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RESEARCH/SYMBOLS/4USDT
LATEST RECORD 2026-08-31 23:59 UTC
4USDT

4 / TETHER USD · BINANCE USDT-M PERPETUAL

328 DAYS RECORDED · SINCE 2025-07-1585 DAYS EXCLUDED
0.013704
-10.91% · 24H
Completed 1m close · 07:47 UTC · not live
Latest recorded state

4USDT: Price swept the 12-hour lows and reclaimed them.

The 33 previous times this happened on 4USDT, the median move over the next 24 hours was +2.83%, with a typical worst drawdown of -3.62% (31 of 33 with a complete 24h).

Measured over the minute ending 2026-08-31 23:59 UTC. Coverage and methodology

HISTORICAL PROOF

What followed this setup before

HISTORICAL PROOF

Swept 12h lows and reclaimed

ACTIVE IN LATEST RECORD
33PRIOR TIMES
+2.83%MEDIAN 24H
-3.62%TYPICAL DRAWDOWN
08-31 23:00LAST FIRE
Replay one recorded example08-31 23:00 ▸ REPLAY
+ VIEW EVIDENCE AND EXACT DEFINITION- HIDE EVIDENCE AND EXACT DEFINITION
feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_1h= TRUEEDGE-TRIGGEREDDEDUPE PT1H
BASE RATE · THIS SYMBOL
2,400 OF 43,201 (5.56%)
Eligible 4USDT minutes · 2026-08-02 to 2026-09-01
33 occurrences · counted when it turns true after false; repeat fires consolidated
+ SHOW OCCURRENCES PER DAY- OCCURRENCES PER DAY · UTC · SUM 33 · ZERO DAYS KEEP THEIR SLOT
+ SHOW ALL HORIZONS- ALL HORIZONS
HorizonComputableMedian fwdMedian MFEMedian MAEReached >= +2%Reached <= -2%
30m33 OF 33+0.06%+0.90%-0.54%3 OF 33 (9.1%)5 OF 33 (15.2%)
1h33 OF 33-0.44%+1.29%-1.40%8 OF 33 (24.2%)13 OF 33 (39.4%)
4h32 · 1 PENDING-0.04%+2.13%-1.62%19 OF 32 (59.4%)15 OF 32 (46.9%)
24h31 · 2 PENDING+2.83%+6.04%-3.62%27 OF 31 (87.1%)20 OF 31 (64.5%)
MFE / MAE: the most the price moved for and against, from the moment it fired, past tense. Pending = the newest fires whose horizon has not closed yet; they stay counted and are never dropped.
+ SHOW THE FULL LADDER · 1H · +/-1/2/5/10/15/20%- THRESHOLD LADDER · 1H · CLOSED LIST +/-1/2/5/10/15/20%
>= +1%21 OF 33>= +2%8 OF 33>= +5%0 OF 33>= +10%0 OF 33>= +15%0 OF 33>= +20%0 OF 33<= -1%19 OF 33<= -2%13 OF 33<= -5%2 OF 33<= -10%0 OF 33<= -15%0 OF 33<= -20%0 OF 33
v2 · nrm.v1 · ft.v1 · rev be350376 · q#7ff09ce3> RE-RUN THIS COUNT> THIS CONDITION ON EVERY SYMBOLALSO TRUE NOW: INJUSDT · ONGUSDT · AKEUSDT
Latest market read

What stands out in the latest record

Toxic flow (VPIN)0.08Near the bottom of its 328-day record
Large-trade share · 15m0.00Near the bottom of its 328-day record
Return · 1h-5.24%Near the bottom of its 328-day record
Continue from this record

Check the market now or watch for this setup

Free with an account. The live read is this minute; this page reads the record.

Check 4USDT nowAlert me when this setup returnsOpen 4USDT in the terminal
The record on 4USDT is 328 days deep, with 85 partition days excluded. State renders on what exists. Base rates and forward summaries count the rolling window; summaries appear only once a state has at least 30 recorded occurrences. Absences are reported, never improvised. The record grows daily.
REPLAY MOMENT PRO: OLDER REPLAYMODELLED MAP
0.02230.01760.01290.00826
Aug 02Aug 09Aug 17Aug 24Sep 01UTC
30 days · Binance 4H candles · diamonds replay the exact moment a rule firedUNLOCK 23 OLDER MARKERS
> What the shaded rows are

Shaded rows mark prices where leveraged positions would be forced to close if price gets there, built from this market's own price and volume. A map of fuel, not a prediction: it says nothing about whether price will go there.

