MMTUSDT · recorded history

One-sided tape: sellers on MMTUSDT

Taker buy ratio over the last 15 minutes has run at 0.38 or less: a persistently seller-heavy tape.

Read it in context

  1. Read MMTUSDT itself

  2. Its recorded moves

  3. Test it on MMTUSDT, then plan it

    A tested result leads to Plan a trade, which measures what trading it would have paid after costs.

What happened in the next 24 hours?

Reaching +5% was about as common as without it; falling to −10% was less common than without it.

Other minutes are the same markets and dates without this condition. Each percentage is the share of measured minutes that reached that move from the starting price.

Price touched +5% or higher

When this held
50.4% · 180 of 357 minutes
Other minutes
51.3% · 16,696 of 32,564 minutes

Price touched −10% or lower

When this held
8.1% · 29 of 357 minutes
Other minutes
17.5% · 5,684 of 32,564 minutes

Price can touch both levels within the same 24 hours.

This counts how often price touched a level, not what trading it would have paid.

Sample and counting

Rates use the 357 of 372 matches with a full 24 hours after them. The 15 newer ones are left out, not counted as zero.

Every condition is measured over the same 24 hours, whatever the length of its own reading. Other windows and move sizes shows shorter and longer windows.

When it happened
Matches per UTC day, 2026-07-08 to 2026-08-07

About 12 a day, on 28 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.

Over the full record

Every recorded day on MMTUSDT, 2026-05-15 to 2026-08-07: reached +5% in 421 of 867 (48.6%); fell to −10% in 50 of 867 (5.8%), within 24 hours.

Other windows and move sizes
Matches that reached each move within each window. Counts first; the measured row is what each rate is over.
Move1 hour4 hours24 hours
Measured371368357
Too recent1415
+1% or more132 (35.6%)237 (64.4%)322 (90.2%)
+2% or more44 (11.9%)139 (37.8%)279 (78.2%)
+5% or more2 (0.5%)31 (8.4%)180 (50.4%)
+10% or more0 (0.0%)5 (1.4%)49 (13.7%)
+15% or more0 (0.0%)2 (0.5%)26 (7.3%)
+20% or more0 (0.0%)1 (0.3%)22 (6.2%)
−1% or lower136 (36.7%)246 (66.8%)305 (85.4%)
−2% or lower37 (10.0%)147 (39.9%)253 (70.9%)
−5% or lower1 (0.3%)18 (4.9%)118 (33.1%)
−10% or lower0 (0.0%)0 (0.0%)29 (8.1%)
−15% or lower0 (0.0%)0 (0.0%)2 (0.6%)

Each window counts only matches old enough for it, so a longer window can show fewer.

Full record: other windows and move sizes
Matches that reached each move within each window. Counts first; the measured row is what each rate is over.
Move1 hour4 hours24 hours
Measured881878867
Too recent5819
+1% or more300 (34.1%)567 (64.6%)782 (90.2%)
+2% or more105 (11.9%)351 (40.0%)675 (77.9%)
+5% or more8 (0.9%)82 (9.3%)421 (48.6%)
+10% or more0 (0.0%)8 (0.9%)151 (17.4%)
+15% or more0 (0.0%)3 (0.3%)67 (7.7%)
+20% or more0 (0.0%)1 (0.1%)38 (4.4%)
−1% or lower300 (34.1%)562 (64.0%)739 (85.2%)
−2% or lower79 (9.0%)313 (35.6%)607 (70.0%)
−5% or lower5 (0.6%)37 (4.2%)257 (29.6%)
−10% or lower0 (0.0%)4 (0.5%)50 (5.8%)
−15% or lower0 (0.0%)0 (0.0%)11 (1.3%)

Each window counts only matches old enough for it, so a longer window can show fewer.

Distributions and daily counts
Upside reached · 24hUpside reached (MFE, 24h)The most price moved up within 24 hours of each match: a high-water mark, never a close. 357 with a complete 24 hours.
Drawdown · 24hDrawdown (MAE, 24h)The worst price moved against within 24 hours of each match: the deepest point, never the close. 357 with a complete 24 hours.
Price 30 minutes laterForward 30-minute returnForward 30-minute returns across 370 matches: close to an even split, which is what a coin flip looks like. 2 too recent.

