ASTERUSDT · recorded history

One-sided tape: sellers on ASTERUSDT

Taker buy ratio over the last 15 minutes has run at 0.38 or less: a persistently seller-heavy tape.

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What happened in the next 24 hours?

Reaching +5% was about as common as without it; falling to −10% was less common than without it.

Other minutes are the same markets and dates without this condition. Each percentage is the share of measured minutes that reached that move from the starting price.

Price touched +5% or higher

When this held: 23.1% · 99 of 429 minutes
Other minutes: 25.9% · 8,799 of 33,950 minutes

Price touched −10% or lower

When this held: 3.0% · 13 of 429 minutes
Other minutes: 3.8% · 1,288 of 33,950 minutes

Price can touch both levels within the same 24 hours.

This counts how often price touched a level, not what trading it would have paid.

Sample and counting

Rates use the 429 of 443 matches with a full 24 hours after them. The 14 newer ones are left out, not counted as zero.

Every condition is measured over the same 24 hours, whatever the length of its own reading. Other windows and move sizes shows shorter and longer windows.

When it happened

About 14 a day, on 30 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.

Other windows and move sizes

Matches that reached each move within each window. Counts first; the measured row is what each rate is over.
Move	1 hour	4 hours	24 hours	72 hours	7 days
Measured	443	443	429	402	355
Too recent	0	0	14	41	88
+0.1% or more	357 (80.6%)	395 (89.2%)	417 (97.2%)	398 (99.0%)	355 (100.0%)
+0.2% or more	281 (63.4%)	350 (79.0%)	400 (93.2%)	391 (97.3%)	354 (99.7%)
+0.5% or more	172 (38.8%)	270 (60.9%)	346 (80.7%)	368 (91.5%)	354 (99.7%)
+1% or more	68 (15.3%)	180 (40.6%)	291 (67.8%)	333 (82.8%)	354 (99.7%)
+2% or more	16 (3.6%)	81 (18.3%)	204 (47.6%)	289 (71.9%)	353 (99.4%)
+5% or more	1 (0.2%)	12 (2.7%)	99 (23.1%)	206 (51.2%)	321 (90.4%)
+10% or more	0 (0.0%)	3 (0.7%)	42 (9.8%)	117 (29.1%)	254 (71.5%)
+15% or more	0 (0.0%)	0 (0.0%)	14 (3.3%)	81 (20.1%)	214 (60.3%)
+20% or more	0 (0.0%)	0 (0.0%)	2 (0.5%)	39 (9.7%)	174 (49.0%)
+30% or more	0 (0.0%)	0 (0.0%)	0 (0.0%)	4 (1.0%)	24 (6.8%)
−0.1% or lower	355 (80.1%)	408 (92.1%)	425 (99.1%)	402 (100.0%)	355 (100.0%)
−0.2% or lower	291 (65.7%)	357 (80.6%)	414 (96.5%)	401 (99.8%)	354 (99.7%)
−0.5% or lower	177 (40.0%)	273 (61.6%)	358 (83.4%)	365 (90.8%)	330 (93.0%)
−1% or lower	91 (20.5%)	173 (39.1%)	267 (62.2%)	279 (69.4%)	240 (67.6%)
−2% or lower	28 (6.3%)	88 (19.9%)	203 (47.3%)	216 (53.7%)	187 (52.7%)
−5% or lower	2 (0.5%)	7 (1.6%)	52 (12.1%)	109 (27.1%)	83 (23.4%)
−10% or lower	1 (0.2%)	2 (0.5%)	13 (3.0%)	33 (8.2%)	20 (5.6%)
−15% or lower	1 (0.2%)	2 (0.5%)	9 (2.1%)	9 (2.2%)	9 (2.5%)
−20% or lower	0 (0.0%)	1 (0.2%)	1 (0.2%)	1 (0.2%)	1 (0.3%)

Each window counts only matches old enough for it, so a longer window can show fewer.

Distributions and daily counts

Upside reached · 24hThe most price moved up within 24 hours of each match: a high-water mark, never a close. 429 with a complete 24 hours.

