1000RATSUSDT · historical base rate

One-sided tape: sellers on 1000RATSUSDT

Taker buy ratio over the last 15 minutes has run at 0.38 or less: a persistently seller-heavy tape.

What has happened on 1000RATSUSDT when it held

Historically, when One-sided tape: sellers on 1000RATSUSDT held (354 occurrences in the scanned window, 331 with a computable 24h horizon), the market reached +5% within 24h in 81 of 331 (24.5) and drew down 10%+ in 14 of 331 (4.2). Maximum favorable (MFE) and maximum adverse (MAE) excursions, both computed forward.

Outcome distribution

WHAT FOLLOWED · ALL 354 MATCHES

94 of 344 (27.3%) reached +1% or more within 1 hour · smallest move size with matches, picked for you

Pick a window and a move size: how often did a move at least that big follow?

WINDOWMOVE SIZE

🔒 Measured after every match, never by keeping winners. 344 of the matches have a complete 1 hour forward; the other 10 are too recent to know.

What are MFE and MAE?
When they happened - one bar per UTC day, all 354 matches
19010MATCHES PER UTC DAY · MAX 19 ON 2026-07-1717181210151519151415161416141518171716171011091407-1307-2007-2708-0308-102026-07-11 TO 2026-08-10 · 31 UTC DAYS · ZERO DAYS KEEP THEIR SLOT

About 11 a day, on 25 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.

Where the next 30 minutes landed - 333 measured, 21 too recent
≥ +1: 19 OF 3335141451501261≤−20−15−10−5−2−1<00++1+2+5+10+15≥+20

Forward 30-minute returns across 333 matches: close to an even split, which is what a coin flip looks like.

How to read a distribution
Upside reached · 24hUpside reached (MFE, 24h)The most price moved up within 24h of each occurrence: a high-water mark, never a close. 331 with a complete 24h.
Drawdown · 24hDrawdown (MAE, 24h)The worst price moved against within 24h of each occurrence: the deepest point, never the close. 331 with a complete 24h.

Versus baseline

Historically, when any eligible 1000RATSUSDT minute in the window (baseline) held (32,904 occurrences in the scanned window, 30,993 with a computable 24h horizon), the market reached +5% within 24h in 12,119 of 30,993 (39.1) and drew down 10%+ in 7,765 of 30,993 (25.1). Maximum favorable (MFE) and maximum adverse (MAE) excursions, both computed forward.

The full record

The same setup counted over every recorded day on 1000RATSUSDT (2026-05-15 to 2026-08-10), growing daily.

Historically, when One-sided tape: sellers on 1000RATSUSDT over the full record held (925 occurrences in the scanned window, 892 with a computable 24h horizon), the market reached +5% within 24h in 279 of 892 (31.3) and drew down 10%+ in 27 of 892 (3.0). Maximum favorable (MFE) and maximum adverse (MAE) excursions, both computed forward.

WHAT FOLLOWED · ALL 925 MATCHES

249 of 905 (27.5%) reached +1% or more within 1 hour · smallest move size with matches, picked for you

Pick a window and a move size: how often did a move at least that big follow?

WINDOWMOVE SIZE

🔒 Measured after every match, never by keeping winners. 905 of the matches have a complete 1 hour forward; the other 20 are too recent to know.

What are MFE and MAE?
When they happened - one bar per UTC day, all 925 matches
19010MATCHES PER UTC DAY · MAX 19 ON 2026-06-16MAY 15JUN 01JUL 01AUG 012026-05-15 TO 2026-08-10 · 88 UTC DAYS · ZERO DAYS KEEP THEIR SLOT

About 11 a day, on 61 of 88 days: spread through the record rather than one event.

Where the next 30 minutes landed - 885 measured, 40 too recent
≥ +1: 64 OF 885113738738649141≤−20−15−10−5−2−1<00++1+2+5+10+15≥+20

Forward 30-minute returns across 885 matches: close to an even split, which is what a coin flip looks like.

How to read a distribution
Check our work: the key that re-runs this exact count (q#a778ef83)
grammar
research_query.v2
normalization
archive_normalization.v1
feature library
feature_defs.v1
dataset revision
6e71a2c7c51599fabbd8af31ef93b828abccae884d3765632ce11c434ef0d496
query hash
a778ef837343d651cc9075ec6744a171201fc3240d1ebf91950a9eb8e9cc753d
scanned window
2026-07-11T00:00:00.000Z to 2026-08-10T00:00:00.000Z (UTC)

Same key, same bytes. This receipt reruns; it does not retell. When the record grows, the dataset revision changes and says so.

Re-run this yourself, over the API or from an AI agent

This is the exact search definition behind the receipt. Send it to the key-authed research API (or the MCP research tool) and compare the bytes: a cached rerun is free.

{
  "schema_version": "research_query.v2",
  "normalization_version": "archive_normalization.v1",
  "feature_version": "feature_defs.v1",
  "target": "record_occurrences",
  "where": {
    "all": [
      [
        "feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m",
        "lte",
        0.38
      ],
      [
        "identity.symbol",
        "eq",
        "1000ratsusdt"
      ],
      [
        "times.anchor_time",
        "between",
        [
          "2026-07-11T00:00:00.000Z",
          "2026-08-10T00:00:00.000Z"
        ]
      ]
    ]
  },
  "sort": [
    "times.anchor_time",
    "desc"
  ],
  "page": {
    "limit": 50,
    "cursor": null
  }
}
curl -s https://app.edgedepth.com/api/v1/research/query \
  -H 'authorization: Bearer $EDGEDEPTH_API_KEY' \
  -H 'content-type: application/json' \
  -d '{"schema_version":"research_query.v2","normalization_version":"archive_normalization.v1","feature_version":"feature_defs.v1","target":"record_occurrences","where":{"all":[["feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m","lte",0.38],["identity.symbol","eq","1000ratsusdt"],["times.anchor_time","between",["2026-07-11T00:00:00.000Z","2026-08-10T00:00:00.000Z"]]]},"sort":["times.anchor_time","desc"],"page":{"limit":50,"cursor":null}}'

How to read this

  • Counts ship with denominators: occurrences across the eligible symbol-buckets scanned. A rate is over the occurrences with a computable horizon (present), never the total.
  • Absent is absent. When a feature was not warm at a minute, that bucket leaves the denominator and is reported; it is never coerced to zero.
  • This selects a setup, never its outcome. The grammar forbids filtering on what followed (OUTCOME_IN_PREDICATE), so the distribution below is over every occurrence, not a survivorship-picked subset.

Occurrences are observed examples in a selected archive, not a guarantee. Outcomes are computed forward from each anchor and are descriptive, never a filter and never a prediction. Nothing here is trading advice.

Everything measured on 1000RATSUSDT right now: the 1000RATSUSDT research page