UBUSDT · recorded history

One-sided tape: sellers on UBUSDT

Taker buy ratio over the last 15 minutes has run at 0.38 or less: a persistently seller-heavy tape.

Read it in context

Read UBUSDT itself
Inspect UBUSDT now or at a past minute
Its recorded moves
UBUSDT market events and replays
Test it on UBUSDT, then plan it
A tested result leads to Plan a trade, which measures what trading it would have paid after costs.
Edit this test in Workbench

What happened in the next 24 hours?

Reaching +5% was about as common as without it; falling to −10% was less common than without it.

Other minutes are the same markets and dates without this condition. Each percentage is the share of measured minutes that reached that move from the starting price.

Price touched +5% or higher

When this held: 77.2% · 129 of 167 minutes
Other minutes: 79.8% · 30,001 of 37,596 minutes

Price touched −10% or lower

When this held: 15.0% · 25 of 167 minutes
Other minutes: 31.1% · 11,688 of 37,596 minutes

Price can touch both levels within the same 24 hours.

This counts how often price touched a level, not what trading it would have paid.

Sample and counting

Rates use the 167 of 174 matches with a full 24 hours after them. The 7 newer ones are left out, not counted as zero.

Every condition is measured over the same 24 hours, whatever the length of its own reading. Other windows and move sizes shows shorter and longer windows.

When it happened

About 5.6 a day, on 27 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.

Over the full record

Every recorded day on UBUSDT, 2026-05-15 to 2026-08-11: reached +5% in 294 of 457 (64.3%); fell to −10% in 130 of 457 (28.4%), within 24 hours.

Other windows and move sizes

Matches that reached each move within each window. Counts first; the measured row is what each rate is over.
Move	1 hour	4 hours	24 hours
Measured	174	172	167
Too recent	0	2	7
+1% or more	88 (50.6%)	133 (77.3%)	162 (97.0%)
+2% or more	52 (29.9%)	107 (62.2%)	154 (92.2%)
+5% or more	8 (4.6%)	47 (27.3%)	129 (77.2%)
+10% or more	0 (0.0%)	7 (4.1%)	83 (49.7%)
+15% or more	0 (0.0%)	2 (1.2%)	53 (31.7%)
+20% or more	0 (0.0%)	1 (0.6%)	19 (11.4%)
−1% or lower	91 (52.3%)	128 (74.4%)	148 (88.6%)
−2% or lower	45 (25.9%)	90 (52.3%)	137 (82.0%)
−5% or lower	7 (4.0%)	30 (17.4%)	78 (46.7%)
−10% or lower	1 (0.6%)	4 (2.3%)	25 (15.0%)
−15% or lower	1 (0.6%)	1 (0.6%)	13 (7.8%)
−20% or lower	0 (0.0%)	0 (0.0%)	9 (5.4%)

Each window counts only matches old enough for it, so a longer window can show fewer.

Full record: other windows and move sizes

Matches that reached each move within each window. Counts first; the measured row is what each rate is over.
Move	1 hour	4 hours	24 hours
Measured	464	462	457
Too recent	0	2	7
+1% or more	244 (52.6%)	362 (78.4%)	428 (93.7%)
+2% or more	133 (28.7%)	290 (62.8%)	400 (87.5%)
+5% or more	17 (3.7%)	102 (22.1%)	294 (64.3%)
+10% or more	0 (0.0%)	16 (3.5%)	169 (37.0%)
+15% or more	0 (0.0%)	4 (0.9%)	110 (24.1%)
+20% or more	0 (0.0%)	1 (0.2%)	57 (12.5%)
−1% or lower	244 (52.6%)	344 (74.5%)	416 (91.0%)
−2% or lower	131 (28.2%)	254 (55.0%)	389 (85.1%)
−5% or lower	24 (5.2%)	86 (18.6%)	284 (62.1%)
−10% or lower	3 (0.6%)	16 (3.5%)	130 (28.4%)
−15% or lower	2 (0.4%)	5 (1.1%)	57 (12.5%)
−20% or lower	1 (0.2%)	2 (0.4%)	29 (6.3%)

Each window counts only matches old enough for it, so a longer window can show fewer.

