EULUSDT · recorded history

One-sided tape: sellers on EULUSDT

Taker buy ratio over the last 15 minutes has run at 0.38 or less: a persistently seller-heavy tape.

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What happened in the next 24 hours?

Both moves were less common than on minutes without it.

Other minutes are the same markets and dates without this condition. Each percentage is the share of measured minutes that reached that move from the starting price.

Price touched +5% or higher

When this held: 29.8% · 104 of 349 minutes
Other minutes: 45.5% · 14,551 of 32,014 minutes

Price touched −10% or lower

When this held: 2.6% · 9 of 349 minutes
Other minutes: 17.4% · 5,555 of 32,014 minutes

Price can touch both levels within the same 24 hours.

This counts how often price touched a level, not what trading it would have paid.

Sample and counting

Rates use the 349 of 364 matches with a full 24 hours after them. The 15 newer ones are left out, not counted as zero.

Every condition is measured over the same 24 hours, whatever the length of its own reading. Other windows and move sizes shows shorter and longer windows.

When it happened

About 12 a day, on 28 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.

Over the full record

Every recorded day on EULUSDT, 2026-05-15 to 2026-08-05: reached +5% in 269 of 826 (32.6%); fell to −10% in 14 of 826 (1.7%), within 24 hours.

Other windows and move sizes

Matches that reached each move within each window. Counts first; the measured row is what each rate is over.
Move	1 hour	4 hours	24 hours
Measured	357	356	349
Too recent	7	8	15
+1% or more	84 (23.5%)	166 (46.6%)	274 (78.5%)
+2% or more	26 (7.3%)	86 (24.2%)	215 (61.6%)
+5% or more	4 (1.1%)	25 (7.0%)	104 (29.8%)
+10% or more	0 (0.0%)	5 (1.4%)	36 (10.3%)
+15% or more	0 (0.0%)	2 (0.6%)	25 (7.2%)
+20% or more	0 (0.0%)	2 (0.6%)	24 (6.9%)
−1% or lower	74 (20.7%)	189 (53.1%)	292 (83.7%)
−2% or lower	18 (5.0%)	79 (22.2%)	222 (63.6%)
−5% or lower	2 (0.6%)	5 (1.4%)	43 (12.3%)
−10% or lower	0 (0.0%)	1 (0.3%)	9 (2.6%)
−15% or lower	0 (0.0%)	0 (0.0%)	1 (0.3%)
−20% or lower	0 (0.0%)	0 (0.0%)	1 (0.3%)

Each window counts only matches old enough for it, so a longer window can show fewer.

Full record: other windows and move sizes

Matches that reached each move within each window. Counts first; the measured row is what each rate is over.
Move	1 hour	4 hours	24 hours
Measured	834	833	826
Too recent	17	18	25
+1% or more	236 (28.3%)	461 (55.3%)	693 (83.9%)
+2% or more	76 (9.1%)	254 (30.5%)	562 (68.0%)
+5% or more	4 (0.5%)	40 (4.8%)	269 (32.6%)
+10% or more	0 (0.0%)	5 (0.6%)	59 (7.1%)
+15% or more	0 (0.0%)	2 (0.2%)	34 (4.1%)
+20% or more	0 (0.0%)	2 (0.2%)	24 (2.9%)
−1% or lower	217 (26.0%)	464 (55.7%)	674 (81.6%)
−2% or lower	50 (6.0%)	223 (26.8%)	529 (64.0%)
−5% or lower	3 (0.4%)	20 (2.4%)	153 (18.5%)
−10% or lower	0 (0.0%)	1 (0.1%)	14 (1.7%)
−15% or lower	0 (0.0%)	0 (0.0%)	1 (0.1%)
−20% or lower	0 (0.0%)	0 (0.0%)	1 (0.1%)

Each window counts only matches old enough for it, so a longer window can show fewer.

Distributions and daily counts

Upside reached · 24hThe most price moved up within 24 hours of each match: a high-water mark, never a close. 349 with a complete 24 hours.

