ZAMAUSDT · historical base rate

Swept the lows and reclaimed (1h) on ZAMAUSDT

The last completed one-hour candle swept prior lows and closed back above them: the "bullish" sweep and reclaim formation on the hourly.

What has happened on ZAMAUSDT when it held

Historically, when Swept the lows and reclaimed (1h) on ZAMAUSDT held (30 occurrences in the scanned window, 28 with a computable 24h horizon), the market reached +5% within 24h in 10 of 28 (35.7) and drew down 10%+ in 2 of 28 (7.1). Maximum favorable (MFE) and maximum adverse (MAE) excursions, both computed forward.

Outcome distribution

WHAT FOLLOWED - ALL 30 MATCHES, FROM THE PER-SCAN SUMMARY

1 OF 29 (3.4%) REACHED +5% WITHIN 1H

METRIC MFE_1H · CHIPS RE-READ THE SUMMARY, NEVER RE-QUERY

🔒 COMPUTED FORWARD, NEVER A FILTER · DENOMINATOR 29 = MATCHES WITH A COMPLETE 1H HORIZON (1 ABSENT: TOO CLOSE TO THE RECORD EDGE FOR 1H - NEVER TRUNCATED, NEVER AN IMPLIED ZERO)

OCCURRENCES PER DAY · UTC · SUM 30 - ALL 30, NOT THE PAGE
MAX 5 · 2026-07-1307-0607-1307-2007-272026-07-02 TO 2026-08-01 · 31 UTC DAYS · ZERO DAYS KEEP THEIR SLOT

About 1 a day, on 17 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.

FWD_RET_30M DISTRIBUTION · 28 PRESENT · 2 ABSENT
≥ +5: 0 OF 28000032414320000≤-20-20..-15-15..-10-10..-5-5..-2-2..-1-1..00..+1+1..+2+2..+5+5..+10+10..+15+15..+20≥+20

Forward 30-minute returns across 28 matches: 68% of them finished up.

Upside reached · 24hUpside reached (MFE, 24h)The most price moved up within 24h of each occurrence: a high-water mark, never a close. 28 with a complete 24h.
Drawdown · 24hDrawdown (MAE, 24h)The worst price moved against within 24h of each occurrence: the deepest point, never the close. 28 with a complete 24h.

Versus baseline

Historically, when any eligible ZAMAUSDT minute in the window (baseline) held (39,721 occurrences in the scanned window, 37,885 with a computable 24h horizon), the market reached +5% within 24h in 16,947 of 37,885 (44.7) and drew down 10%+ in 2,376 of 37,885 (6.3). Maximum favorable (MFE) and maximum adverse (MAE) excursions, both computed forward.

The full record

The same setup counted over every recorded day on ZAMAUSDT (2026-05-15 to 2026-08-01), growing daily.

Historically, when Swept the lows and reclaimed (1h) on ZAMAUSDT over the full record held (59 occurrences in the scanned window, 56 with a computable 24h horizon), the market reached +5% within 24h in 21 of 56 (37.5) and drew down 10%+ in 2 of 56 (3.6). Maximum favorable (MFE) and maximum adverse (MAE) excursions, both computed forward.

WHAT FOLLOWED - ALL 59 MATCHES, FROM THE PER-SCAN SUMMARY

1 OF 57 (1.8%) REACHED +5% WITHIN 1H

METRIC MFE_1H · CHIPS RE-READ THE SUMMARY, NEVER RE-QUERY

🔒 COMPUTED FORWARD, NEVER A FILTER · DENOMINATOR 57 = MATCHES WITH A COMPLETE 1H HORIZON (2 ABSENT: TOO CLOSE TO THE RECORD EDGE FOR 1H - NEVER TRUNCATED, NEVER AN IMPLIED ZERO)

OCCURRENCES PER DAY · UTC · SUM 59 - ALL 59, NOT THE PAGE
MAX 5 · 2026-07-13MAY 15JUN 01JUL 01AUG 012026-05-15 TO 2026-08-01 · 79 UTC DAYS · ZERO DAYS KEEP THEIR SLOT

About 0.7 a day, on 34 of 79 days: spread through the record rather than one event.

FWD_RET_30M DISTRIBUTION · 56 PRESENT · 3 ABSENT
≥ +5: 0 OF 560000321629420000≤-20-20..-15-15..-10-10..-5-5..-2-2..-1-1..00..+1+1..+2+2..+5+5..+10+10..+15+15..+20≥+20

Forward 30-minute returns across 56 matches: 63% of them finished up.

Reproducibility key (q#e20e05ae)
grammar
research_query.v2
normalization
archive_normalization.v1
feature library
feature_defs.v1
dataset revision
ce3b6253b51706f7a4c0e4a553e0dd67fcf76395dd1a8717eccda70dad520d60
query hash
e20e05aee296eab59b4a190da6915b48ab26bbdec8592cf10fa8a2d370542c49
scanned window
2026-07-02T00:00:00.000Z to 2026-08-01T00:00:00.000Z (UTC)

Same key, same bytes. This receipt reruns; it does not retell. When the record grows, the dataset revision changes and says so.

Re-run this over the API or MCP

This is the exact research_query.v2 definition behind the receipt. Send it to the key-authed research API (or the MCP research tool) and diff the bytes: a cached rerun is free.

{
  "schema_version": "research_query.v2",
  "normalization_version": "archive_normalization.v1",
  "feature_version": "feature_defs.v1",
  "target": "record_occurrences",
  "where": {
    "all": [
      [
        "feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_1h",
        "eq",
        "bullish"
      ],
      [
        "identity.symbol",
        "eq",
        "zamausdt"
      ],
      [
        "times.anchor_time",
        "between",
        [
          "2026-07-02T00:00:00.000Z",
          "2026-08-01T00:00:00.000Z"
        ]
      ]
    ]
  },
  "sort": [
    "times.anchor_time",
    "desc"
  ],
  "page": {
    "limit": 50,
    "cursor": null
  }
}
curl -s https://app.edgedepth.com/api/v1/research/query \
  -H 'authorization: Bearer $EDGEDEPTH_API_KEY' \
  -H 'content-type: application/json' \
  -d '{"schema_version":"research_query.v2","normalization_version":"archive_normalization.v1","feature_version":"feature_defs.v1","target":"record_occurrences","where":{"all":[["feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_1h","eq","bullish"],["identity.symbol","eq","zamausdt"],["times.anchor_time","between",["2026-07-02T00:00:00.000Z","2026-08-01T00:00:00.000Z"]]]},"sort":["times.anchor_time","desc"],"page":{"limit":50,"cursor":null}}'

How to read this

  • Counts ship with denominators: occurrences across the eligible symbol-buckets scanned. A rate is over the occurrences with a computable horizon (present), never the total.
  • Absent is absent. When a feature was not warm at a minute, that bucket leaves the denominator and is reported; it is never coerced to zero.
  • This selects a setup, never its outcome. The grammar forbids filtering on what followed (OUTCOME_IN_PREDICATE), so the distribution below is over every occurrence, not a survivorship-picked subset.

Occurrences are observed examples in a selected archive, not a guarantee. Outcomes are computed forward from each anchor and are descriptive, never a filter and never a prediction. Nothing here is trading advice.

Everything measured on ZAMAUSDT right now: the ZAMAUSDT research page