XMRUSDT · recorded history

One-sided tape: sellers on XMRUSDT

Taker buy ratio over the last 15 minutes has run at 0.38 or less: a persistently seller-heavy tape.

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A tested result leads to Plan a trade, which measures what trading it would have paid after costs.
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What happened in the next 24 hours?

This condition showed no clear difference for either move.

Other minutes are the same markets and dates without this condition. Each percentage is the share of measured minutes that reached that move from the starting price.

Price touched +5% or higher

When this held: 32.3% · 123 of 381 minutes
Other minutes: 33.5% · 12,160 of 36,324 minutes

Price touched −10% or lower

When this held: 1.3% · 5 of 381 minutes
Other minutes: 1.0% · 371 of 36,324 minutes

Price can touch both levels within the same 24 hours.

This counts how often price touched a level, not what trading it would have paid.

Sample and counting

Rates use the 381 of 392 matches with a full 24 hours after them. The 11 newer ones are left out, not counted as zero.

Every condition is measured over the same 24 hours, whatever the length of its own reading. Other windows and move sizes shows shorter and longer windows.

When it happened

About 13 a day, on 30 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.

Other windows and move sizes

Matches that reached each move within each window. Counts first; the measured row is what each rate is over.
Move	1 hour	4 hours	24 hours	72 hours	7 days
Measured	391	390	381	354	301
Too recent	1	2	11	38	91
+0.1% or more	349 (89.3%)	373 (95.6%)	374 (98.2%)	351 (99.2%)	301 (100.0%)
+0.2% or more	324 (82.9%)	359 (92.1%)	368 (96.6%)	350 (98.9%)	301 (100.0%)
+0.5% or more	218 (55.8%)	309 (79.2%)	354 (92.9%)	344 (97.2%)	299 (99.3%)
+1% or more	97 (24.8%)	231 (59.2%)	321 (84.3%)	325 (91.8%)	298 (99.0%)
+2% or more	19 (4.9%)	116 (29.7%)	251 (65.9%)	291 (82.2%)	287 (95.3%)
+5% or more	0 (0.0%)	15 (3.8%)	123 (32.3%)	242 (68.4%)	264 (87.7%)
+10% or more	0 (0.0%)	4 (1.0%)	44 (11.5%)	119 (33.6%)	181 (60.1%)
+15% or more	0 (0.0%)	0 (0.0%)	14 (3.7%)	66 (18.6%)	115 (38.2%)
+20% or more	0 (0.0%)	0 (0.0%)	2 (0.5%)	25 (7.1%)	82 (27.2%)
+30% or more	0 (0.0%)	0 (0.0%)	0 (0.0%)	0 (0.0%)	1 (0.3%)
−0.1% or lower	353 (90.3%)	370 (94.9%)	372 (97.6%)	349 (98.6%)	298 (99.0%)
−0.2% or lower	323 (82.6%)	358 (91.8%)	368 (96.6%)	347 (98.0%)	296 (98.3%)
−0.5% or lower	225 (57.5%)	299 (76.7%)	340 (89.2%)	332 (93.8%)	287 (95.3%)
−1% or lower	104 (26.6%)	201 (51.5%)	288 (75.6%)	294 (83.1%)	260 (86.4%)
−2% or lower	17 (4.3%)	87 (22.3%)	220 (57.7%)	247 (69.8%)	234 (77.7%)
−5% or lower	0 (0.0%)	7 (1.8%)	70 (18.4%)	124 (35.0%)	155 (51.5%)
−10% or lower	0 (0.0%)	0 (0.0%)	5 (1.3%)	6 (1.7%)	13 (4.3%)

Each window counts only matches old enough for it, so a longer window can show fewer.

Distributions and daily counts

Upside reached · 24hThe most price moved up within 24 hours of each match: a high-water mark, never a close. 381 with a complete 24 hours.

Drawdown · 24hThe worst price moved against within 24 hours of each match: the deepest point, never the close. 381 with a complete 24 hours.

