edgedepthEARLY ACCESSSign in
MENU
Terminal
Event archive
ResearchSearch the marketPublished reportsSaved studiesLive alertsAPI documentationConnect an AI agent
Guided lessons
Pricing

EDGEDEPTH /RESEARCH · PUBLIC REPORT · VERIFIED RECORD

Every time the last 15-minute candle is a bullish engulfing, then the last 15 minutes returned 5% or more within 1 hour

1,285 matches·all scanned symbols·2026-05-15 to 2026-07-26

PUBLISHED 2026-07-27 BY @admin1,285 MATCHES

1,285 matches across 677 markets. Thirty minutes later, 727 of the 1,284 had closed lower and 557 had closed higher.

460 of the 1,284 (35.8%) traded 5% or more above the match at some point inside 1h. That is a high-water mark, not a close.

EVERY NUMBER ON THIS PAGE RE-RUNS UNDER q#3c0016a5

AUTHOR'S NOTE - OPINION, NOT MACHINE OUTPUT

"Successor to q#ed3ac65e, invalidated 2026-07-20: its record_result.v2 pin materialized sequence-step evidence from the final anchor bucket, so step-1 rows could show the wrong bucket's values. The engine defect is fixed; this pin carries per-step evidence under record_result.v4. This successor asks the same question over the full recorded corpus (2026-05-15 to 2026-07-26) rather than the predecessor's 7-day window. Rerun on the current engine, the predecessor's exact document now records 108 occurrences over its original window (was 82 under the invalid pin; dataset revision also changed since, so the delta is not the defect alone). Read the split honestly: of 1,261 occurrences with a complete 24h horizon, 373 closed at or above +5% and 544 at or below -5%, and 1,010 of 1,267 drew down at least 5% within 24h. The population is dominated by small-cap pump symbols; what follows skews to give-back. Descriptive counts only; not advice."

WHAT WAS SEARCHED - THESE EXACT VALUES RANrecord_occurrences · research_query.v2
SCOPEtimes.anchor_time between 2026-05-15T00:00:00.000Z to 2026-07-26T00:00:00.000Z
STEP 1feature.candle_engulfing_15m = bullish
STEP 2feature.ret_15m ≥ 0.05within PT1H

Read-only. Every value above was confirmed by the author before the run. The prose on this page is commentary; these values are the research.

PINNED RESULT - NEVER CHANGES
v2 · nrm.v1 · ft.v1 · rev f0d647bc…69d5d977 · q#3c0016a5
THIS ID RE-RUNS THE EXACT SAME SEARCH · SAME ANSWER, ANY DAY, ANY ACCOUNT
FRESHNESS - NEW DATA IS A NEW RUN, NEVER A SILENT MERGE
the record grows nightly; this page reports the window it scanned, as it stood. re-running after the record has grown is a new, labeled result: this one never changes.
WHAT FOLLOWED - EVERY MATCH COUNTED, NEVER A FILTERCHARTS DERIVE FROM THE PINNED RESULT · COMPLETE WITHOUT JS