Drawdown · 24hThe worst price moved against within 24 hours of each match: the deepest point, never the close. 429 with a complete 24 hours.

Price 30 minutes laterForward 30-minute returns across 443 matches: close to an even split, which is what a coin flip looks like. 0 too recent.

How to read a distribution

Matches per UTC day

13 Aug19 matches
14 Aug18 matches
15 Aug18 matches
16 Aug16 matches
17 Aug20 matches
18 Aug17 matches
19 Aug14 matches
20 Aug15 matches
21 Aug14 matches
22 Aug14 matches
23 Aug13 matches
24 Aug15 matches
25 Aug16 matches
26 Aug14 matches
27 Aug16 matches
28 Aug16 matches
29 Aug12 matches
30 Aug17 matches
31 Aug16 matches
1 Sep16 matches
2 Sep15 matches
3 Sep9 matches
4 Sep15 matches
5 Sep11 matches
6 Sep14 matches
7 Sep10 matches
8 Sep12 matches
9 Sep14 matches
10 Sep13 matches
11 Sep14 matches
12 Sep0 matches

How this is counted

Each rate counts only matches with the full window after them.
A minute where a reading was missing is left out and reported, not read as zero.
The condition picks the setup, never the outcome: a definition that filters on what followed is rejected (OUTCOME_IN_PREDICATE). Every match is measured, winners and losers alike.
"Other minutes" is every other eligible minute in the same market and window. It is a reference, not a control group.
"Reached +5%" uses the highest price inside the window (maximum favourable excursion, MFE); "fell to −10%" uses the lowest (maximum adverse excursion, MAE). Neither is the close.
Checked 43,201 eligible market-minutes (eligible_symbol_buckets) on ASTERUSDT, 2026-08-13 00:00 to 2026-09-12 00:00 UTC.

What are MFE and MAE?

Reproducibility key (q#b1812038)

The key that re-runs this exact count. Same key, same bytes; when the record grows, the dataset revision changes.

grammar: research_query.v2
normalization: archive_normalization.v1
feature library: feature_defs.v1
dataset revision: 6f4da1c2adf862b510f8a35228a8fd2c0c503e6161f51a09a723319e064d2c16
query hash: b18120388c0f0778af6872bd164979a1645b81930173e0a2fac7dcb27726688f
scanned window: 2026-08-13T00:00:00.000Z to 2026-09-12T00:00:00.000Z (UTC)

Re-run over the API

The exact search definition behind this count. Send it to the key-authed research API (or the MCP research tool) and compare the bytes; a cached rerun is free.

{
  "schema_version": "research_query.v2",
  "normalization_version": "archive_normalization.v1",
  "feature_version": "feature_defs.v1",
  "target": "record_occurrences",
  "where": {
    "all": [
      [
        "feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m",
        "lte",
        0.38
      ],
      [
        "identity.symbol",
        "eq",
        "asterusdt"
      ],
      [
        "times.anchor_time",
        "between",
        [
          "2026-08-13T00:00:00.000Z",
          "2026-09-12T00:00:00.000Z"
        ]
      ]
    ]
  },
  "sort": [
    "times.anchor_time",
    "desc"
  ],
  "page": {
    "limit": 50,
    "cursor": null
  }
}

curl -s https://app.edgedepth.com/api/v1/research/query \
  -H 'authorization: Bearer $EDGEDEPTH_API_KEY' \
  -H 'content-type: application/json' \
  -d '{"schema_version":"research_query.v2","normalization_version":"archive_normalization.v1","feature_version":"feature_defs.v1","target":"record_occurrences","where":{"all":[["feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m","lte",0.38],["identity.symbol","eq","asterusdt"],["times.anchor_time","between",["2026-08-13T00:00:00.000Z","2026-09-12T00:00:00.000Z"]]]},"sort":["times.anchor_time","desc"],"page":{"limit":50,"cursor":null}}'

One-sided tape: sellers on ASTERUSDT

Read it in context

Read ASTERUSDT itself

Test it on ASTERUSDT, then plan it

What happened in the next 24 hours?

Price touched +5% or higher

Price touched −10% or lower