XMRUSDT · recorded history

Swept the lows and reclaimed (1h) on XMRUSDT

The last completed one-hour candle swept prior lows and closed back above them: the "bullish" sweep and reclaim formation on the hourly.

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A tested result leads to Plan a trade, which measures what trading it would have paid after costs.
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What happened in the next 24 hours?

Reaching +5% was less common than without it; falling to −10% was about as common as without it.

Other minutes are the same markets and dates without this condition. Each percentage is the share of measured minutes that reached that move from the starting price.

Price touched +5% or higher

When this held: 18.8% · 6 of 32 minutes
Other minutes: 34.4% · 13,612 of 39,601 minutes

Price touched −10% or lower

When this held: 0.0% · 0 of 32 minutes
Other minutes: 1.0% · 408 of 39,601 minutes

Price can touch both levels within the same 24 hours.

This counts how often price touched a level, not what trading it would have paid.

Sample and counting

Rates use the 32 of 33 matches with a full 24 hours after them. The 1 newer ones are left out, not counted as zero.

Every condition is measured over the same 24 hours, whatever the length of its own reading. Other windows and move sizes shows shorter and longer windows.

When it happened

About 1.1 a day, on 20 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.

Other windows and move sizes

Matches that reached each move within each window. Counts first; the measured row is what each rate is over.
Move	1 hour	4 hours	24 hours	72 hours	7 days
Measured	33	33	32	30	26
Too recent	0	0	1	3	7
+0.1% or more	32 (97.0%)	33 (100.0%)	32 (100.0%)	30 (100.0%)	26
+0.2% or more	31 (93.9%)	32 (97.0%)	32 (100.0%)	30 (100.0%)	26
+0.5% or more	24 (72.7%)	29 (87.9%)	32 (100.0%)	30 (100.0%)	26
+1% or more	13 (39.4%)	22 (66.7%)	31 (96.9%)	30 (100.0%)	26
+2% or more	4 (12.1%)	7 (21.2%)	18 (56.3%)	22 (73.3%)	25
+5% or more	0 (0.0%)	1 (3.0%)	6 (18.8%)	17 (56.7%)	22
+10% or more	0 (0.0%)	0 (0.0%)	2 (6.3%)	8 (26.7%)	16
+15% or more	0 (0.0%)	0 (0.0%)	1 (3.1%)	4 (13.3%)	9
+20% or more	0 (0.0%)	0 (0.0%)	1 (3.1%)	2 (6.7%)	7
−0.1% or lower	29 (87.9%)	31 (93.9%)	32 (100.0%)	30 (100.0%)	26
−0.2% or lower	27 (81.8%)	30 (90.9%)	31 (96.9%)	29 (96.7%)	26
−0.5% or lower	15 (45.5%)	25 (75.8%)	30 (93.8%)	28 (93.3%)	24
−1% or lower	5 (15.2%)	15 (45.5%)	24 (75.0%)	25 (83.3%)	23
−2% or lower	2 (6.1%)	7 (21.2%)	18 (56.3%)	20 (66.7%)	20
−5% or lower	0 (0.0%)	0 (0.0%)	3 (9.4%)	12 (40.0%)	10
−10% or lower	0 (0.0%)	0 (0.0%)	0 (0.0%)	0 (0.0%)	0

Each window counts only matches old enough for it, so a longer window can show fewer.

Distributions and daily counts

Upside reached · 24hThe most price moved up within 24 hours of each match: a high-water mark, never a close. 32 with a complete 24 hours.

Drawdown · 24hThe worst price moved against within 24 hours of each match: the deepest point, never the close. 32 with a complete 24 hours.

Price 30 minutes laterForward 30-minute returns across 33 matches: 70% of them finished up. 0 too recent.

How to read a distribution

Matches per UTC day

23 Aug2 matches
24 Aug1 match
25 Aug1 match
26 Aug1 match
27 Aug0 matches
28 Aug1 match
29 Aug1 match
30 Aug0 matches
31 Aug0 matches
1 Sep2 matches
2 Sep0 matches
3 Sep1 match
4 Sep0 matches
5 Sep0 matches
6 Sep3 matches
7 Sep3 matches
8 Sep2 matches
9 Sep2 matches
10 Sep2 matches
11 Sep0 matches
12 Sep0 matches
13 Sep2 matches
14 Sep2 matches
15 Sep3 matches
16 Sep1 match
17 Sep0 matches
18 Sep0 matches
19 Sep1 match
20 Sep1 match
21 Sep1 match
22 Sep0 matches

How this is counted

Each rate counts only matches with the full window after them.
A minute where a reading was missing is left out and reported, not read as zero.
The condition picks the setup, never the outcome: a definition that filters on what followed is rejected (OUTCOME_IN_PREDICATE). Every match is measured, winners and losers alike.
"Other minutes" is every other eligible minute in the same market and window. It is a reference, not a control group.
"Reached +5%" uses the highest price inside the window (maximum favourable excursion, MFE); "fell to −10%" uses the lowest (maximum adverse excursion, MAE). Neither is the close.
Checked 43,201 eligible market-minutes (eligible_symbol_buckets) on XMRUSDT, 2026-08-23 00:00 to 2026-09-22 00:00 UTC.

What are MFE and MAE?

Reproducibility key (q#9ad4dbbe)

The key that re-runs this exact count. Same key, same bytes; when the record grows, the dataset revision changes.

grammar: research_query.v2
normalization: archive_normalization.v1
feature library: feature_defs.v1
dataset revision: 85fdc316e9b72ff71f3d15a0e2c4eb0bef124ff6c049cc39416fbae85eb07e5b
query hash: 9ad4dbbe1acb51400a34e091f196f0970430a9c67dcd39dc41ce241ffde18df8
scanned window: 2026-08-23T00:00:00.000Z to 2026-09-22T00:00:00.000Z (UTC)

Re-run over the API

The exact search definition behind this count. Send it to the key-authed research API (or the MCP research tool) and compare the bytes; a cached rerun is free.

{
  "schema_version": "research_query.v2",
  "normalization_version": "archive_normalization.v1",
  "feature_version": "feature_defs.v1",
  "target": "record_occurrences",
  "where": {
    "all": [
      [
        "feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_1h",
        "eq",
        "bullish"
      ],
      [
        "identity.symbol",
        "eq",
        "xmrusdt"
      ],
      [
        "times.anchor_time",
        "between",
        [
          "2026-08-23T00:00:00.000Z",
          "2026-09-22T00:00:00.000Z"
        ]
      ]
    ]
  },
  "sort": [
    "times.anchor_time",
    "desc"
  ],
  "page": {
    "limit": 50,
    "cursor": null
  }
}

curl -s https://app.edgedepth.com/api/v1/research/query \
  -H 'authorization: Bearer $EDGEDEPTH_API_KEY' \
  -H 'content-type: application/json' \
  -d '{"schema_version":"research_query.v2","normalization_version":"archive_normalization.v1","feature_version":"feature_defs.v1","target":"record_occurrences","where":{"all":[["feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_1h","eq","bullish"],["identity.symbol","eq","xmrusdt"],["times.anchor_time","between",["2026-08-23T00:00:00.000Z","2026-09-22T00:00:00.000Z"]]]},"sort":["times.anchor_time","desc"],"page":{"limit":50,"cursor":null}}'

Swept the lows and reclaimed (1h) on XMRUSDT

Read it in context

Read XMRUSDT itself

Test it on XMRUSDT, then plan it

What happened in the next 24 hours?

Price touched +5% or higher

Price touched −10% or lower