1,285 matches across 47,227,702 market-minutes scanned · 677 markets

460 OF 1,284(35.8%) WENT ON TO GAIN 5%+ WITHIN 1h · MEASURED FORWARD (MFE_1H), NEVER A FILTER
OCCURRENCES PER DAY · UTC · SUM 1285
MAX 49 · 2026-06-07MAY 15JUN 01JUL 012026-05-15 TO 2026-07-26 · 73 UTC DAYS · ZERO DAYS KEEP THEIR SLOT
FWD_RET_30M DISTRIBUTION · 1284 PRESENT · 1 ABSENT10 FIXED BUCKETS
≥ +5: 160 OF 1284432010528615215712610216911726710≤-20-20..-15-15..-10-10..-5-5..-2-2..-1-1..00..+1+1..+2+2..+5+5..+10+10..+15+15..+20≥+20
WHAT THE NUMBERS SAY - GENERATED FROM THE RESULT, NOT WRITTEN BY ANYONETEMPLATE OUTPUT · VALUES INTERPOLATED FROM outcomes_summary
HEADLINE SPLIT (mfe_1h)
460 OF 1284 (35.8%) traded 5% or more above the match at some point within 1h (mfe_1h, a high-water mark and not a close); 824 OF 1284 did not. measured forward from each match. 1 ABSENT, EXCLUDED FROM THE DENOMINATOR.
PEAK DAY · SPAN
peak day 2026-06-07: 49 OF 1285 (3.8%). span 73 UTC days scanned: 60 with matches, 13 with zero.
DISTRIBUTION SHAPE (fwd_ret_30m)
modal bucket -5..-2 pct: 286 OF 1284 (22.3%). 727 OF 1284 closed below 0 · 557 OF 1284 at or above 0.
PRESENT / ABSENT BY METRIC
fwd_ret_30m: PRESENT 1284 · ABSENT 1
mfe_1h: PRESENT 1284 · ABSENT 1
mae_1h: PRESENT 1284 · ABSENT 1
THRESHOLD COUNTS (fwd_ret_30m) - BOTH SIGNS, EXACT PARTIAL SUMS OF THE BUCKETS
≥ +1431 OF 1284
≥ +2329 OF 1284
≥ +5160 OF 1284
≥ +1043 OF 1284
≥ +1517 OF 1284
≥ +2010 OF 1284
≤ -1570 OF 1284
≤ -2418 OF 1284
≤ -5132 OF 1284
≤ -1027 OF 1284
≤ -157 OF 1284
≤ -204 OF 1284
EVERY ROW IS A PARTIAL SUM OF THE BUCKET COUNTS ABOVE: THE TABLE AND THE CHART CAN NEVER DISAGREE.
Every line above is templated from the pinned summary; no sentence is authored. These are counts of the scanned window only: not a forecast, not trading advice.
THE MATCHES - FIRST 50 OF 1,285VALUES AS THEY STOOD AT THE MOMENT · WHAT FOLLOWED, MEASURED FORWARD

The rows below are the pinned first page (50 of 1,285, in time order). The counts and charts above cover ALL matches: this page is examples, never the denominator.

