Condition · recorded history

Stretched 2% above the day VWAP

Price is at least 2% above the current day VWAP: stretched to the upside of its session anchor.

What is a base rate?

Recorded window: 5 Oct 2026 to 3 Nov 2026 (UTC). Counted 4 Nov 2026 at 08:17 UTC.

Read it in context

On one market
Each market page compares that market with its own minutes, not with every market at once.
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Test it, then plan it
Narrow it to your markets and dates in the Workbench. A tested result leads to Plan a trade, which measures what trading it would have paid after costs.
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By market

Results vary by market. Compare a market before drawing a conclusion.

Most matches:CYSUSDT UBUSDT BTWUSDT TUTUSDT USELESSUSDT BANKUSDT

All 126 markets

1000BONKUSDT 1000PEPEUSDT 1000RATSUSDT 1000SHIBUSDT 4USDT AAVEUSDT ACEUSDT ADAUSDT AINUSDT AIOUSDT AKEUSDT APRUSDT APTUSDT ARBUSDT ARKUSDT ASTERUSDT ATOMUSDT AVAXUSDT BANKUSDT BCHUSDT BEAMXUSDT BEATUSDT BICOUSDT BLESSUSDT BLUAIUSDT BMTUSDT BOMEUSDT BRUSDT BTRUSDT BTWUSDT BULLAUSDT CAPUSDT COTIUSDT COWUSDT CYSUSDT DASHUSDT DEXEUSDT DOTUSDT EDENUSDT ENAUSDT ESPORTSUSDT ESPUSDT EULUSDT EVAAUSDT FARTCOINUSDT FILUSDT FLOCKUSDT GIGGLEUSDT GPSUSDT GRVTUSDT GUSDT GWEIUSDT HBARUSDT HEIUSDT HEMIUSDT HFTUSDT HOMEUSDT HYPEUSDT IDOLUSDT INJUSDT IOSTUSDT JCTUSDT KAITOUSDT KOMAUSDT LABUSDT LAUSDT LINKUSDT LITUSDT LSKUSDT MAGMAUSDT MARSCOINUSDT MMTUSDT MOVRUSDT MUBARAKUSDT NEARUSDT NILUSDT ONDOUSDT ONEUSDT ONGUSDT ONUSDT OPUSDT ORDIUSDT PARTIUSDT PENGUUSDT PHAUSDT POLUSDT PONSUSDT PORTALUSDT PROMUSDT PUMPUSDT QNTUSDT QUSDT RAYSOLUSDT RIFUSDT SAGAUSDT SEIUSDT SKRUSDT SKYAIUSDT SOONUSDT SOPHUSDT SUIUSDT SYNUSDT TACUSDT TAKEUSDT TAOUSDT TIAUSDT TRUMPUSDT TUSDT TUTUSDT UAIUSDT UBUSDT UNIUSDT USELESSUSDT VELVETUSDT VTHOUSDT VVVUSDT WIFUSDT WLDUSDT WLFIUSDT XLMUSDT XMRUSDT XPLUSDT ZAMAUSDT ZECUSDT ZKCUSDT ZROUSDT

How results varied by market

Range across 117 markets with at least 30 measured: reached +5% within 24 hours in 1 of 32 on WIFUSDT (3%) to 144 of 157 on CYSUSDT (92%).

Every market pooled, without context

What happened in the next 24 hours?

Both moves were more common than on minutes without it.

Other minutes are the same markets and dates without this condition. Each percentage is the share of measured minutes that reached that move from the starting price.

Price touched +5% or higher

When this held: 35.6% · 9,150 of 25,731 minutes
Other minutes: 22.6% · 4,520,559 of 20,009,720 minutes

Price touched −10% or lower

When this held: 15.4% · 3,969 of 25,731 minutes
Other minutes: 7.8% · 1,559,689 of 20,009,720 minutes

Price can touch both levels within the same 24 hours.

Every matching minute counts, so one long run adds many near-identical minutes. Busy markets weigh most.

Every condition is measured over the same 24 hours, whatever the length of its own reading. Other windows and move sizes shows shorter and longer windows.

This counts how often price touched a level, not what trading it would have paid.