How to read a distribution

Matches per UTC day

  • 8 Jul15 matches
  • 9 Jul14 matches
  • 10 Jul9 matches
  • 11 Jul8 matches
  • 12 Jul10 matches
  • 13 Jul17 matches
  • 14 Jul16 matches
  • 15 Jul14 matches
  • 16 Jul16 matches
  • 17 Jul13 matches
  • 18 Jul17 matches
  • 19 Jul16 matches
  • 20 Jul16 matches
  • 21 Jul16 matches
  • 22 Jul18 matches
  • 23 Jul16 matches
  • 24 Jul19 matches
  • 25 Jul17 matches
  • 26 Jul17 matches
  • 27 Jul15 matches
  • 28 Jul11 matches
  • 29 Jul11 matches
  • 30 Jul6 matches
  • 31 Jul2 matches
  • 1 Aug8 matches
  • 2 Aug11 matches
  • 3 Aug10 matches
  • 4 Aug14 matches
  • 5 Aug0 matches
  • 6 Aug0 matches
  • 7 Aug0 matches
How this is counted
  • Each rate counts only matches with the full window after them.
  • A minute where a reading was missing is left out and reported, not read as zero.
  • The condition picks the setup, never the outcome: a definition that filters on what followed is rejected (OUTCOME_IN_PREDICATE). Every match is measured, winners and losers alike.
  • "Other minutes" is every other eligible minute in the same market and window. It is a reference, not a control group.
  • "Reached +5%" uses the highest price inside the window (maximum favourable excursion, MFE); "fell to −10%" uses the lowest (maximum adverse excursion, MAE). Neither is the close.
  • Checked 40,321 eligible market-minutes (eligible_symbol_buckets) on MMTUSDT, 2026-07-08 00:00 to 2026-08-07 00:00 UTC.

What are MFE and MAE?

Reproducibility key (q#dc5875b9)

The key that re-runs this exact count. Same key, same bytes; when the record grows, the dataset revision changes.

grammar
research_query.v2
normalization
archive_normalization.v1
feature library
feature_defs.v1
dataset revision
2f157bbdb91d341d09d9341ea73c8ceeeeee8acbe51e910f3b77fb76954ba6be
query hash
dc5875b90c2f4967d1019174715d3a2096e5f8dbb3f9b15f1e36111ee1e59113
scanned window
2026-07-08T00:00:00.000Z to 2026-08-07T00:00:00.000Z (UTC)

Re-run over the API

The exact search definition behind this count. Send it to the key-authed research API (or the MCP research tool) and compare the bytes; a cached rerun is free.

{
  "schema_version": "research_query.v2",
  "normalization_version": "archive_normalization.v1",
  "feature_version": "feature_defs.v1",
  "target": "record_occurrences",
  "where": {
    "all": [
      [
        "feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m",
        "lte",
        0.38
      ],
      [
        "identity.symbol",
        "eq",
        "mmtusdt"
      ],
      [
        "times.anchor_time",
        "between",
        [
          "2026-07-08T00:00:00.000Z",
          "2026-08-07T00:00:00.000Z"
        ]
      ]
    ]
  },
  "sort": [
    "times.anchor_time",
    "desc"
  ],
  "page": {
    "limit": 50,
    "cursor": null
  }
}
curl -s https://app.edgedepth.com/api/v1/research/query \
  -H 'authorization: Bearer $EDGEDEPTH_API_KEY' \
  -H 'content-type: application/json' \
  -d '{"schema_version":"research_query.v2","normalization_version":"archive_normalization.v1","feature_version":"feature_defs.v1","target":"record_occurrences","where":{"all":[["feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m","lte",0.38],["identity.symbol","eq","mmtusdt"],["times.anchor_time","between",["2026-07-08T00:00:00.000Z","2026-08-07T00:00:00.000Z"]]]},"sort":["times.anchor_time","desc"],"page":{"limit":50,"cursor":null}}'

Past examples from the record, not a guarantee or a prediction. Nothing here is trading advice.