SYMBOLANCHOR · UTCFWD30MMFE1HMAE1H
ESPORTSUSDT2026-07-25 18:32+5.05%+6.44%−2.46%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
FIELDOPQUERYOBSERVEDSCOPE
feature.candle_engulfing_15meq"bullish"bullishsequence_step_1
feature.ret_15mbetween{"gte":0.05}0.05298840321141829sequence_step_2
EULUSDT2026-07-25 18:04+5.46%+5.93%−0.03%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
FIELDOPQUERYOBSERVEDSCOPE
feature.candle_engulfing_15meq"bullish"bullishsequence_step_1
feature.ret_15mbetween{"gte":0.05}0.05483697116680153sequence_step_2
ESPORTSUSDT2026-07-25 16:30+4.30%+6.08%−0.72%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
FIELDOPQUERYOBSERVEDSCOPE
feature.candle_engulfing_15meq"bullish"bullishsequence_step_1
feature.ret_15mbetween{"gte":0.05}0.06947538991290259sequence_step_2
DEXEUSDT2026-07-25 14:34+7.87%+9.30%−9.07%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
FIELDOPQUERYOBSERVEDSCOPE
feature.candle_engulfing_15meq"bullish"bullishsequence_step_1
feature.ret_15mbetween{"gte":0.05}0.057618726085977956sequence_step_2
DEXEUSDT2026-07-25 12:45−3.20%+10.71%−6.89%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
FIELDOPQUERYOBSERVEDSCOPE
feature.candle_engulfing_15meq"bullish"bullishsequence_step_1
feature.ret_15mbetween{"gte":0.05}0.08009211873080857sequence_step_2
ONUSDT2026-07-25 11:52+6.91%+12.77%−0.69%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
FIELDOPQUERYOBSERVEDSCOPE
feature.candle_engulfing_15meq"bullish"bullishsequence_step_1
feature.ret_15mbetween{"gte":0.05}0.053422904670505256sequence_step_2
ESPORTSUSDT2026-07-25 11:17−2.86%+7.36%−7.56%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
FIELDOPQUERYOBSERVEDSCOPE
feature.candle_engulfing_15meq"bullish"bullishsequence_step_1
feature.ret_15mbetween{"gte":0.05}0.05125523012552291sequence_step_2
STARUSDT2026-07-25 11:03−1.55%+1.19%−2.40%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
FIELDOPQUERYOBSERVEDSCOPE
feature.candle_engulfing_15meq"bullish"bullishsequence_step_1
feature.ret_15mbetween{"gte":0.05}0.07462686567164178sequence_step_2
HANAUSDT2026-07-25 09:08+11.13%+15.98%−0.39%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
FIELDOPQUERYOBSERVEDSCOPE
feature.candle_engulfing_15meq"bullish"bullishsequence_step_1
feature.ret_15mbetween{"gte":0.05}0.0621662852784135sequence_step_2
ONUSDT2026-07-25 09:04−3.03%+2.84%−13.58%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
FIELDOPQUERYOBSERVEDSCOPE
feature.candle_engulfing_15meq"bullish"bullishsequence_step_1
feature.ret_15mbetween{"gte":0.05}0.05166617947968444sequence_step_2
PROMUSDT2026-07-25 08:17−2.69%+10.00%−7.87%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
FIELDOPQUERYOBSERVEDSCOPE
feature.candle_engulfing_15meq"bullish"bullishsequence_step_1
feature.ret_15mbetween{"gte":0.05}0.05686695278969944sequence_step_2
EULUSDT2026-07-25 08:03−8.47%+0.03%−10.90%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
FIELDOPQUERYOBSERVEDSCOPE
feature.candle_engulfing_15meq"bullish"bullishsequence_step_1
feature.ret_15mbetween{"gte":0.05}0.05569602472257351sequence_step_2
LUMIAUSDT2026-07-25 07:35−3.21%+2.02%−4.83%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
FIELDOPQUERYOBSERVEDSCOPE
feature.candle_engulfing_15meq"bullish"bullishsequence_step_1
feature.ret_15mbetween{"gte":0.05}0.05325443786982231sequence_step_2
AKEUSDT2026-07-25 05:53+6.07%+11.89%−1.00%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
FIELDOPQUERYOBSERVEDSCOPE
feature.candle_engulfing_15meq"bullish"bullishsequence_step_1
feature.ret_15mbetween{"gte":0.05}0.06629341701733105sequence_step_2
GWEIUSDT2026-07-25 04:21−2.44%+2.89%−5.89%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
FIELDOPQUERYOBSERVEDSCOPE
feature.candle_engulfing_15meq"bullish"bullishsequence_step_1
feature.ret_15mbetween{"gte":0.05}0.06021897810218979sequence_step_2
DEXEUSDT2026-07-25 04:17−9.15%+5.96%−18.65%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
FIELDOPQUERYOBSERVEDSCOPE
