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< All conditions
Condition · recorded history

Swept the lows and reclaimed (1h)

The last completed one-hour candle swept prior lows and closed back above them: the "bullish" sweep and reclaim formation on the hourly.

What is a base rate?

Recorded window: 5 Oct 2026 to 3 Nov 2026 (UTC). Counted 4 Nov 2026 at 08:20 UTC.

Read it in context

  1. On one market

    Each market page compares that market with its own minutes, not with every market at once.

    Compare markets

  2. Test it, then plan it

    Narrow it to your markets and dates in the Workbench. A tested result leads to Plan a trade, which measures what trading it would have paid after costs.

    Edit this test in Workbench

By market

Results vary by market. Compare a market before drawing a conclusion.

Most matches:RIFUSDTEVAAUSDTLSKUSDTDOTUSDTESPUSDTBRUSDT
All 135 markets
1000BONKUSDT1000PEPEUSDT1000RATSUSDT1000SHIBUSDT4USDTAAVEUSDTACEUSDTADAUSDTAINUSDTAIOUSDTAKEUSDTAPRUSDTAPTUSDTARBUSDTARKUSDTASTERUSDTATOMUSDTAVAXUSDTBANKUSDTBCHUSDTBEAMXUSDTBEATUSDTBICOUSDTBLESSUSDTBLUAIUSDTBMTUSDTBNBUSDTBOMEUSDTBRUSDTBTCUSDTBTRUSDTBTWUSDTBULLAUSDTCAPUSDTCOTIUSDTCOWUSDTCYSUSDTDASHUSDTDEXEUSDTDOGEUSDTDOTUSDTEDENUSDTENAUSDTESPORTSUSDTESPUSDTETHUSDTEULUSDTEVAAUSDTFARTCOINUSDTFILUSDTFLOCKUSDTGIGGLEUSDTGPSUSDTGRVTUSDTGUSDTGWEIUSDTHBARUSDTHEIUSDTHEMIUSDTHFTUSDTHOMEUSDTHYPEUSDTIDOLUSDTINJUSDTIOSTUSDTJCTUSDTKAITOUSDTKOMAUSDTLABUSDTLAUSDTLINKUSDTLITUSDTLSKUSDTLTCUSDTMAGMAUSDTMARSCOINUSDTMMTUSDTMOVRUSDTMUBARAKUSDTNEARUSDTNILUSDTONDOUSDTONEUSDTONGUSDTONUSDTOPUSDTORDIUSDTPARTIUSDTPAXGUSDTPENGUUSDTPHAUSDTPOLUSDTPONSUSDTPORTALUSDTPROMUSDTPUMPUSDTQNTUSDTQUSDTRAYSOLUSDTRIFUSDTSAGAUSDTSEIUSDTSKRUSDTSKYAIUSDTSOLUSDTSOONUSDTSOPHUSDTSUIUSDTSYNUSDTTACUSDTTAKEUSDTTAOUSDTTIAUSDTTRUMPUSDTTRXUSDTTUSDTTUTUSDTUAIUSDTUBUSDTUNIUSDTUSELESSUSDTVELVETUSDTVTHOUSDTVVVUSDTWIFUSDTWLDUSDTWLFIUSDTXLMUSDTXMRUSDTXPLUSDTXRPUSDTZAMAUSDTZECUSDTZKCUSDTZROUSDT
How results varied by market

Range across 119 markets with at least 30 measured: reached +5% within 24 hours in 0 of 40 on BNBUSDT (0%) to 28 of 30 on CAPUSDT (93%).

Every market pooled, without context

What happened in the next 24 hours?

This condition showed no clear difference for either move.

Other minutes are the same markets and dates without this condition. Each percentage is the share of measured minutes that reached that move from the starting price.

Price touched +5% or higher

When this held
23.7% · 5,522 of 23,307 minutes
Other minutes
24.3% · 4,653,995 of 19,113,895 minutes

Price touched −10% or lower

When this held
7.8% · 1,822 of 23,307 minutes
Other minutes
8.7% · 1,654,546 of 19,113,895 minutes

Price can touch both levels within the same 24 hours.

Every matching minute counts, so one long run adds many near-identical minutes. Busy markets weigh most.

Every condition is measured over the same 24 hours, whatever the length of its own reading. Other windows and move sizes shows shorter and longer windows.

