ASTERUSDT · recorded history

Swept the lows and reclaimed (1h) on ASTERUSDT

The last completed one-hour candle swept prior lows and closed back above them: the "bullish" sweep and reclaim formation on the hourly.

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A tested result leads to Plan a trade, which measures what trading it would have paid after costs.
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What happened in the next 24 hours?

This condition showed no clear difference for either move.

Other minutes are the same markets and dates without this condition. Each percentage is the share of measured minutes that reached that move from the starting price.

Price touched +5% or higher

When this held: 27.8% · 10 of 36 minutes
Other minutes: 25.0% · 9,812 of 39,240 minutes

Price touched −10% or lower

When this held: 2.8% · 1 of 36 minutes
Other minutes: 3.6% · 1,423 of 39,240 minutes

Price can touch both levels within the same 24 hours.

This counts how often price touched a level, not what trading it would have paid.

Sample and counting

Rates use the 36 of 37 matches with a full 24 hours after them. The 1 newer ones are left out, not counted as zero.

Every condition is measured over the same 24 hours, whatever the length of its own reading. Other windows and move sizes shows shorter and longer windows.

When it happened

About 1.2 a day, on 18 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.

Other windows and move sizes

Matches that reached each move within each window. Counts first; the measured row is what each rate is over.
Move	1 hour	4 hours	24 hours	72 hours	7 days
Measured	37	37	36	29	25
Too recent	0	0	1	8	12
+0.1% or more	33 (89.2%)	36 (97.3%)	36 (100.0%)	29	25
+0.2% or more	28 (75.7%)	33 (89.2%)	35 (97.2%)	29	25
+0.5% or more	19 (51.4%)	26 (70.3%)	32 (88.9%)	28	25
+1% or more	9 (24.3%)	19 (51.4%)	24 (66.7%)	26	25
+2% or more	1 (2.7%)	3 (8.1%)	17 (47.2%)	18	25
+5% or more	0 (0.0%)	0 (0.0%)	10 (27.8%)	15	23
+10% or more	0 (0.0%)	0 (0.0%)	2 (5.6%)	6	16
+15% or more	0 (0.0%)	0 (0.0%)	1 (2.8%)	4	15
+20% or more	0 (0.0%)	0 (0.0%)	0 (0.0%)	3	15
+30% or more	0 (0.0%)	0 (0.0%)	0 (0.0%)	1	2
−0.1% or lower	29 (78.4%)	34 (91.9%)	35 (97.2%)	28	25
−0.2% or lower	23 (62.2%)	30 (81.1%)	33 (91.7%)	28	25
−0.5% or lower	14 (37.8%)	24 (64.9%)	31 (86.1%)	25	22
−1% or lower	8 (21.6%)	16 (43.2%)	27 (75.0%)	21	19
−2% or lower	2 (5.4%)	10 (27.0%)	19 (52.8%)	15	14
−5% or lower	0 (0.0%)	0 (0.0%)	5 (13.9%)	8	5
−10% or lower	0 (0.0%)	0 (0.0%)	1 (2.8%)	3	1

Each window counts only matches old enough for it, so a longer window can show fewer.

Distributions and daily counts

Upside reached · 24hThe most price moved up within 24 hours of each match: a high-water mark, never a close. 36 with a complete 24 hours.

Drawdown · 24hThe worst price moved against within 24 hours of each match: the deepest point, never the close. 36 with a complete 24 hours.

Price 30 minutes laterForward 30-minute returns across 37 matches: 62% of them finished up. 0 too recent.

How to read a distribution

Matches per UTC day

13 Aug0 matches
14 Aug2 matches
15 Aug0 matches
16 Aug2 matches
17 Aug0 matches
18 Aug0 matches
19 Aug1 match
20 Aug0 matches
21 Aug1 match
22 Aug1 match
23 Aug0 matches
24 Aug0 matches
25 Aug1 match
26 Aug3 matches
27 Aug1 match
28 Aug3 matches
29 Aug0 matches
30 Aug2 matches
31 Aug0 matches
1 Sep6 matches
2 Sep0 matches
3 Sep1 match
4 Sep1 match
5 Sep1 match
6 Sep0 matches
7 Sep0 matches
8 Sep3 matches
9 Sep2 matches
10 Sep5 matches
11 Sep1 match
12 Sep0 matches

How this is counted

Each rate counts only matches with the full window after them.
A minute where a reading was missing is left out and reported, not read as zero.
The condition picks the setup, never the outcome: a definition that filters on what followed is rejected (OUTCOME_IN_PREDICATE). Every match is measured, winners and losers alike.
"Other minutes" is every other eligible minute in the same market and window. It is a reference, not a control group.
"Reached +5%" uses the highest price inside the window (maximum favourable excursion, MFE); "fell to −10%" uses the lowest (maximum adverse excursion, MAE). Neither is the close.
Checked 43,201 eligible market-minutes (eligible_symbol_buckets) on ASTERUSDT, 2026-08-13 00:00 to 2026-09-12 00:00 UTC.

What are MFE and MAE?

Reproducibility key (q#ca7096e2)

The key that re-runs this exact count. Same key, same bytes; when the record grows, the dataset revision changes.

grammar: research_query.v2
normalization: archive_normalization.v1
feature library: feature_defs.v1
dataset revision: 6f4da1c2adf862b510f8a35228a8fd2c0c503e6161f51a09a723319e064d2c16
query hash: ca7096e2cd922d4d58e37b6148d048b0561144aa9b096d88cb7b71971bb60bf3
scanned window: 2026-08-13T00:00:00.000Z to 2026-09-12T00:00:00.000Z (UTC)

Re-run over the API

The exact search definition behind this count. Send it to the key-authed research API (or the MCP research tool) and compare the bytes; a cached rerun is free.

{
  "schema_version": "research_query.v2",
  "normalization_version": "archive_normalization.v1",
  "feature_version": "feature_defs.v1",
  "target": "record_occurrences",
  "where": {
    "all": [
      [
        "feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_1h",
        "eq",
        "bullish"
      ],
      [
        "identity.symbol",
        "eq",
        "asterusdt"
      ],
      [
        "times.anchor_time",
        "between",
        [
          "2026-08-13T00:00:00.000Z",
          "2026-09-12T00:00:00.000Z"
        ]
      ]
    ]
  },
  "sort": [
    "times.anchor_time",
    "desc"
  ],
  "page": {
    "limit": 50,
    "cursor": null
  }
}

curl -s https://app.edgedepth.com/api/v1/research/query \
  -H 'authorization: Bearer $EDGEDEPTH_API_KEY' \
  -H 'content-type: application/json' \
  -d '{"schema_version":"research_query.v2","normalization_version":"archive_normalization.v1","feature_version":"feature_defs.v1","target":"record_occurrences","where":{"all":[["feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_1h","eq","bullish"],["identity.symbol","eq","asterusdt"],["times.anchor_time","between",["2026-08-13T00:00:00.000Z","2026-09-12T00:00:00.000Z"]]]},"sort":["times.anchor_time","desc"],"page":{"limit":50,"cursor":null}}'

Swept the lows and reclaimed (1h) on ASTERUSDT

Read it in context

Read ASTERUSDT itself

Test it on ASTERUSDT, then plan it

What happened in the next 24 hours?

Price touched +5% or higher

Price touched −10% or lower