Daily brief

August 23, 2026: what fired, and what usually follows

Every night, the market states EdgeDepth tracks are counted against the full record. When one fired, this page shows what usually followed the previous times it fired on that market, and links the moment itself for replay. Counts first, each with its size, straight from the record.

Crash on TRUMPUSDT

TRU01:55 UTC
PEAK MOVE-17.6%NET MOVE-7.9%LIQUIDATED$1.75M

TRUMPUSDT fell as much as 17.6% and finished 7.9% below its starting price.

WATCH ITWatch the replayReplays from the last 7 days play free with an account.

Short squeeze on AAVEUSDT

AAV11:30 UTC
PEAK MOVE+17.5%NET MOVE+15.1%LIQUIDATED$869K

AAVEUSDT rose as much as 17.5% and finished 15.1% above its starting price.

WATCH ITWatch the replayReplays from the last 7 days play free with an account.

OI accelerating into liquidations

BTCBTCUSDT · 23:58 UTC
WHAT FIRED

OI accelerating into liquidations fired on BTCUSDT at 23:58 UTC. It fired 9 times on this market during the day; the latest is linked below. It also fired on SOLUSDT and XRPUSDT.

WHAT USUALLY FOLLOWS

The 1,499 previous times this happened on BTCUSDT, the median move over the next 24 hours was -0.10%, with a typical worst drawdown of -1.48% (1,487 of 1,499 with a complete 24h).

Over the last 30 days, 25 of 120 of these closed 2% or more higher within a day (20.8%). Across the 39,251 BTCUSDT minutes when it was not present, 4,056 did (10.3%).

Why the counts matter
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Swept the lows and reclaimed (1h)

XRPXRPUSDT · 06:00 UTC
WHAT FIRED

Swept the lows and reclaimed (1h) fired on XRPUSDT at 06:00 UTC. It also fired on BNBUSDT, DOGEUSDT, ETHUSDT and SOLUSDT.

WHAT USUALLY FOLLOWS

The 620 previous times this happened on XRPUSDT, the median move over the next 24 hours was -0.12%, with a typical worst drawdown of -2.13% (619 of 620 with a complete 24h).

Over the last 30 days, 5 of 37 of these closed 2% or more higher within a day (13.5%). Across the 37,440 XRPUSDT minutes when it was not present, 6,354 did (17.0%).

Why the counts matter
WATCH ITWatch the replayReplays from the last 7 days play free with an account.

Crowd long, leaders not

ETHETHUSDT · 14:36 UTC
WHAT FIRED

Crowd long, leaders not fired on ETHUSDT at 14:36 UTC. It fired 2 times on this market during the day; the latest is linked below.

WHAT USUALLY FOLLOWS

The 146 previous times this happened on ETHUSDT, the median move over the next 24 hours was -0.26%, with a typical worst drawdown of -1.88% (144 of 146 with a complete 24h).

Over the last 30 days, 2 of 25 of these closed 2% or more higher within a day (8.0%). Across the 8,520 ETHUSDT minutes when it was not present, 1,736 did (20.4%).

Why the counts matter
WATCH ITWatch the replayReplays from the last 7 days play free with an account.

Checked across 75 markets and 21 tracked market states. Ask this page again tomorrow: same answer for this day.

Observed examples in a selected archive, not a guarantee. Nothing here is trading advice.

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