Price touched +5% or higher
- When this held
- 19 of 29, too few for a rate
- Other minutes
- 70.1% · 10,252 of 14,624 minutes
Crowd long, leaders not on 4USDT
Global accounts sit at least 65% long while top traders run at least 10 points less long than the crowd.
Read it in context
Read 4USDT itself
Its recorded moves
Test it on 4USDT, then plan it
A tested result leads to Plan a trade, which measures what trading it would have paid after costs.
What happened in the next 24 hours?
Other minutes are the same markets and dates without this condition. Each percentage is the share of measured minutes that reached that move from the starting price.
Price touched −10% or lower
- When this held
- 9 of 29, too few for a rate
- Other minutes
- 41.9% · 6,123 of 14,624 minutes
Price can touch both levels within the same 24 hours.
This counts how often price touched a level, not what trading it would have paid.
Sample and counting
All 29 matches have a full 24 hours after them.
Every condition is measured over the same 24 hours, whatever the length of its own reading. Other windows and move sizes shows shorter and longer windows.
When it happened
About 0.9 a day, on 10 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
Other windows and move sizes
| Move | 1 hour | 4 hours | 24 hours | 72 hours | 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Measured | 29 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 29 |
| Too recent | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| +0.1% or more | 28 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 29 |
| +0.2% or more | 27 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 |
| +0.5% or more | 26 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 27 |
| +1% or more | 21 | 25 | 27 | 27 | 27 |
| +2% or more | 14 | 21 | 24 | 24 | 26 |
| +5% or more | 2 | 10 | 19 | 21 | 25 |
| +10% or more | 0 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 23 |
| +15% or more | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 22 |
| +20% or more | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 19 |
| +30% or more | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 |
| +50% or more | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 |
| +100% or more | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| −0.1% or lower | 26 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 29 |
| −0.2% or lower | 25 | 28 | 28 | 29 | 29 |
| −0.5% or lower | 18 | 25 | 28 | 29 | 29 |
| −1% or lower | 16 | 23 | 27 | 28 | 29 |
| −2% or lower | 10 | 16 | 24 | 28 | 29 |
| −5% or lower | 2 | 6 | 16 | 22 | 24 |
| −10% or lower | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 15 |
| −15% or lower | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 13 |
| −20% or lower | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 |
| −30% or lower | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
Each window counts only matches old enough for it, so a longer window can show fewer.
Distributions and daily counts
Upside reached · 24hThe most price moved up within 24 hours of each match: a high-water mark, never a close. 29 with a complete 24 hours.
Drawdown · 24hThe worst price moved against within 24 hours of each match: the deepest point, never the close. 29 with a complete 24 hours.
Price 30 minutes laterForward 30-minute returns across 29 matches: 62% of them finished up. 0 too recent.
Matches per UTC day
- 6 Aug1 match
- 7 Aug1 match
- 8 Aug5 matches
- 9 Aug6 matches
- 10 Aug2 matches
- 11 Aug1 match
- 12 Aug0 matches
- 13 Aug0 matches
- 14 Aug0 matches
- 15 Aug0 matches
- 16 Aug0 matches
- 17 Aug0 matches
- 18 Aug0 matches
- 19 Aug0 matches
- 20 Aug0 matches
- 21 Aug0 matches
- 22 Aug0 matches
- 23 Aug8 matches
- 24 Aug2 matches
- 25 Aug0 matches
- 26 Aug1 match
- 27 Aug2 matches
- 28 Aug0 matches
- 29 Aug0 matches
- 30 Aug0 matches
- 31 Aug0 matches
- 1 Sep0 matches
- 2 Sep0 matches
- 3 Sep0 matches
- 4 Sep0 matches
- 5 Sep0 matches
How this is counted
- Each rate counts only matches with the full window after them.
- A minute where a reading was missing is left out and reported, not read as zero.
- The condition picks the setup, never the outcome: a definition that filters on what followed is rejected (OUTCOME_IN_PREDICATE). Every match is measured, winners and losers alike.
- "Other minutes" is every other eligible minute in the same market and window. It is a reference, not a control group.
- "Reached +5%" uses the highest price inside the window (maximum favourable excursion, MFE); "fell to −10%" uses the lowest (maximum adverse excursion, MAE). Neither is the close.
- Checked 41,761 eligible market-minutes (eligible_symbol_buckets) on 4USDT, 2026-08-06 00:00 to 2026-09-05 00:00 UTC.
Reproducibility key (q#8d0bb4a9)
The key that re-runs this exact count. Same key, same bytes; when the record grows, the dataset revision changes.
- grammar
- research_query.v2
- normalization
- archive_normalization.v1
- feature library
- feature_defs.v1
- dataset revision
- 34f116f07fb3d51d068549b18218a00d686edb1b9372c56da95228e2c10613aa
- query hash
- 8d0bb4a94edea5a64e7f2ac5a11789a4c3b2a6c3af422752e48d9047e7df8949
- scanned window
- 2026-08-06T00:00:00.000Z to 2026-09-05T00:00:00.000Z (UTC)
Re-run over the API
The exact search definition behind this count. Send it to the key-authed research API (or the MCP research tool) and compare the bytes; a cached rerun is free.
{
"schema_version": "research_query.v2",
"normalization_version": "archive_normalization.v1",
"feature_version": "feature_defs.v1",
"target": "record_occurrences",
"where": {
"all": [
[
"feature.top_global_long_skew",
"lte",
-0.1
],
[
"feature.global_long_ratio",
"gte",
0.65
],
[
"identity.symbol",
"eq",
"4usdt"
],
[
"times.anchor_time",
"between",
[
"2026-08-06T00:00:00.000Z",
"2026-09-05T00:00:00.000Z"
]
]
]
},
"sort": [
"times.anchor_time",
"desc"
],
"page": {
"limit": 50,
"cursor": null
}
}curl -s https://app.edgedepth.com/api/v1/research/query \
-H 'authorization: Bearer $EDGEDEPTH_API_KEY' \
-H 'content-type: application/json' \
-d '{"schema_version":"research_query.v2","normalization_version":"archive_normalization.v1","feature_version":"feature_defs.v1","target":"record_occurrences","where":{"all":[["feature.top_global_long_skew","lte",-0.1],["feature.global_long_ratio","gte",0.65],["identity.symbol","eq","4usdt"],["times.anchor_time","between",["2026-08-06T00:00:00.000Z","2026-09-05T00:00:00.000Z"]]]},"sort":["times.anchor_time","desc"],"page":{"limit":50,"cursor":null}}'