This counts how often price touched a level, not what trading it would have paid.

Sample and counting

Rates use the 23,307 of 23,920 matches, pooled across 523 markets, with a full 24 hours after them. The 613 newer ones are left out, not counted as zero.

When it happened
Matches per UTC day, 2026-10-05 to 2026-11-04

About 772 a day, on 31 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.

Other windows and move sizes
Matches that reached each move within each window. Counts first; the measured row is what each rate is over.
Move1 hour4 hours24 hours72 hours7 days
Measured23,47623,47623,30720,91318,134
Too recent4444446133,0075,786
+0.1% or more20,938 (89.2%)22,300 (95.0%)22,796 (97.8%)20,590 (98.5%)17,917 (98.8%)
+0.2% or more18,483 (78.7%)21,022 (89.5%)22,255 (95.5%)20,271 (96.9%)17,707 (97.6%)
+0.5% or more11,825 (50.4%)17,238 (73.4%)20,653 (88.6%)19,317 (92.4%)17,063 (94.1%)
+1% or more5,323 (22.7%)11,978 (51.0%)17,971 (77.1%)17,791 (85.1%)16,049 (88.5%)
+2% or more1,513 (6.4%)5,476 (23.3%)13,411 (57.5%)15,231 (72.8%)14,358 (79.2%)
+5% or more235 (1.0%)1,144 (4.9%)5,522 (23.7%)9,343 (44.7%)10,156 (56.0%)
+10% or more52 (0.2%)238 (1.0%)1,697 (7.3%)4,224 (20.2%)5,752 (31.7%)
+15% or more19 (0.1%)105 (0.4%)819 (3.5%)2,249 (10.8%)3,584 (19.8%)
+20% or more12 (0.1%)55 (0.2%)466 (2.0%)1,405 (6.7%)2,416 (13.3%)
+30% or more7 (<0.1%)25 (0.1%)219 (0.9%)709 (3.4%)1,388 (7.7%)
+50% or more2 (<0.1%)6 (<0.1%)76 (0.3%)316 (1.5%)721 (4.0%)
+100% or more0 (0.0%)0 (0.0%)15 (0.1%)84 (0.4%)251 (1.4%)
+200% or more0 (0.0%)0 (0.0%)3 (<0.1%)25 (0.1%)80 (0.4%)
+400% or more0 (0.0%)0 (0.0%)0 (0.0%)2 (<0.1%)19 (0.1%)
−0.1% or lower20,696 (88.2%)22,252 (94.8%)22,975 (98.6%)20,781 (99.4%)18,087 (99.7%)
−0.2% or lower18,565 (79.1%)21,258 (90.6%)22,691 (97.4%)20,670 (98.8%)18,052 (99.5%)
−0.5% or lower12,538 (53.4%)17,992 (76.6%)21,653 (92.9%)20,279 (97.0%)17,934 (98.9%)
−1% or lower6,212 (26.5%)13,158 (56.0%)19,878 (85.3%)19,567 (93.6%)17,741 (97.8%)
−2% or lower1,773 (7.6%)6,856 (29.2%)16,346 (70.1%)18,120 (86.6%)17,289 (95.3%)
−5% or lower203 (0.9%)1,277 (5.4%)7,760 (33.3%)13,854 (66.2%)15,541 (85.7%)
−10% or lower26 (0.1%)186 (0.8%)1,822 (7.8%)6,303 (30.1%)10,419 (57.5%)
−15% or lower6 (<0.1%)62 (0.3%)497 (2.1%)2,069 (9.9%)4,995 (27.5%)
−20% or lower1 (<0.1%)23 (0.1%)224 (1.0%)750 (3.6%)2,111 (11.6%)
−30% or lower1 (<0.1%)7 (<0.1%)64 (0.3%)227 (1.1%)530 (2.9%)
−50% or lower0 (0.0%)0 (0.0%)6 (<0.1%)44 (0.2%)117 (0.6%)

Each window counts only matches old enough for it, so a longer window can show fewer.

Distributions and daily counts
Upside reached · 24hUpside reached (MFE, 24h)The most price moved up within 24 hours of each match: a high-water mark, never a close. 23,307 with a complete 24 hours.
Drawdown · 24hDrawdown (MAE, 24h)The worst price moved against within 24 hours of each match: the deepest point, never the close. 23,307 with a complete 24 hours.
Price 30 minutes laterForward 30-minute returnForward 30-minute returns across 23,134 matches: close to an even split, which is what a coin flip looks like. 786 too recent.