MAP TO 07:40 UTC · lf.v2

Across $1.45B of real liquidations, the brightest tenth of this map captured about 22% of the dollars - roughly twice what nearness to price alone explains.

Watch these levels move live
Full evidenceAll readings, tracked conditions, receipts, published research, archived events and API details.
State · latest recorded minute

What the latest 4USDT record shows

33 readings, each compared with this market's own 328-day record. P82 = higher than on 82% of this market's recorded minutes. More: percentiles

What stands out in the latest record7 OF 33 READINGS
Toxic flow (VPIN)0.08P01
Large-trade share · 15m0.00P00
Return · 1h-5.24%P02
Range · 1h8.27%P95
VWAP distance · day-10.90%P03
Liq notional · 1h$20KP92
Sweep + reclaim · 1hTRUEUNCOMMON: TRUE 5.6% OF THE TIME
A reading stands out when it sits in the top or bottom tenth of its own record, or an uncommon state is on.
Key moments · fired rulesLAST 30 DAYS
08-31 21:15 UTCSwept the lows and reclaimed ▸ REPLAY
08-30 00:15 UTCSwept the lows and reclaimed ▸ REPLAY
08-29 21:15 UTCSwept the lows and reclaimed ▸ REPLAY
08-28 07:45 UTCSwept the lows and reclaimed ▸ REPLAY
08-27 14:00 UTCSwept the lows and reclaimed ▸ REPLAY
08-26 10:00 UTCSwept the lows and reclaimed ▸ REPLAY
08-25 22:45 UTCSwept the lows and reclaimed ▸ REPLAY
08-24 00:52 UTCBook tipped hard to one side REPLAYPRO
Replays from the last 7 days (since 2026-08-25) are free with an account; older ones are Pro. Each opens 30 minutes before the moment.
+ Full market read (33 readings)- Full market read (33 readings)
Flow10 READINGS
Toxic flow (VPIN)0.08P01
VPIN regimeNORMAL·
Taker buy share · 15m0.52P64
Large-trade share · 15m0.00P00
Return · 15m+0.94%P88
Return · 1h-5.24%P02
Range · 1h8.27%P95
Realized vol · 1h0.37%P82
Realized vol percentile0.62P62
VWAP distance · day-10.90%P03
Book3 READINGS
Book imbalance · top levels50% BIDP53
Book imbalance percentile0.42P42
Spread · normalized0.12P62
Derivatives10 READINGS
Funding rate · 8h+0.0108%P58
Funding · normalized0.04P58
Minutes to funding1SETTLES 00:00 UTC
OI velocity percentile0.23P23
Liquidation intensity0.00ZERO 99% OF THE TIME
Liq notional · 1h$20KP92
Cascade clustering0.58P52
Top-trader long share65.3%P71
Global long share66.0%P45
Top vs crowd skew-0.8 PTSP58
Candles10 READINGS
Body share · 15m-0.20P40
Body share · 1h-0.19P40
Upper wick · 15m0.26P52
Lower wick · 15m0.55P87
Compression · 15m0.97P58
Engulfing · 15mNONE·
Engulfing · 1hNONE·
Sweep + reclaim · 15mFALSE·
Sweep + reclaim · 1hTRUEUNCOMMON: TRUE 5.6% OF THE TIME
Containment · 15mNONE·
Candle readings use the last completed candle, never the one forming. No completed candle: shown as absent, never guessed.
SNAPSHOT KEY · v2 · nrm.v1 · ft.v1 · rev be350376 · q#c5a73ca6Same key, same bytes: the key is the re-run proof.> RUN THIS READ OVER THE API> WHAT THESE READINGS MEASURE
What followed · counted over the rolling window

All tracked conditions

1 of six tracked conditions is active on 4USDT now. Open any condition to see its exact definition and recorded history.

