CAPUSDT · recorded history

One-sided tape: buyers on CAPUSDT

Taker buy ratio over the last 15 minutes has run at 0.62 or more: a persistently buyer-heavy tape.

Read it in context

  1. Read CAPUSDT itself

  2. Its recorded moves

  3. Test it on CAPUSDT, then plan it

    A tested result leads to Plan a trade, which measures what trading it would have paid after costs.

What happened in the next 24 hours?

Reaching +5% was about as common as without it; falling to −10% was less common than without it.

Other minutes are the same markets and dates without this condition. Each percentage is the share of measured minutes that reached that move from the starting price.

Price touched +5% or higher

When this held
87.2% · 198 of 227 minutes
Other minutes
80.1% · 30,373 of 37,904 minutes

Price touched −10% or lower

When this held
20.7% · 47 of 227 minutes
Other minutes
30.5% · 11,559 of 37,904 minutes

Price can touch both levels within the same 24 hours.

This counts how often price touched a level, not what trading it would have paid.

Sample and counting

Rates use the 227 of 238 matches with a full 24 hours after them. The 11 newer ones are left out, not counted as zero.

Every condition is measured over the same 24 hours, whatever the length of its own reading. Other windows and move sizes shows shorter and longer windows.

When it happened
Matches per UTC day, 2026-07-21 to 2026-08-20

About 7.7 a day, on 28 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.

Other windows and move sizes
Matches that reached each move within each window. Counts first; the measured row is what each rate is over.
Move1 hour4 hours24 hours
Measured237236227
Too recent1211
+0.1% or more218 (92.0%)228 (96.6%)226 (99.6%)
+0.2% or more209 (88.2%)226 (95.8%)226 (99.6%)
+0.5% or more184 (77.6%)216 (91.5%)223 (98.2%)
+1% or more159 (67.1%)206 (87.3%)220 (96.9%)
+2% or more104 (43.9%)173 (73.3%)213 (93.8%)
+5% or more15 (6.3%)79 (33.5%)198 (87.2%)
+10% or more4 (1.7%)23 (9.7%)169 (74.4%)
+15% or more2 (0.8%)13 (5.5%)114 (50.2%)
+20% or more1 (0.4%)8 (3.4%)74 (32.6%)
+30% or more1 (0.4%)3 (1.3%)41 (18.1%)
+50% or more0 (0.0%)0 (0.0%)1 (0.4%)
−0.1% or lower224 (94.5%)231 (97.9%)226 (99.6%)
−0.2% or lower218 (92.0%)227 (96.2%)224 (98.7%)
−0.5% or lower186 (78.5%)205 (86.9%)209 (92.1%)
−1% or lower132 (55.7%)172 (72.9%)193 (85.0%)
−2% or lower65 (27.4%)125 (53.0%)164 (72.2%)
−5% or lower8 (3.4%)52 (22.0%)119 (52.4%)
−10% or lower0 (0.0%)12 (5.1%)47 (20.7%)
−15% or lower0 (0.0%)5 (2.1%)20 (8.8%)
−20% or lower0 (0.0%)1 (0.4%)7 (3.1%)
−30% or lower0 (0.0%)0 (0.0%)1 (0.4%)

Each window counts only matches old enough for it, so a longer window can show fewer.

Distributions and daily counts
Upside reached · 24hUpside reached (MFE, 24h)The most price moved up within 24 hours of each match: a high-water mark, never a close. 227 with a complete 24 hours.
Drawdown · 24hDrawdown (MAE, 24h)The worst price moved against within 24 hours of each match: the deepest point, never the close. 227 with a complete 24 hours.
Price 30 minutes laterForward 30-minute returnForward 30-minute returns across 237 matches: 56% of them finished up. 1 too recent.

How to read a distribution

Matches per UTC day

  • 21 Jul14 matches
  • 22 Jul16 matches
  • 23 Jul11 matches
  • 24 Jul4 matches
  • 25 Jul4 matches
  • 26 Jul10 matches
  • 27 Jul14 matches
  • 28 Jul10 matches
  • 29 Jul13 matches
  • 30 Jul5 matches
  • 31 Jul1 match
  • 1 Aug0 matches
  • 2 Aug8 matches
  • 3 Aug10 matches
  • 4 Aug9 matches
  • 5 Aug13 matches
  • 6 Aug4 matches
  • 7 Aug12 matches
  • 8 Aug9 matches
  • 9 Aug16 matches
  • 10 Aug5 matches
  • 11 Aug2 matches
  • 12 Aug2 matches
  • 13 Aug9 matches
  • 14 Aug9 matches
  • 15 Aug3 matches
  • 16 Aug8 matches
  • 17 Aug6 matches
  • 18 Aug11 matches
  • 19 Aug0 matches
  • 20 Aug0 matches
How this is counted
  • Each rate counts only matches with the full window after them.
  • A minute where a reading was missing is left out and reported, not read as zero.
  • The condition picks the setup, never the outcome: a definition that filters on what followed is rejected (OUTCOME_IN_PREDICATE). Every match is measured, winners and losers alike.
  • "Other minutes" is every other eligible minute in the same market and window. It is a reference, not a control group.
  • "Reached +5%" uses the highest price inside the window (maximum favourable excursion, MFE); "fell to −10%" uses the lowest (maximum adverse excursion, MAE). Neither is the close.
  • Checked 41,761 eligible market-minutes (eligible_symbol_buckets) on CAPUSDT, 2026-07-21 00:00 to 2026-08-20 00:00 UTC.

What are MFE and MAE?

Reproducibility key (q#ef15d31e)

The key that re-runs this exact count. Same key, same bytes; when the record grows, the dataset revision changes.

grammar
research_query.v2
normalization
archive_normalization.v1
feature library
feature_defs.v1
dataset revision
30d68a7a68f86613400760b155d04b0625041648d589a6fc699bd767006a8735
query hash
ef15d31eaa325622d3f3d08d2f4b24cfded57ed3a7ffd73e271c331629322bb5
scanned window
2026-07-21T00:00:00.000Z to 2026-08-20T00:00:00.000Z (UTC)

Re-run over the API

The exact search definition behind this count. Send it to the key-authed research API (or the MCP research tool) and compare the bytes; a cached rerun is free.

{
  "schema_version": "research_query.v2",
  "normalization_version": "archive_normalization.v1",
  "feature_version": "feature_defs.v1",
  "target": "record_occurrences",
  "where": {
    "all": [
      [
        "feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m",
        "gte",
        0.62
      ],
      [
        "identity.symbol",
        "eq",
        "capusdt"
      ],
      [
        "times.anchor_time",
        "between",
        [
          "2026-07-21T00:00:00.000Z",
          "2026-08-20T00:00:00.000Z"
        ]
      ]
    ]
  },
  "sort": [
    "times.anchor_time",
    "desc"
  ],
  "page": {
    "limit": 50,
    "cursor": null
  }
}
curl -s https://app.edgedepth.com/api/v1/research/query \
  -H 'authorization: Bearer $EDGEDEPTH_API_KEY' \
  -H 'content-type: application/json' \
  -d '{"schema_version":"research_query.v2","normalization_version":"archive_normalization.v1","feature_version":"feature_defs.v1","target":"record_occurrences","where":{"all":[["feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m","gte",0.62],["identity.symbol","eq","capusdt"],["times.anchor_time","between",["2026-07-21T00:00:00.000Z","2026-08-20T00:00:00.000Z"]]]},"sort":["times.anchor_time","desc"],"page":{"limit":50,"cursor":null}}'

Past examples from the record, not a guarantee or a prediction. Nothing here is trading advice.