Price touched +5% or higher
- When this held
- 33.8% · 14,033 of 41,469 minutes
- Other minutes
- 33.8% · 6,569,936 of 19,420,003 minutes
Realized volatility above its 90th percentile
One-minute realized volatility over the hour is above its own trailing 90th percentile for this market.
Recorded window: 11 Sept 2026 to 10 Oct 2026 (UTC). Counted 11 Oct 2026 at 07:51 UTC.
Read it in context
On one market
Each market page compares that market with its own minutes, not with every market at once.
Test it, then plan it
Narrow it to your markets and dates in the Workbench. A tested result leads to Plan a trade, which measures what trading it would have paid after costs.
By market
Results vary by market. Compare a market before drawing a conclusion.
All 130 markets
1000BONKUSDT1000PEPEUSDT1000RATSUSDT1000SHIBUSDT4USDTAAVEUSDTACEUSDTADAUSDTAINUSDTAIOUSDTAKEUSDTAPRUSDTAPTUSDTARBUSDTARKUSDTASTERUSDTATOMUSDTAVAXUSDTBANKUSDTBCHUSDTBEATUSDTBICOUSDTBLESSUSDTBLUAIUSDTBMTUSDTBNBUSDTBOMEUSDTBRUSDTBTCUSDTBTRUSDTBTWUSDTBULLAUSDTCAPUSDTCOTIUSDTCOWUSDTCYSUSDTDASHUSDTDEXEUSDTDOGEUSDTDOTUSDTEDENUSDTENAUSDTESPORTSUSDTESPUSDTETHUSDTEULUSDTFARTCOINUSDTFILUSDTFLOCKUSDTGIGGLEUSDTGPSUSDTGRVTUSDTGUSDTGWEIUSDTHBARUSDTHEIUSDTHEMIUSDTHFTUSDTHOMEUSDTHYPEUSDTINJUSDTIOSTUSDTKAITOUSDTKOMAUSDTLABUSDTLAUSDTLINKUSDTLITUSDTLSKUSDTLTCUSDTMAGMAUSDTMARSCOINUSDTMMTUSDTMOVRUSDTMUBARAKUSDTNEARUSDTNILUSDTONDOUSDTONEUSDTONGUSDTONUSDTOPUSDTORDIUSDTPAXGUSDTPENGUUSDTPHAUSDTPOLUSDTPONSUSDTPORTALUSDTPROMUSDTPUMPUSDTQNTUSDTQUSDTRAYSOLUSDTRIFUSDTSAGAUSDTSEIUSDTSKRUSDTSKYAIUSDTSOLUSDTSOONUSDTSOPHUSDTSUIUSDTSYNUSDTTACUSDTTAKEUSDTTAOUSDTTIAUSDTTRUMPUSDTTRXUSDTTUSDTTUTUSDTUAIUSDTUBUSDTUNIUSDTUSELESSUSDTVELVETUSDTVTHOUSDTVVVUSDTWIFUSDTWLDUSDTWLFIUSDTXLMUSDTXMRUSDTXPLUSDTXRPUSDTZAMAUSDTZECUSDTZKCUSDTZROUSDT
How results varied by market
Range across 130 markets with at least 30 measured: reached +5% within 24 hours in 0 of 72 on PAXGUSDT (0%) to 74 of 88 on USELESSUSDT (84%).
Every market pooled, without context
What happened in the next 24 hours?
This condition showed no clear difference for either move.
Other minutes are the same markets and dates without this condition. Each percentage is the share of measured minutes that reached that move from the starting price.
Price touched −10% or lower
- When this held
- 6.8% · 2,837 of 41,469 minutes
- Other minutes
- 6.0% · 1,173,399 of 19,420,003 minutes
Price can touch both levels within the same 24 hours.
Every matching minute counts, so one long run adds many near-identical minutes. Busy markets weigh most.
Every condition is measured over the same 24 hours, whatever the length of its own reading. Other windows and move sizes shows shorter and longer windows.
This counts how often price touched a level, not what trading it would have paid.
Sample and counting
Rates use the 41,469 of 42,122 matches, pooled across 524 markets, with a full 24 hours after them. The 653 newer ones are left out, not counted as zero.