> ALL CONDITIONS, ALL SYMBOLS
COUNTING WINDOW: 2026-08-02 TO 2026-09-01 (30 DAYS). DATA COVERAGE BEGINS 2025-07-15.

Toxic flow elevated

NOT ACTIVE IN LATEST RECORDAlert me

History is still being prepared for this condition.

+ VIEW EVIDENCE AND EXACT DEFINITION- HIDE EVIDENCE AND EXACT DEFINITION
feature.vpin>= 0.85EDGE-TRIGGEREDDEDUPE PT1H
BASE RATE · THIS SYMBOL
·
Not cached yet; the nightly refresh fills this.
> THIS CONDITION ON EVERY SYMBOL

One-sided tape: buyers

NOT ACTIVE IN LATEST RECORDAlert me

History is still being prepared for this condition.

+ VIEW EVIDENCE AND EXACT DEFINITION- HIDE EVIDENCE AND EXACT DEFINITION
feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m>= 0.62EDGE-TRIGGEREDDEDUPE PT1H
BASE RATE · THIS SYMBOL
·
Not cached yet; the nightly refresh fills this.
> THIS CONDITION ON EVERY SYMBOL

One-sided tape: sellers

NOT ACTIVE IN LATEST RECORDAlert me

History is still being prepared for this condition.

+ VIEW EVIDENCE AND EXACT DEFINITION- HIDE EVIDENCE AND EXACT DEFINITION
feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m<= 0.38EDGE-TRIGGEREDDEDUPE PT1H
BASE RATE · THIS SYMBOL
·
Not cached yet; the nightly refresh fills this.
> THIS CONDITION ON EVERY SYMBOL

OI accelerating into liquidations

NOT ACTIVE IN LATEST RECORDAlert me

History is still being prepared for this condition.

+ VIEW EVIDENCE AND EXACT DEFINITION- HIDE EVIDENCE AND EXACT DEFINITION
feature.oi_velocity_pctrank>= 0.90ANDfeature.liq_notional_usd_1h>= $1MEDGE-TRIGGERED
BASE RATE · THIS SYMBOL
·
Not cached yet; the nightly refresh fills this.
> THIS CONDITION ON EVERY SYMBOL

Crowd long, leaders not

NOT ACTIVE IN LATEST RECORDAlert me

History is still being prepared for this condition.

+ VIEW EVIDENCE AND EXACT DEFINITION- HIDE EVIDENCE AND EXACT DEFINITION
feature.top_global_long_skew<= -10ANDfeature.global_long_ratio>= 0.65
BASE RATE · THIS SYMBOL
·
Not cached yet; the nightly refresh fills this.
> THIS CONDITION ON EVERY SYMBOL

More setups, counted nightly

Beyond the six above, 10 more setups are counted nightly on 4USDT. None of the 10 measurable at the latest recorded minute is active.

Pro reveals for each of these what the six above already show: how often it has happened on this market, out of how many chances, and what followed each time. This page stays free; the deeper record is the paid part, and watching the page can never rebuild a past minute.

> SEE PRO PLANS
Research history · 4USDT

Published research and archived events

> Investigate the latest 4USDT moveMACHINE-READABLE INDEX: GET /api/research/reports
Investigated moves on 4USDT1
Published reports touching 4USDT5
Crowd long share reached 70%Published 2026-07-31 · covers every recorded market
On record: 884 OF 7,993 minutes matched (11.1%)Since publication: 467 OF 4,916 (9.5%), 401 still open at 1H

Observed examples in a selected archive, not a guarantee. Nothing here is trading advice.

> ALL PUBLISHED RESEARCH
Archived events · 4USDT7
Volatility spike · 2026-08-29 19:54 UTC1,275 liquidations · $1.1M notional · in 1688 minutes
> EVENT PAGE ▸ REPLAY
> THE EVENT ARCHIVE
API and reproducibilityKeys, canonical calls and machine-readable evidence.

Re-run this record

Fetch the recorded state with one call. Its reproducibility key returns the same canonical bytes later.

Get API key> API DOCUMENTATION

Cached re-runs do not spend research credits.

# the state block
GET /api/v1/research/snapshot?symbol=4USDT&t=last-complete
→ canonical bytes · q#c5a73ca6