Sample and counting

Rates use the 25,731 of 26,999 matches, pooled across 523 markets, with a full 24 hours after them. The 1,268 newer ones are left out, not counted as zero.

When it happened

About 871 a day, on 31 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.

Other windows and move sizes

Matches that reached each move within each window. Counts first; the measured row is what each rate is over.
Move	1 hour	4 hours	24 hours	72 hours	7 days
Measured	26,999	26,999	25,731	24,896	19,697
Too recent	0	0	1,268	2,103	7,302
+0.1% or more	24,437 (90.5%)	25,593 (94.8%)	25,092 (97.5%)	24,478 (98.3%)	19,448 (98.7%)
+0.2% or more	22,591 (83.7%)	24,505 (90.8%)	24,625 (95.7%)	24,156 (97.0%)	19,262 (97.8%)
+0.5% or more	17,389 (64.4%)	21,398 (79.3%)	23,185 (90.1%)	23,182 (93.1%)	18,652 (94.7%)
+1% or more	11,313 (41.9%)	16,979 (62.9%)	20,977 (81.5%)	21,663 (87.0%)	17,717 (89.9%)
+2% or more	5,458 (20.2%)	10,841 (40.2%)	17,188 (66.8%)	19,039 (76.5%)	16,049 (81.5%)
+5% or more	1,377 (5.1%)	3,666 (13.6%)	9,150 (35.6%)	12,260 (49.2%)	11,706 (59.4%)
+10% or more	424 (1.6%)	1,270 (4.7%)	4,151 (16.1%)	6,842 (27.5%)	7,646 (38.8%)
+15% or more	194 (0.7%)	644 (2.4%)	2,411 (9.4%)	4,372 (17.6%)	5,362 (27.2%)
+20% or more	110 (0.4%)	394 (1.5%)	1,586 (6.2%)	3,109 (12.5%)	4,038 (20.5%)
+30% or more	50 (0.2%)	183 (0.7%)	936 (3.6%)	1,874 (7.5%)	2,675 (13.6%)
+50% or more	17 (0.1%)	72 (0.3%)	411 (1.6%)	993 (4.0%)	1,658 (8.4%)
+100% or more	3 (<0.1%)	18 (0.1%)	135 (0.5%)	330 (1.3%)	588 (3.0%)
+200% or more	0 (0.0%)	3 (<0.1%)	34 (0.1%)	116 (0.5%)	203 (1.0%)
+400% or more	0 (0.0%)	1 (<0.1%)	5 (<0.1%)	23 (0.1%)	57 (0.3%)
−0.1% or lower	25,372 (94.0%)	26,195 (97.0%)	25,429 (98.8%)	24,787 (99.6%)	19,664 (99.8%)
−0.2% or lower	23,791 (88.1%)	25,426 (94.2%)	25,146 (97.7%)	24,678 (99.1%)	19,645 (99.7%)
−0.5% or lower	18,811 (69.7%)	22,814 (84.5%)	24,163 (93.9%)	24,355 (97.8%)	19,561 (99.3%)
−1% or lower	11,890 (44.0%)	18,542 (68.7%)	22,544 (87.6%)	23,805 (95.6%)	19,452 (98.8%)
−2% or lower	4,810 (17.8%)	11,275 (41.8%)	19,026 (73.9%)	22,474 (90.3%)	19,095 (96.9%)
−5% or lower	918 (3.4%)	2,947 (10.9%)	10,682 (41.5%)	17,820 (71.6%)	17,739 (90.1%)
−10% or lower	199 (0.7%)	690 (2.6%)	3,969 (15.4%)	10,594 (42.6%)	14,010 (71.1%)
−15% or lower	77 (0.3%)	255 (0.9%)	1,552 (6.0%)	4,680 (18.8%)	8,484 (43.1%)
−20% or lower	31 (0.1%)	130 (0.5%)	720 (2.8%)	1,912 (7.7%)	4,069 (20.7%)
−30% or lower	8 (<0.1%)	39 (0.1%)	285 (1.1%)	712 (2.9%)	1,288 (6.5%)
−50% or lower	2 (<0.1%)	11 (<0.1%)	41 (0.2%)	146 (0.6%)	302 (1.5%)

Each window counts only matches old enough for it, so a longer window can show fewer.

