ONUSDT · recorded history

One-sided tape: sellers on ONUSDT

Taker buy ratio over the last 15 minutes has run at 0.38 or less: a persistently seller-heavy tape.

Read it in context

  1. Read ONUSDT itself

  2. Its recorded moves

  3. Test it on ONUSDT, then plan it

    A tested result leads to Plan a trade, which measures what trading it would have paid after costs.

What happened in the next 24 hours?

Reaching +5% was about as common as without it; falling to −10% was less common than without it.

Other minutes are the same markets and dates without this condition. Each percentage is the share of measured minutes that reached that move from the starting price.

Price touched +5% or higher

When this held
79.2% · 145 of 183 minutes
Other minutes
81.3% · 28,032 of 34,485 minutes

Price touched −10% or lower

When this held
18.0% · 33 of 183 minutes
Other minutes
44.8% · 15,445 of 34,485 minutes

Price can touch both levels within the same 24 hours.

This counts how often price touched a level, not what trading it would have paid.

Sample and counting

Rates use the 183 of 184 matches with a full 24 hours after them. The 1 newer ones are left out, not counted as zero.

Every condition is measured over the same 24 hours, whatever the length of its own reading. Other windows and move sizes shows shorter and longer windows.

When it happened
Matches per UTC day, 2026-07-13 to 2026-08-12

About 5.9 a day, on 22 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.

Over the full record

Every recorded day on ONUSDT, 2026-05-15 to 2026-08-12: reached +5% in 394 of 788 (50.0%); fell to −10% in 86 of 788 (10.9%), within 24 hours.

Other windows and move sizes
Matches that reached each move within each window. Counts first; the measured row is what each rate is over.
Move1 hour4 hours24 hours
Measured183183183
Too recent111
+1% or more102 (55.7%)148 (80.9%)177 (96.7%)
+2% or more60 (32.8%)120 (65.6%)171 (93.4%)
+5% or more12 (6.6%)54 (29.5%)145 (79.2%)
+10% or more0 (0.0%)19 (10.4%)119 (65.0%)
+15% or more0 (0.0%)8 (4.4%)86 (47.0%)
+20% or more0 (0.0%)1 (0.5%)64 (35.0%)
−1% or lower87 (47.5%)129 (70.5%)155 (84.7%)
−2% or lower43 (23.5%)88 (48.1%)126 (68.9%)
−5% or lower12 (6.6%)29 (15.8%)69 (37.7%)
−10% or lower4 (2.2%)13 (7.1%)33 (18.0%)
−15% or lower1 (0.5%)6 (3.3%)15 (8.2%)
−20% or lower0 (0.0%)0 (0.0%)6 (3.3%)

Each window counts only matches old enough for it, so a longer window can show fewer.

Full record: other windows and move sizes
Matches that reached each move within each window. Counts first; the measured row is what each rate is over.
Move1 hour4 hours24 hours
Measured788788788
Too recent131313
+1% or more311 (39.5%)526 (66.8%)693 (87.9%)
+2% or more131 (16.6%)328 (41.6%)596 (75.6%)
+5% or more26 (3.3%)116 (14.7%)394 (50.0%)
+10% or more1 (0.1%)28 (3.6%)240 (30.5%)
+15% or more0 (0.0%)10 (1.3%)139 (17.6%)
+20% or more0 (0.0%)1 (0.1%)71 (9.0%)
−1% or lower281 (35.7%)502 (63.7%)676 (85.8%)
−2% or lower105 (13.3%)293 (37.2%)544 (69.0%)
−5% or lower18 (2.3%)73 (9.3%)279 (35.4%)
−10% or lower4 (0.5%)18 (2.3%)86 (10.9%)
−15% or lower1 (0.1%)6 (0.8%)27 (3.4%)
−20% or lower0 (0.0%)0 (0.0%)6 (0.8%)

Each window counts only matches old enough for it, so a longer window can show fewer.

Distributions and daily counts
Upside reached · 24hUpside reached (MFE, 24h)The most price moved up within 24 hours of each match: a high-water mark, never a close. 183 with a complete 24 hours.
Drawdown · 24hDrawdown (MAE, 24h)The worst price moved against within 24 hours of each match: the deepest point, never the close. 183 with a complete 24 hours.
Price 30 minutes laterForward 30-minute returnForward 30-minute returns across 182 matches: close to an even split, which is what a coin flip looks like. 2 too recent.

