ENAUSDT · historical base rate

One-sided tape: buyers on ENAUSDT

Taker buy ratio over the last 15 minutes has run at 0.62 or more: a persistently buyer-heavy tape.

What has happened on ENAUSDT when it held

Historically, when One-sided tape: buyers on ENAUSDT held (344 occurrences in the scanned window, 330 with a computable 24h horizon), the market reached +5% within 24h in 72 of 330 (21.8) and drew down 10%+ in 0 of 330 (0.0). Maximum favorable (MFE) and maximum adverse (MAE) excursions, both computed forward.

Outcome distribution

WHAT FOLLOWED - ALL 344 MATCHES, FROM THE PER-SCAN SUMMARY

0 OF 342 (0.0%) REACHED +5% WITHIN 1H

METRIC MFE_1H · CHIPS RE-READ THE SUMMARY, NEVER RE-QUERY

🔒 COMPUTED FORWARD, NEVER A FILTER · DENOMINATOR 342 = MATCHES WITH A COMPLETE 1H HORIZON (2 ABSENT: TOO CLOSE TO THE RECORD EDGE FOR 1H - NEVER TRUNCATED, NEVER AN IMPLIED ZERO)

OCCURRENCES PER DAY · UTC · SUM 344 - ALL 344, NOT THE PAGE
MAX 16 · 2026-07-1807-0607-1307-2007-272026-07-02 TO 2026-08-01 · 31 UTC DAYS · ZERO DAYS KEEP THEIR SLOT

About 11 a day, on 29 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.

FWD_RET_30M DISTRIBUTION · 342 PRESENT · 2 ABSENT
≥ +5: 0 OF 34200002101571631000000≤-20-20..-15-15..-10-10..-5-5..-2-2..-1-1..00..+1+1..+2+2..+5+5..+10+10..+15+15..+20≥+20

Forward 30-minute returns across 342 matches: close to an even split, which is what a coin flip looks like.

Upside reached · 24hUpside reached (MFE, 24h)The most price moved up within 24h of each occurrence: a high-water mark, never a close. 330 with a complete 24h.
Drawdown · 24hDrawdown (MAE, 24h)The worst price moved against within 24h of each occurrence: the deepest point, never the close. 330 with a complete 24h.

Versus baseline

Historically, when any eligible ENAUSDT minute in the window (baseline) held (37,508 occurrences in the scanned window, 36,222 with a computable 24h horizon), the market reached +5% within 24h in 8,303 of 36,222 (22.9) and drew down 10%+ in 74 of 36,222 (0.2). Maximum favorable (MFE) and maximum adverse (MAE) excursions, both computed forward.

The full record

The same setup counted over every recorded day on ENAUSDT (2026-05-15 to 2026-08-01), growing daily.

Historically, when One-sided tape: buyers on ENAUSDT over the full record held (545 occurrences in the scanned window, 530 with a computable 24h horizon), the market reached +5% within 24h in 147 of 530 (27.7) and drew down 10%+ in 9 of 530 (1.7). Maximum favorable (MFE) and maximum adverse (MAE) excursions, both computed forward.

WHAT FOLLOWED - ALL 545 MATCHES, FROM THE PER-SCAN SUMMARY

0 OF 542 (0.0%) REACHED +5% WITHIN 1H

METRIC MFE_1H · CHIPS RE-READ THE SUMMARY, NEVER RE-QUERY

🔒 COMPUTED FORWARD, NEVER A FILTER · DENOMINATOR 542 = MATCHES WITH A COMPLETE 1H HORIZON (3 ABSENT: TOO CLOSE TO THE RECORD EDGE FOR 1H - NEVER TRUNCATED, NEVER AN IMPLIED ZERO)

OCCURRENCES PER DAY · UTC · SUM 545 - ALL 545, NOT THE PAGE
MAX 16 · 2026-07-18MAY 15JUN 01JUL 01AUG 012026-05-15 TO 2026-08-01 · 79 UTC DAYS · ZERO DAYS KEEP THEIR SLOT

About 6.9 a day, on 56 of 79 days: spread through the record rather than one event.

FWD_RET_30M DISTRIBUTION · 542 PRESENT · 3 ABSENT
≥ +5: 0 OF 54200002362522222910000≤-20-20..-15-15..-10-10..-5-5..-2-2..-1-1..00..+1+1..+2+2..+5+5..+10+10..+15+15..+20≥+20

Forward 30-minute returns across 542 matches: close to an even split, which is what a coin flip looks like.

Reproducibility key (q#25646d43)
grammar
research_query.v2
normalization
archive_normalization.v1
feature library
feature_defs.v1
dataset revision
ce3b6253b51706f7a4c0e4a553e0dd67fcf76395dd1a8717eccda70dad520d60
query hash
25646d43999b4d1272e9083c5c43d3c1671b82d3a7439fb7b029dc50c54539b4
scanned window
2026-07-02T00:00:00.000Z to 2026-08-01T00:00:00.000Z (UTC)

Same key, same bytes. This receipt reruns; it does not retell. When the record grows, the dataset revision changes and says so.

Re-run this over the API or MCP

This is the exact research_query.v2 definition behind the receipt. Send it to the key-authed research API (or the MCP research tool) and diff the bytes: a cached rerun is free.

{
  "schema_version": "research_query.v2",
  "normalization_version": "archive_normalization.v1",
  "feature_version": "feature_defs.v1",
  "target": "record_occurrences",
  "where": {
    "all": [
      [
        "feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m",
        "gte",
        0.62
      ],
      [
        "identity.symbol",
        "eq",
        "enausdt"
      ],
      [
        "times.anchor_time",
        "between",
        [
          "2026-07-02T00:00:00.000Z",
          "2026-08-01T00:00:00.000Z"
        ]
      ]
    ]
  },
  "sort": [
    "times.anchor_time",
    "desc"
  ],
  "page": {
    "limit": 50,
    "cursor": null
  }
}
curl -s https://app.edgedepth.com/api/v1/research/query \
  -H 'authorization: Bearer $EDGEDEPTH_API_KEY' \
  -H 'content-type: application/json' \
  -d '{"schema_version":"research_query.v2","normalization_version":"archive_normalization.v1","feature_version":"feature_defs.v1","target":"record_occurrences","where":{"all":[["feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m","gte",0.62],["identity.symbol","eq","enausdt"],["times.anchor_time","between",["2026-07-02T00:00:00.000Z","2026-08-01T00:00:00.000Z"]]]},"sort":["times.anchor_time","desc"],"page":{"limit":50,"cursor":null}}'

How to read this

  • Counts ship with denominators: occurrences across the eligible symbol-buckets scanned. A rate is over the occurrences with a computable horizon (present), never the total.
  • Absent is absent. When a feature was not warm at a minute, that bucket leaves the denominator and is reported; it is never coerced to zero.
  • This selects a setup, never its outcome. The grammar forbids filtering on what followed (OUTCOME_IN_PREDICATE), so the distribution below is over every occurrence, not a survivorship-picked subset.

Occurrences are observed examples in a selected archive, not a guarantee. Outcomes are computed forward from each anchor and are descriptive, never a filter and never a prediction. Nothing here is trading advice.

Everything measured on ENAUSDT right now: the ENAUSDT research page