feature.candle_engulfing_15meq"bullish"bullishsequence_step_1
feature.ret_15mbetween{"gte":0.05}0.0843297671491503sequence_step_2
DEXEUSDT2026-07-25 03:05+1.63%+13.83%−0.87%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
FIELDOPQUERYOBSERVEDSCOPE
feature.candle_engulfing_15meq"bullish"bullishsequence_step_1
feature.ret_15mbetween{"gte":0.05}0.05053191489361697sequence_step_2
DEXEUSDT2026-07-25 00:00+3.51%+9.94%−1.75%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
FIELDOPQUERYOBSERVEDSCOPE
feature.candle_engulfing_15meq"bullish"bullishsequence_step_1
feature.ret_15mbetween{"gte":0.05}0.050420168067226934sequence_step_2
ACEUSDT2026-07-24 21:47+2.16%+3.07%−3.16%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
FIELDOPQUERYOBSERVEDSCOPE
feature.candle_engulfing_15meq"bullish"bullishsequence_step_1
feature.ret_15mbetween{"gte":0.05}0.05317987895624565sequence_step_2
ONUSDT2026-07-24 21:34−4.87%+2.01%−5.44%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
FIELDOPQUERYOBSERVEDSCOPE
feature.candle_engulfing_15meq"bullish"bullishsequence_step_1
feature.ret_15mbetween{"gte":0.05}0.053893866299103976sequence_step_2
DEXEUSDT2026-07-24 21:16−3.55%+0.00%−11.14%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
FIELDOPQUERYOBSERVEDSCOPE
feature.candle_engulfing_15meq"bullish"bullishsequence_step_1
feature.ret_15mbetween{"gte":0.05}0.052800466744457486sequence_step_2
ACEUSDT2026-07-24 17:30−2.50%+0.96%−8.45%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
FIELDOPQUERYOBSERVEDSCOPE
feature.candle_engulfing_15meq"bullish"bullishsequence_step_1
feature.ret_15mbetween{"gte":0.05}0.06007827788649722sequence_step_2
FLUIDUSDT2026-07-24 13:58−2.87%+0.42%−4.47%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
FIELDOPQUERYOBSERVEDSCOPE
feature.candle_engulfing_15meq"bullish"bullishsequence_step_1
feature.ret_15mbetween{"gte":0.05}0.06182795698924726sequence_step_2
HANAUSDT2026-07-24 12:39+0.50%+1.92%−0.53%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
FIELDOPQUERYOBSERVEDSCOPE
feature.candle_engulfing_15meq"bullish"bullishsequence_step_1
feature.ret_15mbetween{"gte":0.05}0.05046439628482968sequence_step_2
ESPORTSUSDT2026-07-24 12:10−1.24%+2.07%−2.14%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
FIELDOPQUERYOBSERVEDSCOPE
feature.candle_engulfing_15meq"bullish"bullishsequence_step_1
feature.ret_15mbetween{"gte":0.05}0.056433957674531854sequence_step_2
AKEUSDT2026-07-24 10:30+2.91%+11.41%−1.70%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
FIELDOPQUERYOBSERVEDSCOPE
feature.candle_engulfing_15meq"bullish"bullishsequence_step_1
feature.ret_15mbetween{"gte":0.05}0.05067332487413534sequence_step_2
ONUSDT2026-07-24 09:52−3.43%+2.29%−9.50%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
FIELDOPQUERYOBSERVEDSCOPE
feature.candle_engulfing_15meq"bullish"bullishsequence_step_1
feature.ret_15mbetween{"gte":0.05}0.05660474983184138sequence_step_2
ORDERUSDT2026-07-24 09:37+0.58%+2.93%−2.30%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
FIELDOPQUERYOBSERVEDSCOPE
feature.candle_engulfing_15meq"bullish"bullishsequence_step_1
feature.ret_15mbetween{"gte":0.05}0.05085730892182494sequence_step_2
VANRYUSDT2026-07-24 09:18−2.09%+3.09%−2.56%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
FIELDOPQUERYOBSERVEDSCOPE
feature.candle_engulfing_15meq"bullish"bullishsequence_step_1
feature.ret_15mbetween{"gte":0.05}0.06922234392113924sequence_step_2
TAIKOUSDT2026-07-24 07:01−0.71%+3.97%−3.34%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
FIELDOPQUERYOBSERVEDSCOPE
feature.candle_engulfing_15meq"bullish"bullishsequence_step_1
feature.ret_15mbetween{"gte":0.05}0.06685756972111556sequence_step_2
BANKUSDT2026-07-24 06:45+2.81%+8.03%−1.40%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
FIELDOPQUERYOBSERVEDSCOPE
feature.candle_engulfing_15meq"bullish"bullishsequence_step_1
feature.ret_15mbetween{"gte":0.05}0.06737168755869494sequence_step_2