When it happened
About 1,359 a day, on 30 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
Other windows and move sizes
| Move | 1 hour | 4 hours | 24 hours | 72 hours | 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Measured | 42,027 | 42,027 | 41,469 | 39,372 | 33,394 |
| Too recent | 95 | 95 | 653 | 2,750 | 8,728 |
| +0.1% or more | 38,515 (91.6%) | 40,039 (95.3%) | 40,534 (97.7%) | 38,978 (99.0%) | 33,297 (99.7%) |
| +0.2% or more | 35,666 (84.9%) | 38,401 (91.4%) | 39,853 (96.1%) | 38,634 (98.1%) | 33,192 (99.4%) |
| +0.5% or more | 27,304 (65.0%) | 33,629 (80.0%) | 37,729 (91.0%) | 37,573 (95.4%) | 32,852 (98.4%) |
| +1% or more | 16,732 (39.8%) | 26,321 (62.6%) | 34,148 (82.3%) | 35,785 (90.9%) | 32,231 (96.5%) |
| +2% or more | 6,904 (16.4%) | 15,196 (36.2%) | 27,742 (66.9%) | 32,217 (81.8%) | 30,829 (92.3%) |
| +5% or more | 1,433 (3.4%) | 4,012 (9.5%) | 14,033 (33.8%) | 22,542 (57.3%) | 26,227 (78.5%) |
| +10% or more | 422 (1.0%) | 1,226 (2.9%) | 5,265 (12.7%) | 12,260 (31.1%) | 19,161 (57.4%) |
| +15% or more | 185 (0.4%) | 586 (1.4%) | 2,669 (6.4%) | 7,112 (18.1%) | 13,534 (40.5%) |
| +20% or more | 100 (0.2%) | 341 (0.8%) | 1,602 (3.9%) | 4,506 (11.4%) | 9,590 (28.7%) |
| +30% or more | 47 (0.1%) | 144 (0.3%) | 765 (1.8%) | 2,214 (5.6%) | 5,181 (15.5%) |
| +50% or more | 11 (<0.1%) | 52 (0.1%) | 328 (0.8%) | 936 (2.4%) | 2,100 (6.3%) |
| +100% or more | 3 (<0.1%) | 13 (<0.1%) | 102 (0.2%) | 268 (0.7%) | 639 (1.9%) |
| +200% or more | 1 (<0.1%) | 4 (<0.1%) | 26 (0.1%) | 85 (0.2%) | 236 (0.7%) |
| +400% or more | 0 (0.0%) | 1 (<0.1%) | 7 (<0.1%) | 23 (0.1%) | 73 (0.2%) |
| −0.1% or lower | 38,418 (91.4%) | 39,979 (95.1%) | 40,585 (97.9%) | 38,897 (98.8%) | 33,079 (99.1%) |
| −0.2% or lower | 35,504 (84.5%) | 38,338 (91.2%) | 39,896 (96.2%) | 38,497 (97.8%) | 32,813 (98.3%) |
| −0.5% or lower | 27,336 (65.0%) | 33,666 (80.1%) | 37,801 (91.2%) | 37,351 (94.9%) | 32,056 (96.0%) |
| −1% or lower | 17,026 (40.5%) | 26,506 (63.1%) | 34,161 (82.4%) | 35,460 (90.1%) | 30,715 (92.0%) |
| −2% or lower | 6,890 (16.4%) | 15,354 (36.5%) | 27,284 (65.8%) | 31,826 (80.8%) | 28,343 (84.9%) |
| −5% or lower | 1,196 (2.8%) | 3,592 (8.5%) | 12,955 (31.2%) | 21,966 (55.8%) | 21,321 (63.8%) |
| −10% or lower | 255 (0.6%) | 632 (1.5%) | 2,837 (6.8%) | 8,041 (20.4%) | 9,863 (29.5%) |
| −15% or lower | 89 (0.2%) | 213 (0.5%) | 821 (2.0%) | 2,463 (6.3%) | 3,824 (11.5%) |
| −20% or lower | 54 (0.1%) | 109 (0.3%) | 394 (1.0%) | 1,006 (2.6%) | 1,712 (5.1%) |
| −30% or lower | 20 (<0.1%) | 37 (0.1%) | 127 (0.3%) | 306 (0.8%) | 564 (1.7%) |
| −50% or lower | 3 (<0.1%) | 6 (<0.1%) | 20 (<0.1%) | 52 (0.1%) | 121 (0.4%) |
Each window counts only matches old enough for it, so a longer window can show fewer.
