4USDT rose into Aug 30
+82%
Counted on 2026-09-05, against a record covering to 2026-09-04 00:00 UTC. These numbers are frozen: this page will always say what it said the day it was written.
This move is in the event archive as a pump 4h on 2026-08-29. Open the archived event
Exact setup countedBook imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.7 and Sweep + reclaim · 15m bearish and Sweep + reclaim · 1h bearish · Read at 1 hour before the move.
6 rose and 14 fell over 20 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
Counts above cover this market only. The proposed Research handoff expands to 71 sector alpha markets; its counts have not been computed here. This market only · Every recorded market
Evidence and counting
Read at 1 hour before the move.
Of the 20 fires, 19 came before the move began; none were during it.
About 0.6 a day, on 13 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
This is not a similarity search. Each count matches the exact readings above and nothing else.
Picked in hindsight: the counts include every other time these readings appeared, not just this move.
Fires often arrive as clusters of consecutive minutes, and forward windows overlap. A cluster is one episode, not many independent trials.
If these counts read weaker than the move suggested, that is the tool working: the lead-up of a picked move always looks special until it is counted everywhere else.
What the minutes before it looked like
Hourly candles. The marked lines are the minutes the readings came from: 1 minute, 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours and 24 hours before the move began. Every one of them sits before the move, never inside it.
Highlighted readings and exact search conditions
Highlighted readings meet fixed rules, not a statistical-significance test. The observed value and proposed search condition are different: a condition rounds a value or selects an interval for a repeatable search.
- -24h2026-08-28 04:00 UTC
At 24 hours before the move, 8 of the 58 readings met a highlight rule.
the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline ≥ 2.9Cascade clustering ≥ 0.53the distance from price back to the broken descending resistance -0.5 to 0.5how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3the distance from price back to the broken short descending resistance -0.5 to 0.5how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3Return · 15m ≥ 0.032Return · 1h ≥ 0.053Show the full readings
READING BEFORE THE MOVE SEARCHES FOR the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_4h 2.981 ≥ 2.9 Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.5329 ≥ 0.53 the distance from price back to the broken descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_broken_dist_atr -0.09971 -0.5 to 0.5 how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 the distance from price back to the broken short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_dist_atr -0.2174 -0.5 to 0.5 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 3 ≥ 3 Return · 15m feature.ret_15m 0.03254 ≥ 0.032 Return · 1h feature.ret_1h 0.05302 ≥ 0.053 - -4h2026-08-29 00:00 UTC
At 4 hours before the move, 10 of the 58 readings met a highlight rule.
Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.58Engulfing · 15m bearishCascade clustering ≥ 0.55how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the descending resistance broke 12 to 720how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the short descending resistance broke 12 to 720Minutes to funding ≤ 1Taker buy share · 15m ≤ 0.32VWAP distance · day ≤ -0.061Show the full readings
READING BEFORE THE MOVE SEARCHES FOR Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance -0.5855 ≤ -0.58 Engulfing · 15m feature.candle_engulfing_15m bearish bearish Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.5505 ≥ 0.55 how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 27 12 to 720 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 3 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 27 12 to 720 Minutes to funding feature.mins_to_funding 0 ≤ 1 Taker buy share · 15m feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m 0.3153 ≤ 0.32 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist -0.0619 ≤ -0.061 - -1h2026-08-29 03:00 UTC
At 1 hour before the move, 9 of the 58 readings met a highlight rule.
Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.7Sweep + reclaim · 15m bearishSweep + reclaim · 1h bearishUpper wick · 15m ≥ 0.8Cascade clustering ≥ 0.55how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the descending resistance broke 12 to 720how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the short descending resistance broke 12 to 720Show the full readings
READING BEFORE THE MOVE SEARCHES FOR Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance -0.7063 ≤ -0.7 Sweep + reclaim · 15m feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_15m bearish bearish Sweep + reclaim · 1h feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_1h bearish bearish Upper wick · 15m feature.candle_upper_wick_15m 0.8024 ≥ 0.8 Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.5511 ≥ 0.55 how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 30 12 to 720 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 3 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 30 12 to 720 - -15m2026-08-29 03:45 UTC
At 15 minutes before the move, 8 of the 58 readings met a highlight rule.
Book imbalance · top levels ≥ 0.61Sweep + reclaim · 15m bullishSweep + reclaim · 1h bearishCascade clustering ≥ 0.55how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the descending resistance broke 12 to 720how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the short descending resistance broke 12 to 720Show the full readings
READING BEFORE THE MOVE SEARCHES FOR Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance 0.6187 ≥ 0.61 Sweep + reclaim · 15m feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_15m bullish bullish Sweep + reclaim · 1h feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_1h bearish bearish Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.5511 ≥ 0.55 how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 30.75 12 to 720 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 3 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 30.75 12 to 720 - -1m2026-08-29 03:59 UTC
At 1 minute before the move, 8 of the 58 readings met a highlight rule.
Sweep + reclaim · 15m bullishSweep + reclaim · 1h bearishCascade clustering ≥ 0.55how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the descending resistance broke 12 to 720how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the short descending resistance broke 12 to 720Taker buy share · 15m ≤ 0.32Show the full readings
READING BEFORE THE MOVE SEARCHES FOR Sweep + reclaim · 15m feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_15m bullish bullish Sweep + reclaim · 1h feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_1h bearish bearish Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.5511 ≥ 0.55 how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 30.98 12 to 720 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 3 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 30.98 12 to 720 Taker buy share · 15m feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m 0.3196 ≤ 0.32
Also counted
Sweep + reclaim · 15m bullish and Sweep + reclaim · 1h bearish and Cascade clustering ≥ 0.553 matches, 1 rose, 2 fell
Read at 1 minute before the move.
1 rose and 2 fell over 3 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
Of the 3 fires, 2 came before the move began; none were during it.
About 0.1 a day, on 3 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
Book imbalance · top levels ≥ 0.61 and Sweep + reclaim · 15m bullish and Sweep + reclaim · 1h bearish5 matches, 3 rose, 2 fell
Read at 15 minutes before the move.
3 rose and 2 fell over 5 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
Of the 5 fires, 4 came before the move began; none were during it.
About 0.2 a day over 31 days, but 2026-08-23 alone holds 40% of them: this is close to a single episode.
Every night the record counts what fired and what usually followed: the daily brief.
No account? Replay a real move tick by tick, free: TUT short squeeze · 9 Aug 2026.