Drawdown · 24hThe worst price moved against within 24 hours of each match: the deepest point, never the close. 349 with a complete 24 hours.

Price 30 minutes laterForward 30-minute returns across 346 matches: close to an even split, which is what a coin flip looks like. 18 too recent.

How to read a distribution

Matches per UTC day

6 Jul19 matches
7 Jul17 matches
8 Jul18 matches
9 Jul17 matches
10 Jul17 matches
11 Jul15 matches
12 Jul16 matches
13 Jul16 matches
14 Jul19 matches
15 Jul17 matches
16 Jul16 matches
17 Jul19 matches
18 Jul19 matches
19 Jul19 matches
20 Jul12 matches
21 Jul15 matches
22 Jul17 matches
23 Jul15 matches
24 Jul13 matches
25 Jul1 match
26 Jul0 matches
27 Jul1 match
28 Jul5 matches
29 Jul3 matches
30 Jul7 matches
31 Jul7 matches
1 Aug7 matches
2 Aug9 matches
3 Aug8 matches
4 Aug0 matches
5 Aug0 matches

How this is counted

Each rate counts only matches with the full window after them.
A minute where a reading was missing is left out and reported, not read as zero.
The condition picks the setup, never the outcome: a definition that filters on what followed is rejected (OUTCOME_IN_PREDICATE). Every match is measured, winners and losers alike.
"Other minutes" is every other eligible minute in the same market and window. It is a reference, not a control group.
"Reached +5%" uses the highest price inside the window (maximum favourable excursion, MFE); "fell to −10%" uses the lowest (maximum adverse excursion, MAE). Neither is the close.
Checked 41,761 eligible market-minutes (eligible_symbol_buckets) on EULUSDT, 2026-07-06 00:00 to 2026-08-05 00:00 UTC.

What are MFE and MAE?

Reproducibility key (q#7f3c3a58)

The key that re-runs this exact count. Same key, same bytes; when the record grows, the dataset revision changes.

grammar: research_query.v2
normalization: archive_normalization.v1
feature library: feature_defs.v1
dataset revision: 21e2232e3af8e94636f13b3ba6651434c2154f4bcf548c7ea9840512a888497c
query hash: 7f3c3a58c2a032e3cf6027ba5455094cf3ab9fe5695d6eaa5f3d292bf43a33ab
scanned window: 2026-07-06T00:00:00.000Z to 2026-08-05T00:00:00.000Z (UTC)

Re-run over the API

The exact search definition behind this count. Send it to the key-authed research API (or the MCP research tool) and compare the bytes; a cached rerun is free.

{
  "schema_version": "research_query.v2",
  "normalization_version": "archive_normalization.v1",
  "feature_version": "feature_defs.v1",
  "target": "record_occurrences",
  "where": {
    "all": [
      [
        "feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m",
        "lte",
        0.38
      ],
      [
        "identity.symbol",
        "eq",
        "eulusdt"
      ],
      [
        "times.anchor_time",
        "between",
        [
          "2026-07-06T00:00:00.000Z",
          "2026-08-05T00:00:00.000Z"
        ]
      ]
    ]
  },
  "sort": [
    "times.anchor_time",
    "desc"
  ],
  "page": {
    "limit": 50,
    "cursor": null
  }
}

curl -s https://app.edgedepth.com/api/v1/research/query \
  -H 'authorization: Bearer $EDGEDEPTH_API_KEY' \
  -H 'content-type: application/json' \
  -d '{"schema_version":"research_query.v2","normalization_version":"archive_normalization.v1","feature_version":"feature_defs.v1","target":"record_occurrences","where":{"all":[["feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m","lte",0.38],["identity.symbol","eq","eulusdt"],["times.anchor_time","between",["2026-07-06T00:00:00.000Z","2026-08-05T00:00:00.000Z"]]]},"sort":["times.anchor_time","desc"],"page":{"limit":50,"cursor":null}}'