -200 OF 7528
EVERY ROW IS A PARTIAL SUM OF THE BUCKET COUNTS ABOVE: THE TABLE AND THE CHART CAN NEVER DISAGREE.
THE MATCHES - FIRST 50 OF 8,637VALUES AS THEY STOOD AT THE MOMENT · WHAT FOLLOWED, MEASURED FORWARD
The rows below are the pinned first page (50 of 8,637, in time order). The counts and charts above cover ALL matches: this page is examples, never the denominator.
SYMBOLANCHOR · UTCFWD30MMFE1HMAE1H
AEVOUSDT2026-07-25 23:56−0.05%+0.48%−0.11%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.7006 | setup_point_in_time |
ACTUSDT2026-07-25 23:46+0.11%+0.47%−0.78%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.7002 | setup_point_in_time |
IRENUSDT2026-07-25 23:36·+0.03%−0.08%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.7018 | setup_point_in_time |
OGUSDT2026-07-25 23:11·+0.27%−0.04%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.7011 | setup_point_in_time |
LRCXUSDT2026-07-25 23:06·+0.30%−0.01%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.7086 | setup_point_in_time |
TRUTHUSDT2026-07-25 23:06+0.02%+0.83%−0.45%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.7001 | setup_point_in_time |
REZUSDT2026-07-25 22:56·+0.12%−0.55%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.7002 | setup_point_in_time |
ICXUSDT2026-07-25 22:51···
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.7001 | setup_point_in_time |
ACTUSDT2026-07-25 22:46−0.40%+0.24%−0.96%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.7 | setup_point_in_time |
NOWUSDT2026-07-25 22:31···
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.7 | setup_point_in_time |
XPDUSDT2026-07-25 22:16···
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.7024 | setup_point_in_time |
REZUSDT2026-07-25 21:56···
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.7 | setup_point_in_time |
AEVOUSDT2026-07-25 21:21···
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.7002 | setup_point_in_time |
HIVEUSDT2026-07-25 21:21+0.30%+0.34%−0.06%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.7006 | setup_point_in_time |
TRUTHUSDT2026-07-25 21:06·+0.22%−0.29%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.7022 | setup_point_in_time |
MASKUSDT2026-07-25 20:51+0.84%+1.31%+0.00%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.7107 | setup_point_in_time |
CRWVUSDT2026-07-25 20:01+0.05%+0.07%−0.07%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.7001 | setup_point_in_time |
MASKUSDT2026-07-25 19:41+0.05%+0.16%−0.35%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.7007 | setup_point_in_time |
BULLAUSDT2026-07-25 19:31−1.44%+0.51%−2.40%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.7043 | setup_point_in_time |
BROCCOLIF3BUSDT2026-07-25 19:16+0.09%+0.70%−0.50%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.7018 | setup_point_in_time |
AEVOUSDT2026-07-25 19:01·+0.48%+0.05%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.7 | setup_point_in_time |
AGTUSDT2026-07-25 18:46+0.19%+1.31%−0.15%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.7 | setup_point_in_time |
GUNUSDT2026-07-25 18:26+0.22%+0.81%−0.03%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.7024 | setup_point_in_time |
BROCCOLIF3BUSDT2026-07-25 18:16−0.47%+0.05%−5.58%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.7012 | setup_point_in_time |
IOTXUSDT2026-07-25 18:06+0.42%+0.50%−0.71%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.7006 | setup_point_in_time |
TOWNSUSDT2026-07-25 18:01−0.41%+0.41%−1.06%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.7072 | setup_point_in_time |
AEVOUSDT2026-07-25 17:51+0.05%+0.26%−0.26%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.7002 | setup_point_in_time |
INTWUSDT2026-07-25 17:41+0.43%+0.52%+0.00%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.7012 | setup_point_in_time |
KERNELUSDT2026-07-25 17:36+0.11%+0.37%−0.14%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.7005 | setup_point_in_time |
ORDERUSDT2026-07-25 17:31+0.32%+0.55%−0.29%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.7 | setup_point_in_time |
UBERUSDT2026-07-25 16:26···
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.7016 | setup_point_in_time |
KERNELUSDT2026-07-25 16:11−0.29%+0.72%−0.46%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.7008 | setup_point_in_time |
QNTXUSDT2026-07-25 16:11−0.22%+0.17%−0.41%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.705 | setup_point_in_time |
XPDUSDT2026-07-25 16:11·−0.00%−0.19%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.704 | setup_point_in_time |
ACTUSDT2026-07-25 16:06−0.35%+0.61%−1.03%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.7011 | setup_point_in_time |
BOTUSDT2026-07-25 16:06···