AKEUSDT2026-07-24 06:18−6.30%+4.80%−14.28%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
FIELDOPQUERYOBSERVEDSCOPE
feature.candle_engulfing_15meq"bullish"bullishsequence_step_1
feature.ret_15mbetween{"gte":0.05}0.06829814459373007sequence_step_2
SWARMSUSDT2026-07-24 04:14−1.78%+0.15%−3.48%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
FIELDOPQUERYOBSERVEDSCOPE
feature.candle_engulfing_15meq"bullish"bullishsequence_step_1
feature.ret_15mbetween{"gte":0.05}0.05440187189236623sequence_step_2
AGTUSDT2026-07-24 04:12−0.90%+1.06%−5.38%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
FIELDOPQUERYOBSERVEDSCOPE
feature.candle_engulfing_15meq"bullish"bullishsequence_step_1
feature.ret_15mbetween{"gte":0.05}0.05709542370434528sequence_step_2
DEXEUSDT2026-07-24 04:02+5.65%+10.11%−0.40%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
FIELDOPQUERYOBSERVEDSCOPE
feature.candle_engulfing_15meq"bullish"bullishsequence_step_1
feature.ret_15mbetween{"gte":0.05}0.05041518386714117sequence_step_2
RIFUSDT2026-07-24 03:40+5.91%+7.58%−2.71%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
FIELDOPQUERYOBSERVEDSCOPE
feature.candle_engulfing_15meq"bullish"bullishsequence_step_1
feature.ret_15mbetween{"gte":0.05}0.05009944123496557sequence_step_2
ZHIPUUSDT2026-07-24 01:49+5.27%+8.21%−0.72%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
FIELDOPQUERYOBSERVEDSCOPE
feature.candle_engulfing_15meq"bullish"bullishsequence_step_1
feature.ret_15mbetween{"gte":0.05}0.050502948317724616sequence_step_2
BROCCOLIF3BUSDT2026-07-24 00:24−4.77%−0.10%−5.33%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
FIELDOPQUERYOBSERVEDSCOPE
feature.candle_engulfing_15meq"bullish"bullishsequence_step_1
feature.ret_15mbetween{"gte":0.05}0.07027522935779817sequence_step_2
RIFUSDT2026-07-23 21:46+0.19%+6.01%−7.58%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
FIELDOPQUERYOBSERVEDSCOPE
feature.candle_engulfing_15meq"bullish"bullishsequence_step_1
feature.ret_15mbetween{"gte":0.05}0.07306889352818358sequence_step_2
ESPORTSUSDT2026-07-23 20:17+8.32%+18.23%−0.70%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
FIELDOPQUERYOBSERVEDSCOPE
feature.candle_engulfing_15meq"bullish"bullishsequence_step_1
feature.ret_15mbetween{"gte":0.05}0.057776284850520554sequence_step_2
AKEUSDT2026-07-23 20:09+5.81%+7.22%−2.30%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
FIELDOPQUERYOBSERVEDSCOPE
feature.candle_engulfing_15meq"bullish"bullishsequence_step_1
feature.ret_15mbetween{"gte":0.05}0.08557815649624345sequence_step_2
MVLLUSDT2026-07-23 20:04+0.33%+1.41%−0.63%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
FIELDOPQUERYOBSERVEDSCOPE
feature.candle_engulfing_15meq"bullish"bullishsequence_step_1
feature.ret_15mbetween{"gte":0.05}0.051522248243559776sequence_step_2
SOXLUSDT2026-07-23 20:04+0.86%+1.79%−0.49%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
FIELDOPQUERYOBSERVEDSCOPE
feature.candle_engulfing_15meq"bullish"bullishsequence_step_1
feature.ret_15mbetween{"gte":0.05}0.05490783560216239sequence_step_2
INTCUSDT2026-07-23 20:01+5.31%+8.29%−3.59%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
FIELDOPQUERYOBSERVEDSCOPE
feature.candle_engulfing_15meq"bullish"bullishsequence_step_1
feature.ret_15mbetween{"gte":0.05}0.05125125125125107sequence_step_2
LAUSDT2026-07-23 18:49−3.08%+3.75%−4.67%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
FIELDOPQUERYOBSERVEDSCOPE
feature.candle_engulfing_15meq"bullish"bullishsequence_step_1
feature.ret_15mbetween{"gte":0.05}0.05211224175146456sequence_step_2
BUSDT2026-07-23 17:53−3.46%+5.43%−5.43%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
FIELDOPQUERYOBSERVEDSCOPE
feature.candle_engulfing_15meq"bullish"bullishsequence_step_1
feature.ret_15mbetween{"gte":0.05}0.10399529964747378sequence_step_2
RIFUSDT2026-07-23 16:52−4.42%+1.18%−12.62%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
FIELDOPQUERYOBSERVEDSCOPE
feature.candle_engulfing_15meq"bullish"bullishsequence_step_1
