RIFUSDT · recorded history

Swept the lows and reclaimed (1h) on RIFUSDT

The last completed one-hour candle swept prior lows and closed back above them: the "bullish" sweep and reclaim formation on the hourly.

Read it in context

  1. Read RIFUSDT itself

  2. Its recorded moves

  3. Test it on RIFUSDT, then plan it

    A tested result leads to Plan a trade, which measures what trading it would have paid after costs.

What happened in the next 24 hours?

This condition showed no clear difference for either move.

Other minutes are the same markets and dates without this condition. Each percentage is the share of measured minutes that reached that move from the starting price.

Price touched +5% or higher

When this held
61.3% · 38 of 62 minutes
Other minutes
58.6% · 20,864 of 35,576 minutes

Price touched −10% or lower

When this held
41.9% · 26 of 62 minutes
Other minutes
36.5% · 12,979 of 35,576 minutes

Price can touch both levels within the same 24 hours.

This counts how often price touched a level, not what trading it would have paid.

Sample and counting

Rates use the 62 of 63 matches with a full 24 hours after them. The 1 newer ones are left out, not counted as zero.

Every condition is measured over the same 24 hours, whatever the length of its own reading. Other windows and move sizes shows shorter and longer windows.

When it happened
Matches per UTC day, 2026-07-04 to 2026-08-03

About 2 a day, on 28 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.

Over the full record

Every recorded day on RIFUSDT, 2026-05-15 to 2026-08-03: reached +5% in 61 of 101 (60.4%); fell to −10% in 39 of 101 (38.6%), within 24 hours.

Other windows and move sizes
Matches that reached each move within each window. Counts first; the measured row is what each rate is over.
Move1 hour4 hours24 hours
Measured636362
Too recent001
+1% or more31 (49.2%)51 (81.0%)59 (95.2%)
+2% or more16 (25.4%)36 (57.1%)56 (90.3%)
+5% or more1 (1.6%)17 (27.0%)38 (61.3%)
+10% or more0 (0.0%)6 (9.5%)23 (37.1%)
+15% or more0 (0.0%)3 (4.8%)15 (24.2%)
+20% or more0 (0.0%)0 (0.0%)11 (17.7%)
−1% or lower43 (68.3%)51 (81.0%)58 (93.5%)
−2% or lower23 (36.5%)36 (57.1%)52 (83.9%)
−5% or lower9 (14.3%)19 (30.2%)43 (69.4%)
−10% or lower3 (4.8%)11 (17.5%)26 (41.9%)
−15% or lower1 (1.6%)5 (7.9%)18 (29.0%)
−20% or lower1 (1.6%)5 (7.9%)14 (22.6%)

Each window counts only matches old enough for it, so a longer window can show fewer.

Full record: other windows and move sizes
Matches that reached each move within each window. Counts first; the measured row is what each rate is over.
Move1 hour4 hours24 hours
Measured102102101
Too recent001
+1% or more53 (52.0%)78 (76.5%)94 (93.1%)
+2% or more24 (23.5%)56 (54.9%)86 (85.1%)
+5% or more2 (2.0%)26 (25.5%)61 (60.4%)
+10% or more0 (0.0%)7 (6.9%)35 (34.7%)
+15% or more0 (0.0%)3 (2.9%)25 (24.8%)
+20% or more0 (0.0%)0 (0.0%)18 (17.8%)
−1% or lower72 (70.6%)84 (82.4%)96 (95.0%)
−2% or lower40 (39.2%)63 (61.8%)88 (87.1%)
−5% or lower11 (10.8%)27 (26.5%)68 (67.3%)
−10% or lower4 (3.9%)13 (12.7%)39 (38.6%)
−15% or lower1 (1.0%)5 (4.9%)26 (25.7%)
−20% or lower1 (1.0%)5 (4.9%)17 (16.8%)

Each window counts only matches old enough for it, so a longer window can show fewer.

Distributions and daily counts
Upside reached · 24hUpside reached (MFE, 24h)The most price moved up within 24 hours of each match: a high-water mark, never a close. 62 with a complete 24 hours.
Drawdown · 24hDrawdown (MAE, 24h)The worst price moved against within 24 hours of each match: the deepest point, never the close. 62 with a complete 24 hours.
Price 30 minutes laterForward 30-minute returnForward 30-minute returns across 63 matches: 65% of them finished down. 0 too recent.

