4USDT · recorded history

One-sided tape: sellers on 4USDT

Taker buy ratio over the last 15 minutes has run at 0.38 or less: a persistently seller-heavy tape.

Read it in context

  1. Read 4USDT itself

  2. Its recorded moves

  3. Test it on 4USDT, then plan it

    A tested result leads to Plan a trade, which measures what trading it would have paid after costs.

What happened in the next 24 hours?

Reaching +5% was about as common as without it; falling to −10% was less common than without it.

Other minutes are the same markets and dates without this condition. Each percentage is the share of measured minutes that reached that move from the starting price.

Price touched +5% or higher

When this held
71.7% · 299 of 417 minutes
Other minutes
69.8% · 22,346 of 31,992 minutes

Price touched −10% or lower

When this held
18.9% · 79 of 417 minutes
Other minutes
26.6% · 8,513 of 31,992 minutes

Price can touch both levels within the same 24 hours.

This counts how often price touched a level, not what trading it would have paid.

Sample and counting

Rates use the 417 of 434 matches with a full 24 hours after them. The 17 newer ones are left out, not counted as zero.

Every condition is measured over the same 24 hours, whatever the length of its own reading. Other windows and move sizes shows shorter and longer windows.

When it happened
Matches per UTC day, 2026-08-06 to 2026-09-05

About 14 a day, on 29 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.

Other windows and move sizes
Matches that reached each move within each window. Counts first; the measured row is what each rate is over.
Move1 hour4 hours24 hours72 hours7 days
Measured433430417387354
Too recent14174780
+0.1% or more409 (94.5%)421 (97.9%)413 (99.0%)386 (99.7%)353 (99.7%)
+0.2% or more380 (87.8%)408 (94.9%)410 (98.3%)386 (99.7%)353 (99.7%)
+0.5% or more320 (73.9%)380 (88.4%)403 (96.6%)384 (99.2%)351 (99.2%)
+1% or more239 (55.2%)336 (78.1%)392 (94.0%)380 (98.2%)348 (98.3%)
+2% or more139 (32.1%)266 (61.9%)369 (88.5%)370 (95.6%)346 (97.7%)
+5% or more19 (4.4%)96 (22.3%)299 (71.7%)337 (87.1%)331 (93.5%)
+10% or more1 (0.2%)18 (4.2%)149 (35.7%)262 (67.7%)300 (84.7%)
+15% or more0 (0.0%)4 (0.9%)89 (21.3%)201 (51.9%)285 (80.5%)
+20% or more0 (0.0%)3 (0.7%)49 (11.8%)154 (39.8%)260 (73.4%)
+30% or more0 (0.0%)2 (0.5%)17 (4.1%)100 (25.8%)143 (40.4%)
+50% or more0 (0.0%)0 (0.0%)16 (3.8%)47 (12.1%)87 (24.6%)
+100% or more0 (0.0%)0 (0.0%)0 (0.0%)0 (0.0%)40 (11.3%)
−0.1% or lower403 (93.1%)414 (96.3%)413 (99.0%)384 (99.2%)353 (99.7%)
−0.2% or lower381 (88.0%)405 (94.2%)408 (97.8%)382 (98.7%)352 (99.4%)
−0.5% or lower303 (70.0%)362 (84.2%)387 (92.8%)375 (96.9%)349 (98.6%)
−1% or lower212 (49.0%)303 (70.5%)358 (85.9%)363 (93.8%)343 (96.9%)
−2% or lower100 (23.1%)205 (47.7%)315 (75.5%)331 (85.5%)330 (93.2%)
−5% or lower14 (3.2%)64 (14.9%)176 (42.2%)233 (60.2%)285 (80.5%)
−10% or lower2 (0.5%)13 (3.0%)79 (18.9%)148 (38.2%)223 (63.0%)
−15% or lower2 (0.5%)7 (1.6%)42 (10.1%)101 (26.1%)167 (47.2%)
−20% or lower1 (0.2%)4 (0.9%)19 (4.6%)67 (17.3%)100 (28.2%)
−30% or lower0 (0.0%)1 (0.2%)2 (0.5%)2 (0.5%)5 (1.4%)

Each window counts only matches old enough for it, so a longer window can show fewer.