Distributions and daily counts
Upside reached · 24hThe most price moved up within 24 hours of each match: a high-water mark, never a close. 41,469 with a complete 24 hours.
Drawdown · 24hThe worst price moved against within 24 hours of each match: the deepest point, never the close. 41,469 with a complete 24 hours.
Price 30 minutes laterForward 30-minute returns across 41,870 matches: close to an even split, which is what a coin flip looks like. 252 too recent.
Matches per UTC day
- 11 Sep1,389 matches
- 12 Sep645 matches
- 13 Sep1,924 matches
- 14 Sep1,676 matches
- 15 Sep1,835 matches
- 16 Sep1,088 matches
- 17 Sep781 matches
- 18 Sep1,899 matches
- 19 Sep1,506 matches
- 20 Sep1,399 matches
- 21 Sep1,748 matches
- 22 Sep1,608 matches
- 23 Sep1,744 matches
- 24 Sep1,096 matches
- 25 Sep1,399 matches
- 26 Sep1,297 matches
- 27 Sep1,575 matches
- 28 Sep1,819 matches
- 29 Sep1,284 matches
- 30 Sep1,560 matches
- 1 Oct1,418 matches
- 2 Oct1,841 matches
- 3 Oct549 matches
- 4 Oct1,234 matches
- 5 Oct1,796 matches
- 6 Oct1,240 matches
- 7 Oct1,476 matches
- 8 Oct1,963 matches
- 9 Oct480 matches
- 10 Oct853 matches
- 11 Oct0 matches
How this is counted
- Each rate counts only matches with the full window after them.
- A minute where a reading was missing is left out and reported, not read as zero.
- The condition picks the setup, never the outcome: a definition that filters on what followed is rejected (OUTCOME_IN_PREDICATE). Every match is measured, winners and losers alike.
- "Other minutes" is every other eligible minute in the same markets and window. It is a reference, not a control group.
- "Reached +5%" uses the highest price inside the window (maximum favourable excursion, MFE); "fell to −10%" uses the lowest (maximum adverse excursion, MAE). Neither is the close.
- Checked 22,558,120 eligible market-minutes (eligible_symbol_buckets) on 524 markets, 2026-09-11 00:00 to 2026-10-11 00:00 UTC.
- These counts pool every market, so markets that match often weigh more. Each market page compares that market with its own reference.
- Live status is not connected yet, so this page is recorded history only.
Reproducibility key (q#790a8690)
The key that re-runs this exact count. Same key, same bytes; when the record grows, the dataset revision changes.
- grammar
- research_query.v2
- normalization
- archive_normalization.v1
- feature library
- feature_defs.v1
- dataset revision
- 43d9501eae1d9946507cb2c6ad935f27e3eb1f85971bc6c6882076af0068a010
- query hash
- 790a869070debc1d886867837d6f93c667b4ccb745943c9d8553183da81677dc
- scanned window
- 2026-09-11T00:00:00.000Z to 2026-10-11T00:00:00.000Z (UTC)
Re-run over the API
The exact search definition behind this count. Send it to the key-authed research API (or the MCP research tool) and compare the bytes; a cached rerun is free.
{
"schema_version": "research_query.v2",
"normalization_version": "archive_normalization.v1",
"feature_version": "feature_defs.v1",
"target": "record_occurrences",
"where": {
"all": [
[
"feature.realized_vol_pctrank",
"gte",
0.9
],
[
"times.anchor_time",
"between",
[
"2026-09-11T00:00:00.000Z",
"2026-10-11T00:00:00.000Z"
]
]
]
},
"sort": [
"times.anchor_time",
"desc"
],
"page": {
"limit": 50,
"cursor": null
}
}curl -s https://app.edgedepth.com/api/v1/research/query \
-H 'authorization: Bearer $EDGEDEPTH_API_KEY' \
-H 'content-type: application/json' \
-d '{"schema_version":"research_query.v2","normalization_version":"archive_normalization.v1","feature_version":"feature_defs.v1","target":"record_occurrences","where":{"all":[["feature.realized_vol_pctrank","gte",0.9],["times.anchor_time","between",["2026-09-11T00:00:00.000Z","2026-10-11T00:00:00.000Z"]]]},"sort":["times.anchor_time","desc"],"page":{"limit":50,"cursor":null}}'