feature.ret_15mbetween{"gte":0.05}0.07364858847626676sequence_step_2
RIFUSDT2026-07-23 15:46+1.81%+5.57%−1.47%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
FIELDOPQUERYOBSERVEDSCOPE
feature.candle_engulfing_15meq"bullish"bullishsequence_step_1
feature.ret_15mbetween{"gte":0.05}0.0611089418196018sequence_step_2
RIFUSDT2026-07-23 14:01+3.10%+13.84%−0.95%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
FIELDOPQUERYOBSERVEDSCOPE
feature.candle_engulfing_15meq"bullish"bullishsequence_step_1
feature.ret_15mbetween{"gte":0.05}0.057202408522464054sequence_step_2
B2USDT2026-07-23 13:58−1.70%+1.52%−2.69%
WHY THIS MATCHED - THE RECORDED VALUES AT THAT MOMENT · NEVER MODEL-WRITTEN
FIELDOPQUERYOBSERVEDSCOPE
feature.candle_engulfing_15meq"bullish"bullishsequence_step_1
feature.ret_15mbetween{"gte":0.05}0.05269645608628659sequence_step_2
HOW THIS WAS COMPUTED - GENERATED FROM THE DEFINITION, NOT WRITTEN BY ANYONESAME ID, SAME RESULT · FULL VERSIONS BELOW
DEFINITION
2 steps · 1 scope
feature.candle_engulfing_15m = bullish THEN feature.ret_15m ≥ 0.05 WITHIN PT1H. the chips at the top of the page are this definition, verbatim.
EXECUTION
edge-triggered · 1m UTC grid
the predicate becomes true having been false; sequences chain greedy-earliest and anchor at completion; episode dedupe PT1H. deterministic at every worker count.
DENOMINATORS
47,227,702 of 70,192,037
eligible market-minutes scanned (one market for one minute) across 677 markets; 22,964,335 excluded where a measurement was not yet available - missing data shrinks the denominator, it never counts as zero; 15778 market-days excluded by the source ledger. counts are matches within the scanned window, never a base rate.
OUTCOMES
forward from anchor · in-scan
closed threshold list ±1/2/5/10/15/20 pct, 14 fixed buckets across 9 forward metrics, computed over all occurrences pre-paging. an outcome absent at the record edge (horizon incomplete) is counted, never truncated or implied zero. nothing on this page is filterable by outcome. nothing here is a guarantee or trading advice.
OBSERVATION SCOPE
setup as-of anchor
setup values are as-of the anchor bucket close (point-in-time freeze); window aggregates cover their stated pre-anchor duration; every value the predicate consulted is at or before the anchor.
PIN
pinned 2026-07-27 · 1285
the pinned result (counts, page-1 rows, outcomes, outcomes summary) never mutates. later dataset revisions are new runs, never merged.
SORT
times.anchor_time asc
the only record sort in v2.0; page limit 50. the pinned rows are page 1 of 1,285 - charts and rates derive from the summary over all occurrences, never from the page.
VERSIONS
q#3c0016a5 · rev f0d647bc1445
schema research_query.v2 · normalization archive_normalization.v1 · features feature_defs.v1 · encoding record_result.v4. same key implies a byte-identical rerun.
DATASET REV · FULL
f0d647bc14452e0295117f9097d10b35c52afa1d007f1ece970d1a5169d5d977
SINCE PUBLICATION - HOW THE SAME SEARCH HAS DONE ON NEW DATASAME DOCUMENT · 2026-07-27 → NOW

ARMED AS A STANDING ALERT (definition #3, linked 2026-07-27): the live alert watches for exactly this definition - it and this page compile to the same ID.

MFE ≥ +5% within 1hhistory 35.8% of 1284 · forward loading…
closed ≥ +2% at 24hhistory 35.1% of 1261 · forward loading…
closed ≤ −2% at 24hhistory 53.8% of 1261 · forward loading…

Forward outcomes are observed counts of the period after publication, refreshed hourly from the same deterministic document. Horizons complete on their own clock; a pending horizon is counted as pending, never as zero. Nothing here is a guarantee or trading advice.

Run your own variation

The values above are the whole definition. Re-open them in /research (the Find occurrences study), change anything, and it re-enters the confirm step before anything runs.

OPEN /RESEARCH →
These are counts of what happened in the scanned window, not a promise it happens again. Nothing here is trading advice.