OI accelerating into liquidations on SOLUSDT

Open-interest velocity above its own 90th percentile while at least $1M of liquidation notional printed in the trailing hour.

What has happened on SOLUSDT when it held

Historically, when OI accelerating into liquidations on SOLUSDT held (71 occurrences in the scanned window, 69 with a computable 24h horizon), the market reached +5% within 24h in 22 of 69 (31.9) and drew down 10%+ in 0 of 69 (0.0). Maximum favorable (MFE) and maximum adverse (MAE) excursions, both computed forward.

Outcome distribution

Versus baseline

Historically, when any eligible SOLUSDT minute in the window (baseline) held (42,585 occurrences in the scanned window, 41,156 with a computable 24h horizon), the market reached +5% within 24h in 11,844 of 41,156 (28.8) and drew down 10%+ in 84 of 41,156 (0.2). Maximum favorable (MFE) and maximum adverse (MAE) excursions, both computed forward.

The full record

The same setup counted over every recorded day on SOLUSDT (2026-08-19 to 2026-09-18), growing daily.

Historically, when OI accelerating into liquidations on SOLUSDT over the full record held (71 occurrences in the scanned window, 69 with a computable 24h horizon), the market reached +5% within 24h in 22 of 69 (31.9) and drew down 10%+ in 0 of 69 (0.0). Maximum favorable (MFE) and maximum adverse (MAE) excursions, both computed forward.

{
  "schema_version": "research_query.v2",
  "normalization_version": "archive_normalization.v1",
  "feature_version": "feature_defs.v1",
  "target": "record_occurrences",
  "where": {
    "all": [
      [
        "feature.oi_velocity_pctrank",
        "gte",
        0.9
      ],
      [
        "feature.liq_notional_usd_1h",
        "gte",
        1000000
      ],
      [
        "identity.symbol",
        "eq",
        "solusdt"
      ],
      [
        "times.anchor_time",
        "between",
        [
          "2026-08-19T00:00:00.000Z",
          "2026-09-18T00:00:00.000Z"
        ]
      ]
    ]
  },
  "sort": [
    "times.anchor_time",
    "desc"
  ],
  "page": {
    "limit": 50,
    "cursor": null
  }
}

curl -s https://app.edgedepth.com/api/v1/research/query \
  -H 'authorization: Bearer $EDGEDEPTH_API_KEY' \
  -H 'content-type: application/json' \
  -d '{"schema_version":"research_query.v2","normalization_version":"archive_normalization.v1","feature_version":"feature_defs.v1","target":"record_occurrences","where":{"all":[["feature.oi_velocity_pctrank","gte",0.9],["feature.liq_notional_usd_1h","gte",1000000],["identity.symbol","eq","solusdt"],["times.anchor_time","between",["2026-08-19T00:00:00.000Z","2026-09-18T00:00:00.000Z"]]]},"sort":["times.anchor_time","desc"],"page":{"limit":50,"cursor":null}}'

How to read this

• Counts ship with denominators: occurrences across the eligible symbol-buckets scanned. A rate is over the occurrences with a computable horizon (present), never the total.
• Absent is absent. When a feature was not warm at a minute, that bucket leaves the denominator and is reported; it is never coerced to zero.
• This selects a setup, never its outcome. The grammar forbids filtering on what followed (OUTCOME_IN_PREDICATE), so the distribution below is over every occurrence, not a survivorship-picked subset.

Occurrences are observed examples in a selected archive, not a guarantee. Outcomes are computed forward from each anchor and are descriptive, never a filter and never a prediction. Nothing here is trading advice.

Everything measured on SOLUSDT right now: the SOLUSDT research page