Distributions and daily counts

Upside reached · 24hThe most price moved up within 24 hours of each match: a high-water mark, never a close. 25,731 with a complete 24 hours.

Drawdown · 24hThe worst price moved against within 24 hours of each match: the deepest point, never the close. 25,731 with a complete 24 hours.

Price 30 minutes laterForward 30-minute returns across 26,924 matches: close to an even split, which is what a coin flip looks like. 75 too recent.

How to read a distribution

Matches per UTC day

5 Oct715 matches
6 Oct787 matches
7 Oct358 matches
8 Oct648 matches
9 Oct1,304 matches
10 Oct757 matches
11 Oct939 matches
12 Oct497 matches
13 Oct1,841 matches
14 Oct371 matches
15 Oct1,217 matches
16 Oct748 matches
17 Oct352 matches
18 Oct300 matches
19 Oct557 matches
20 Oct1,766 matches
21 Oct1,322 matches
22 Oct271 matches
23 Oct1,060 matches
24 Oct756 matches
25 Oct540 matches
26 Oct1,130 matches
27 Oct1,273 matches
28 Oct812 matches
29 Oct994 matches
30 Oct2,628 matches
31 Oct780 matches
1 Nov588 matches
2 Nov330 matches
3 Nov1,356 matches
4 Nov2 matches

How this is counted

Each rate counts only matches with the full window after them.
A minute where a reading was missing is left out and reported, not read as zero.
The condition picks the setup, never the outcome: a definition that filters on what followed is rejected (OUTCOME_IN_PREDICATE). Every match is measured, winners and losers alike.
"Other minutes" is every other eligible minute in the same markets and window. It is a reference, not a control group.
"Reached +5%" uses the highest price inside the window (maximum favourable excursion, MFE); "fell to −10%" uses the lowest (maximum adverse excursion, MAE). Neither is the close.
Checked 22,408,144 eligible market-minutes (eligible_symbol_buckets) on 523 markets, 2026-10-05 00:00 to 2026-11-04 00:00 UTC.
These counts pool every market, so markets that match often weigh more. Each market page compares that market with its own reference.
Live status is not connected yet, so this page is recorded history only.

What are MFE and MAE?

Reproducibility key (q#f26b6713)

The key that re-runs this exact count. Same key, same bytes; when the record grows, the dataset revision changes.

grammar: research_query.v2
normalization: archive_normalization.v1
feature library: feature_defs.v1
dataset revision: 4dd9ca5c5ec8ad02f80d2a7c16c1621e11e636aa3d672371e3f7a6ed83fe171c
query hash: f26b6713d5fbc99a5985ae8b2906feaf30358c4af291d2df549a5ec8360b5120
scanned window: 2026-10-05T00:00:00.000Z to 2026-11-04T00:00:00.000Z (UTC)

Re-run over the API

The exact search definition behind this count. Send it to the key-authed research API (or the MCP research tool) and compare the bytes; a cached rerun is free.

{
  "schema_version": "research_query.v2",
  "normalization_version": "archive_normalization.v1",
  "feature_version": "feature_defs.v1",
  "target": "record_occurrences",
  "where": {
    "all": [
      [
        "feature.vwap_dist",
        "gte",
        0.02
      ],
      [
        "times.anchor_time",
        "between",
        [
          "2026-10-05T00:00:00.000Z",
          "2026-11-04T00:00:00.000Z"
        ]
      ]
    ]
  },
  "sort": [
    "times.anchor_time",
    "desc"
  ],
  "page": {
    "limit": 50,
    "cursor": null
  }
}

curl -s https://app.edgedepth.com/api/v1/research/query \
  -H 'authorization: Bearer $EDGEDEPTH_API_KEY' \
  -H 'content-type: application/json' \
  -d '{"schema_version":"research_query.v2","normalization_version":"archive_normalization.v1","feature_version":"feature_defs.v1","target":"record_occurrences","where":{"all":[["feature.vwap_dist","gte",0.02],["times.anchor_time","between",["2026-10-05T00:00:00.000Z","2026-11-04T00:00:00.000Z"]]]},"sort":["times.anchor_time","desc"],"page":{"limit":50,"cursor":null}}'