Distributions and daily counts
Upside reached · 24hUpside reached (MFE, 24h)The most price moved up within 24 hours of each match: a high-water mark, never a close. 417 with a complete 24 hours.
Drawdown · 24hDrawdown (MAE, 24h)The worst price moved against within 24 hours of each match: the deepest point, never the close. 417 with a complete 24 hours.
Price 30 minutes laterForward 30-minute returnForward 30-minute returns across 433 matches: close to an even split, which is what a coin flip looks like. 1 too recent.

How to read a distribution

Matches per UTC day

  • 6 Aug16 matches
  • 7 Aug17 matches
  • 8 Aug15 matches
  • 9 Aug14 matches
  • 10 Aug17 matches
  • 11 Aug16 matches
  • 12 Aug18 matches
  • 13 Aug15 matches
  • 14 Aug16 matches
  • 15 Aug17 matches
  • 16 Aug16 matches
  • 17 Aug16 matches
  • 18 Aug18 matches
  • 19 Aug16 matches
  • 20 Aug16 matches
  • 21 Aug17 matches
  • 22 Aug16 matches
  • 23 Aug17 matches
  • 24 Aug16 matches
  • 25 Aug15 matches
  • 26 Aug17 matches
  • 27 Aug13 matches
  • 28 Aug18 matches
  • 29 Aug7 matches
  • 30 Aug2 matches
  • 31 Aug6 matches
  • 1 Sep13 matches
  • 2 Sep17 matches
  • 3 Sep17 matches
  • 4 Sep0 matches
  • 5 Sep0 matches
How this is counted
  • Each rate counts only matches with the full window after them.
  • A minute where a reading was missing is left out and reported, not read as zero.
  • The condition picks the setup, never the outcome: a definition that filters on what followed is rejected (OUTCOME_IN_PREDICATE). Every match is measured, winners and losers alike.
  • "Other minutes" is every other eligible minute in the same market and window. It is a reference, not a control group.
  • "Reached +5%" uses the highest price inside the window (maximum favourable excursion, MFE); "fell to −10%" uses the lowest (maximum adverse excursion, MAE). Neither is the close.
  • Checked 41,761 eligible market-minutes (eligible_symbol_buckets) on 4USDT, 2026-08-06 00:00 to 2026-09-05 00:00 UTC.

What are MFE and MAE?

Reproducibility key (q#967bab68)

The key that re-runs this exact count. Same key, same bytes; when the record grows, the dataset revision changes.

grammar
research_query.v2
normalization
archive_normalization.v1
feature library
feature_defs.v1
dataset revision
34f116f07fb3d51d068549b18218a00d686edb1b9372c56da95228e2c10613aa
query hash
967bab680223458ec1c5343d0f6f98a4c486deca8ce2fd9a15aa42998aa8a1fa
scanned window
2026-08-06T00:00:00.000Z to 2026-09-05T00:00:00.000Z (UTC)

Re-run over the API

The exact search definition behind this count. Send it to the key-authed research API (or the MCP research tool) and compare the bytes; a cached rerun is free.

{
  "schema_version": "research_query.v2",
  "normalization_version": "archive_normalization.v1",
  "feature_version": "feature_defs.v1",
  "target": "record_occurrences",
  "where": {
    "all": [
      [
        "feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m",
        "lte",
        0.38
      ],
      [
        "identity.symbol",
        "eq",
        "4usdt"
      ],
      [
        "times.anchor_time",
        "between",
        [
          "2026-08-06T00:00:00.000Z",
          "2026-09-05T00:00:00.000Z"
        ]
      ]
    ]
  },
  "sort": [
    "times.anchor_time",
    "desc"
  ],
  "page": {
    "limit": 50,
    "cursor": null
  }
}
curl -s https://app.edgedepth.com/api/v1/research/query \
  -H 'authorization: Bearer $EDGEDEPTH_API_KEY' \
  -H 'content-type: application/json' \
  -d '{"schema_version":"research_query.v2","normalization_version":"archive_normalization.v1","feature_version":"feature_defs.v1","target":"record_occurrences","where":{"all":[["feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m","lte",0.38],["identity.symbol","eq","4usdt"],["times.anchor_time","between",["2026-08-06T00:00:00.000Z","2026-09-05T00:00:00.000Z"]]]},"sort":["times.anchor_time","desc"],"page":{"limit":50,"cursor":null}}'

Past examples from the record, not a guarantee or a prediction. Nothing here is trading advice.