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.7 | setup_point_in_time |
BROCCOLIF3BUSDT2026-07-25 16:06+0.09%+0.63%−0.19%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.7 | setup_point_in_time |
ICXUSDT2026-07-25 16:06−0.35%+0.00%−0.61%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.7 | setup_point_in_time |
ORDERUSDT2026-07-25 16:06−0.84%+0.14%−1.10%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.7017 | setup_point_in_time |
FLOWUSDT2026-07-25 16:01+0.20%+0.36%−0.04%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.7007 | setup_point_in_time |
DOGEUSDT2026-07-25 15:46+0.72%+1.25%−0.31%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.7037 | setup_point_in_time |
CHILLGUYUSDT2026-07-25 15:36−1.24%+2.91%−1.88%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.7008 | setup_point_in_time |
SQDUSDT2026-07-25 15:26−0.84%+0.06%−1.15%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.7029 | setup_point_in_time |
BULLAUSDT2026-07-25 15:06+1.19%+4.17%−0.15%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.7004 | setup_point_in_time |
NOMUSDT2026-07-25 15:06+0.66%+0.86%+0.00%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.7006 | setup_point_in_time |
ACTUSDT2026-07-25 14:56+0.02%+1.24%−0.53%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.703 | setup_point_in_time |
UBERUSDT2026-07-25 14:51···
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.7012 | setup_point_in_time |
XNYUSDT2026-07-25 14:51−0.33%−0.04%−2.15%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.723 | setup_point_in_time |
BROCCOLIF3BUSDT2026-07-25 14:46···
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.7002 | setup_point_in_time |
BOTUSDT2026-07-25 14:41···
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
| FIELD | OP | QUERY | OBSERVED | SCOPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| feature.global_long_ratio | between | {"gte":0.7} | 0.7059 | setup_point_in_time |
HOW THIS WAS COMPUTED - GENERATED FROM THE DEFINITION, NOT WRITTEN BY ANYONESAME ID, SAME RESULT · FULL VERSIONS BELOW
DEFINITION
1 clause · 1 scope
feature.global_long_ratio ≥ 0.7. the chips at the top of the page are this definition, verbatim.
EXECUTION
edge-triggered · 1m UTC grid
the predicate becomes true having been false; sequences chain greedy-earliest and anchor at completion; episode dedupe PT1H. deterministic at every worker count.
DENOMINATORS
47,426,721 of 70,192,037
eligible market-minutes scanned (one market for one minute) across 677 markets; 22,765,316 excluded where a measurement was not yet available - missing data shrinks the denominator, it never counts as zero; 15786 market-days excluded by the source ledger. counts are matches within the scanned window, never a base rate.
OUTCOMES
forward from anchor · in-scan
closed threshold list ±1/2/5/10/15/20 pct, 14 fixed buckets across 12 forward metrics, computed over all occurrences pre-paging. an outcome absent at the record edge (horizon incomplete) is counted, never truncated or implied zero. nothing on this page is filterable by outcome. nothing here is a guarantee or trading advice.
OBSERVATION SCOPE
setup as-of anchor
setup values are as-of the anchor bucket close (point-in-time freeze); window aggregates cover their stated pre-anchor duration; every value the predicate consulted is at or before the anchor.
PIN
pinned 2026-07-31 · 8637
the pinned result (counts, page-1 rows, outcomes, outcomes summary) never mutates. later dataset revisions are new runs, never merged.
SORT
times.anchor_time asc
the only record sort in v2.0; page limit 50. the pinned rows are page 1 of 8,637 - charts and rates derive from the summary over all occurrences, never from the page.
VERSIONS
q#5e498394 · rev 476ab0c0fcca
schema research_query.v2 · normalization archive_normalization.v1 · features feature_defs.v1 · encoding record_result.v5. same key implies a byte-identical rerun.
DATASET REV · FULL
476ab0c0fcca05990c819d35b5b06f1f8692036a90d2b883a170d66dfeae95e4
SINCE PUBLICATION - HOW THE SAME SEARCH HAS DONE ON NEW DATASAME DOCUMENT · 2026-07-31 → NOW
MFE ≥ +5% within 1hhistory 2.0% of 7993 · forward loading…
closed ≥ +2% at 24hhistory 26.5% of 7351 · forward loading…
closed ≤ −2% at 24hhistory 31.3% of 7351 · forward loading…
Forward outcomes are observed counts of the period after publication, refreshed hourly from the same deterministic document. Horizons complete on their own clock; a pending horizon is counted as pending, never as zero. Nothing here is a guarantee or trading advice.
Run your own variation
The values above are the whole definition. Re-open them in /research (the Find occurrences study), change anything, and it re-enters the confirm step before anything runs.