Price 30 minutes laterForward 30-minute returns across 392 matches: close to an even split, which is what a coin flip looks like. 0 too recent.

How to read a distribution

Matches per UTC day

23 Aug13 matches
24 Aug11 matches
25 Aug12 matches
26 Aug13 matches
27 Aug14 matches
28 Aug12 matches
29 Aug13 matches
30 Aug9 matches
31 Aug14 matches
1 Sep13 matches
2 Sep13 matches
3 Sep13 matches
4 Sep11 matches
5 Sep16 matches
6 Sep14 matches
7 Sep14 matches
8 Sep13 matches
9 Sep13 matches
10 Sep16 matches
11 Sep12 matches
12 Sep14 matches
13 Sep15 matches
14 Sep13 matches
15 Sep13 matches
16 Sep15 matches
17 Sep14 matches
18 Sep11 matches
19 Sep14 matches
20 Sep13 matches
21 Sep11 matches
22 Sep0 matches

How this is counted

Each rate counts only matches with the full window after them.
A minute where a reading was missing is left out and reported, not read as zero.
The condition picks the setup, never the outcome: a definition that filters on what followed is rejected (OUTCOME_IN_PREDICATE). Every match is measured, winners and losers alike.
"Other minutes" is every other eligible minute in the same market and window. It is a reference, not a control group.
"Reached +5%" uses the highest price inside the window (maximum favourable excursion, MFE); "fell to −10%" uses the lowest (maximum adverse excursion, MAE). Neither is the close.
Checked 43,201 eligible market-minutes (eligible_symbol_buckets) on XMRUSDT, 2026-08-23 00:00 to 2026-09-22 00:00 UTC.

What are MFE and MAE?

Reproducibility key (q#b28449bf)

The key that re-runs this exact count. Same key, same bytes; when the record grows, the dataset revision changes.

grammar: research_query.v2
normalization: archive_normalization.v1
feature library: feature_defs.v1
dataset revision: 85fdc316e9b72ff71f3d15a0e2c4eb0bef124ff6c049cc39416fbae85eb07e5b
query hash: b28449bf16991873adaf0480f73de634b85035bc2c4fc93dbdc9a5a1503623ea
scanned window: 2026-08-23T00:00:00.000Z to 2026-09-22T00:00:00.000Z (UTC)

Re-run over the API

The exact search definition behind this count. Send it to the key-authed research API (or the MCP research tool) and compare the bytes; a cached rerun is free.

{
  "schema_version": "research_query.v2",
  "normalization_version": "archive_normalization.v1",
  "feature_version": "feature_defs.v1",
  "target": "record_occurrences",
  "where": {
    "all": [
      [
        "feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m",
        "lte",
        0.38
      ],
      [
        "identity.symbol",
        "eq",
        "xmrusdt"
      ],
      [
        "times.anchor_time",
        "between",
        [
          "2026-08-23T00:00:00.000Z",
          "2026-09-22T00:00:00.000Z"
        ]
      ]
    ]
  },
  "sort": [
    "times.anchor_time",
    "desc"
  ],
  "page": {
    "limit": 50,
    "cursor": null
  }
}

curl -s https://app.edgedepth.com/api/v1/research/query \
  -H 'authorization: Bearer $EDGEDEPTH_API_KEY' \
  -H 'content-type: application/json' \
  -d '{"schema_version":"research_query.v2","normalization_version":"archive_normalization.v1","feature_version":"feature_defs.v1","target":"record_occurrences","where":{"all":[["feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m","lte",0.38],["identity.symbol","eq","xmrusdt"],["times.anchor_time","between",["2026-08-23T00:00:00.000Z","2026-09-22T00:00:00.000Z"]]]},"sort":["times.anchor_time","desc"],"page":{"limit":50,"cursor":null}}'

One-sided tape: sellers on XMRUSDT

Read it in context

Read XMRUSDT itself

Test it on XMRUSDT, then plan it

What happened in the next 24 hours?

Price touched +5% or higher

Price touched −10% or lower