How to read a distribution

Matches per UTC day

  • 4 Jul6 matches
  • 5 Jul2 matches
  • 6 Jul1 match
  • 7 Jul1 match
  • 8 Jul1 match
  • 9 Jul1 match
  • 10 Jul1 match
  • 11 Jul3 matches
  • 12 Jul1 match
  • 13 Jul2 matches
  • 14 Jul4 matches
  • 15 Jul3 matches
  • 16 Jul2 matches
  • 17 Jul2 matches
  • 18 Jul2 matches
  • 19 Jul4 matches
  • 20 Jul4 matches
  • 21 Jul2 matches
  • 22 Jul3 matches
  • 23 Jul0 matches
  • 24 Jul3 matches
  • 25 Jul2 matches
  • 26 Jul3 matches
  • 27 Jul3 matches
  • 28 Jul1 match
  • 29 Jul1 match
  • 30 Jul1 match
  • 31 Jul3 matches
  • 1 Aug1 match
  • 2 Aug0 matches
  • 3 Aug0 matches
How this is counted
  • Each rate counts only matches with the full window after them.
  • A minute where a reading was missing is left out and reported, not read as zero.
  • The condition picks the setup, never the outcome: a definition that filters on what followed is rejected (OUTCOME_IN_PREDICATE). Every match is measured, winners and losers alike.
  • "Other minutes" is every other eligible minute in the same market and window. It is a reference, not a control group.
  • "Reached +5%" uses the highest price inside the window (maximum favourable excursion, MFE); "fell to −10%" uses the lowest (maximum adverse excursion, MAE). Neither is the close.
  • Checked 41,761 eligible market-minutes (eligible_symbol_buckets) on RIFUSDT, 2026-07-04 00:00 to 2026-08-03 00:00 UTC.

What are MFE and MAE?

Reproducibility key (q#cdb00489)

The key that re-runs this exact count. Same key, same bytes; when the record grows, the dataset revision changes.

grammar
research_query.v2
normalization
archive_normalization.v1
feature library
feature_defs.v1
dataset revision
a52c6390738e56734585b736b0a1c739bca72cac3f87cca21db6d03ebdd35d64
query hash
cdb00489850e88c62a23388bedd2aec5a0649502254246a850db3dd002664eb7
scanned window
2026-07-04T00:00:00.000Z to 2026-08-03T00:00:00.000Z (UTC)

Re-run over the API

The exact search definition behind this count. Send it to the key-authed research API (or the MCP research tool) and compare the bytes; a cached rerun is free.

{
  "schema_version": "research_query.v2",
  "normalization_version": "archive_normalization.v1",
  "feature_version": "feature_defs.v1",
  "target": "record_occurrences",
  "where": {
    "all": [
      [
        "feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_1h",
        "eq",
        "bullish"
      ],
      [
        "identity.symbol",
        "eq",
        "rifusdt"
      ],
      [
        "times.anchor_time",
        "between",
        [
          "2026-07-04T00:00:00.000Z",
          "2026-08-03T00:00:00.000Z"
        ]
      ]
    ]
  },
  "sort": [
    "times.anchor_time",
    "desc"
  ],
  "page": {
    "limit": 50,
    "cursor": null
  }
}
curl -s https://app.edgedepth.com/api/v1/research/query \
  -H 'authorization: Bearer $EDGEDEPTH_API_KEY' \
  -H 'content-type: application/json' \
  -d '{"schema_version":"research_query.v2","normalization_version":"archive_normalization.v1","feature_version":"feature_defs.v1","target":"record_occurrences","where":{"all":[["feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_1h","eq","bullish"],["identity.symbol","eq","rifusdt"],["times.anchor_time","between",["2026-07-04T00:00:00.000Z","2026-08-03T00:00:00.000Z"]]]},"sort":["times.anchor_time","desc"],"page":{"limit":50,"cursor":null}}'

Past examples from the record, not a guarantee or a prediction. Nothing here is trading advice.