How to read a distribution

Matches per UTC day

  • 5 Oct607 matches
  • 6 Oct714 matches
  • 7 Oct1,197 matches
  • 8 Oct794 matches
  • 9 Oct416 matches
  • 10 Oct336 matches
  • 11 Oct710 matches
  • 12 Oct1,177 matches
  • 13 Oct252 matches
  • 14 Oct1,258 matches
  • 15 Oct795 matches
  • 16 Oct759 matches
  • 17 Oct1,092 matches
  • 18 Oct1,113 matches
  • 19 Oct610 matches
  • 20 Oct438 matches
  • 21 Oct318 matches
  • 22 Oct1,748 matches
  • 23 Oct608 matches
  • 24 Oct707 matches
  • 25 Oct766 matches
  • 26 Oct1,089 matches
  • 27 Oct792 matches
  • 28 Oct731 matches
  • 29 Oct1,095 matches
  • 30 Oct449 matches
  • 31 Oct447 matches
  • 1 Nov996 matches
  • 2 Nov1,329 matches
  • 3 Nov571 matches
  • 4 Nov6 matches
How this is counted
  • Each rate counts only matches with the full window after them.
  • A minute where a reading was missing is left out and reported, not read as zero.
  • The condition picks the setup, never the outcome: a definition that filters on what followed is rejected (OUTCOME_IN_PREDICATE). Every match is measured, winners and losers alike.
  • "Other minutes" is every other eligible minute in the same markets and window. It is a reference, not a control group.
  • "Reached +5%" uses the highest price inside the window (maximum favourable excursion, MFE); "fell to −10%" uses the lowest (maximum adverse excursion, MAE). Neither is the close.
  • Checked 22,553,705 eligible market-minutes (eligible_symbol_buckets) on 523 markets, 2026-10-05 00:00 to 2026-11-04 00:00 UTC.
  • These counts pool every market, so markets that match often weigh more. Each market page compares that market with its own reference.
  • Live status is not connected yet, so this page is recorded history only.

What are MFE and MAE?

Reproducibility key (q#2fc1de11)

The key that re-runs this exact count. Same key, same bytes; when the record grows, the dataset revision changes.

grammar
research_query.v2
normalization
archive_normalization.v1
feature library
feature_defs.v1
dataset revision
70100be4ccf86e3044026f7ad879e109e66fd2217956051676bed3045ba8eeea
query hash
2fc1de1109d69ec625562498e617f59a2e95ccfefe7ca9476189e4b5b13318ca
scanned window
2026-10-05T00:00:00.000Z to 2026-11-04T00:00:00.000Z (UTC)

Re-run over the API

The exact search definition behind this count. Send it to the key-authed research API (or the MCP research tool) and compare the bytes; a cached rerun is free.

{
  "schema_version": "research_query.v2",
  "normalization_version": "archive_normalization.v1",
  "feature_version": "feature_defs.v1",
  "target": "record_occurrences",
  "where": {
    "all": [
      [
        "feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_1h",
        "eq",
        "bullish"
      ],
      [
        "times.anchor_time",
        "between",
        [
          "2026-10-05T00:00:00.000Z",
          "2026-11-04T00:00:00.000Z"
        ]
      ]
    ]
  },
  "sort": [
    "times.anchor_time",
    "desc"
  ],
  "page": {
    "limit": 50,
    "cursor": null
  }
}
curl -s https://app.edgedepth.com/api/v1/research/query \
  -H 'authorization: Bearer $EDGEDEPTH_API_KEY' \
  -H 'content-type: application/json' \
  -d '{"schema_version":"research_query.v2","normalization_version":"archive_normalization.v1","feature_version":"feature_defs.v1","target":"record_occurrences","where":{"all":[["feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_1h","eq","bullish"],["times.anchor_time","between",["2026-10-05T00:00:00.000Z","2026-11-04T00:00:00.000Z"]]]},"sort":["times.anchor_time","desc"],"page":{"limit":50,"cursor":null}}'

Past examples from the record, not a guarantee or a prediction. Nothing here is trading advice.