Distributions and daily counts

Upside reached · 24hThe most price moved up within 24 hours of each match: a high-water mark, never a close. 167 with a complete 24 hours.

Drawdown · 24hThe worst price moved against within 24 hours of each match: the deepest point, never the close. 167 with a complete 24 hours.

Price 30 minutes laterForward 30-minute returns across 174 matches: close to an even split, which is what a coin flip looks like. 0 too recent.

How to read a distribution

Matches per UTC day

12 Jul15 matches
13 Jul10 matches
14 Jul8 matches
15 Jul6 matches
16 Jul7 matches
17 Jul5 matches
18 Jul13 matches
19 Jul11 matches
20 Jul8 matches
21 Jul9 matches
22 Jul1 match
23 Jul6 matches
24 Jul8 matches
25 Jul5 matches
26 Jul4 matches
27 Jul5 matches
28 Jul6 matches
29 Jul4 matches
30 Jul4 matches
31 Jul10 matches
1 Aug10 matches
2 Aug4 matches
3 Aug3 matches
4 Aug1 match
5 Aug2 matches
6 Aug0 matches
7 Aug2 matches
8 Aug7 matches
9 Aug0 matches
10 Aug0 matches
11 Aug0 matches

How this is counted

Each rate counts only matches with the full window after them.
A minute where a reading was missing is left out and reported, not read as zero.
The condition picks the setup, never the outcome: a definition that filters on what followed is rejected (OUTCOME_IN_PREDICATE). Every match is measured, winners and losers alike.
"Other minutes" is every other eligible minute in the same market and window. It is a reference, not a control group.
"Reached +5%" uses the highest price inside the window (maximum favourable excursion, MFE); "fell to −10%" uses the lowest (maximum adverse excursion, MAE). Neither is the close.
Checked 40,321 eligible market-minutes (eligible_symbol_buckets) on UBUSDT, 2026-07-12 00:00 to 2026-08-11 00:00 UTC.

What are MFE and MAE?

Reproducibility key (q#416ad1b9)

The key that re-runs this exact count. Same key, same bytes; when the record grows, the dataset revision changes.

grammar: research_query.v2
normalization: archive_normalization.v1
feature library: feature_defs.v1
dataset revision: fbb293e1e0a45420ed804b240e8dd19aab0fa5a23047a53159c4753b6a7fe272
query hash: 416ad1b99c5b1f8d72618fa2deee68077bfc12da86afcc65df976d9fc3c8be3b
scanned window: 2026-07-12T00:00:00.000Z to 2026-08-11T00:00:00.000Z (UTC)

Re-run over the API

The exact search definition behind this count. Send it to the key-authed research API (or the MCP research tool) and compare the bytes; a cached rerun is free.

{
  "schema_version": "research_query.v2",
  "normalization_version": "archive_normalization.v1",
  "feature_version": "feature_defs.v1",
  "target": "record_occurrences",
  "where": {
    "all": [
      [
        "feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m",
        "lte",
        0.38
      ],
      [
        "identity.symbol",
        "eq",
        "ubusdt"
      ],
      [
        "times.anchor_time",
        "between",
        [
          "2026-07-12T00:00:00.000Z",
          "2026-08-11T00:00:00.000Z"
        ]
      ]
    ]
  },
  "sort": [
    "times.anchor_time",
    "desc"
  ],
  "page": {
    "limit": 50,
    "cursor": null
  }
}

curl -s https://app.edgedepth.com/api/v1/research/query \
  -H 'authorization: Bearer $EDGEDEPTH_API_KEY' \
  -H 'content-type: application/json' \
  -d '{"schema_version":"research_query.v2","normalization_version":"archive_normalization.v1","feature_version":"feature_defs.v1","target":"record_occurrences","where":{"all":[["feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m","lte",0.38],["identity.symbol","eq","ubusdt"],["times.anchor_time","between",["2026-07-12T00:00:00.000Z","2026-08-11T00:00:00.000Z"]]]},"sort":["times.anchor_time","desc"],"page":{"limit":50,"cursor":null}}'

One-sided tape: sellers on UBUSDT

Read it in context

Read UBUSDT itself

Its recorded moves

Test it on UBUSDT, then plan it

What happened in the next 24 hours?

Price touched +5% or higher

Price touched −10% or lower

Over the full record