How to read a distribution

Matches per UTC day

  • 13 Jul15 matches
  • 14 Jul15 matches
  • 15 Jul17 matches
  • 16 Jul17 matches
  • 17 Jul16 matches
  • 18 Jul19 matches
  • 19 Jul13 matches
  • 20 Jul8 matches
  • 21 Jul3 matches
  • 22 Jul7 matches
  • 23 Jul1 match
  • 24 Jul1 match
  • 25 Jul7 matches
  • 26 Jul15 matches
  • 27 Jul3 matches
  • 28 Jul0 matches
  • 29 Jul0 matches
  • 30 Jul0 matches
  • 31 Jul0 matches
  • 1 Aug1 match
  • 2 Aug2 matches
  • 3 Aug11 matches
  • 4 Aug8 matches
  • 5 Aug3 matches
  • 6 Aug1 match
  • 7 Aug0 matches
  • 8 Aug1 match
  • 9 Aug0 matches
  • 10 Aug0 matches
  • 11 Aug0 matches
  • 12 Aug0 matches
How this is counted
  • Each rate counts only matches with the full window after them.
  • A minute where a reading was missing is left out and reported, not read as zero.
  • The condition picks the setup, never the outcome: a definition that filters on what followed is rejected (OUTCOME_IN_PREDICATE). Every match is measured, winners and losers alike.
  • "Other minutes" is every other eligible minute in the same market and window. It is a reference, not a control group.
  • "Reached +5%" uses the highest price inside the window (maximum favourable excursion, MFE); "fell to −10%" uses the lowest (maximum adverse excursion, MAE). Neither is the close.
  • Checked 38,881 eligible market-minutes (eligible_symbol_buckets) on ONUSDT, 2026-07-13 00:00 to 2026-08-12 00:00 UTC.

What are MFE and MAE?

Reproducibility key (q#d26cd115)

The key that re-runs this exact count. Same key, same bytes; when the record grows, the dataset revision changes.

grammar
research_query.v2
normalization
archive_normalization.v1
feature library
feature_defs.v1
dataset revision
b57b2b2ece93f8baa4f1e4a334c2d53714c5a4f0954b483c329c7ba4be4d34c5
query hash
d26cd1154aad06b596cc4268ccd44b5c6abed2d155d1bcd1e96912ca7701e5b6
scanned window
2026-07-13T00:00:00.000Z to 2026-08-12T00:00:00.000Z (UTC)

Re-run over the API

The exact search definition behind this count. Send it to the key-authed research API (or the MCP research tool) and compare the bytes; a cached rerun is free.

{
  "schema_version": "research_query.v2",
  "normalization_version": "archive_normalization.v1",
  "feature_version": "feature_defs.v1",
  "target": "record_occurrences",
  "where": {
    "all": [
      [
        "feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m",
        "lte",
        0.38
      ],
      [
        "identity.symbol",
        "eq",
        "onusdt"
      ],
      [
        "times.anchor_time",
        "between",
        [
          "2026-07-13T00:00:00.000Z",
          "2026-08-12T00:00:00.000Z"
        ]
      ]
    ]
  },
  "sort": [
    "times.anchor_time",
    "desc"
  ],
  "page": {
    "limit": 50,
    "cursor": null
  }
}
curl -s https://app.edgedepth.com/api/v1/research/query \
  -H 'authorization: Bearer $EDGEDEPTH_API_KEY' \
  -H 'content-type: application/json' \
  -d '{"schema_version":"research_query.v2","normalization_version":"archive_normalization.v1","feature_version":"feature_defs.v1","target":"record_occurrences","where":{"all":[["feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m","lte",0.38],["identity.symbol","eq","onusdt"],["times.anchor_time","between",["2026-07-13T00:00:00.000Z","2026-08-12T00:00:00.000Z"]]]},"sort":["times.anchor_time","desc"],"page":{"limit":50,"cursor":null}}'

Past examples from the record, not a guarantee or a prediction. Nothing here is trading advice.