4USDT rose into Aug 30
+84%
Counted on 2026-09-04, against a record covering to 2026-09-03 00:00 UTC. These numbers are frozen: this page will always say what it said the day it was written.
This move is in the event archive as a pump 4h on 2026-08-29. Open the archived event
Exact setup countedCompression · 15m ≤ 0.48 and Sweep + reclaim · 1h bullish and Cascade clustering ≥ 0.54 · Read at 15 minutes before the move.
Usually lower after 30 minutes: 5 of 9 completed windows fell (55.6%). No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
Both are true: these readings sat before this rise, and the other times they appeared, what followed more often fell. That disagreement is the finding: a lead-up that looks special is not the same as one that usually comes before rises.
Evidence and counting
Read at 15 minutes before the move.
Of the 9 fires, 8 came before the move began; none were during it.
About 0.3 a day, on 7 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
This is not a similarity search. Each count matches the exact readings above and nothing else.
Picked in hindsight: the counts include every other time these readings appeared, not just this move.
Fires often arrive as clusters of consecutive minutes, and forward windows overlap. A cluster is one episode, not many independent trials.
If these counts read weaker than the move suggested, that is the tool working: the lead-up of a picked move always looks special until it is counted everywhere else.
What the minutes before it looked like
Hourly candles. The marked lines are the minutes the readings came from: 1 minute, 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours and 24 hours before the move began. Every one of them sits before the move, never inside it.
A reading stands out when it sits outside the range it usually holds. The rules are fixed: the same ones the moment reader on the research page uses.
No recorded readings at 1 minute, 1 hour, 4 hours, 24 hours before the move.
- -15m2026-08-28 17:45 UTC
At 15 minutes before the move, 4 of the 53 readings stood out.
Compression · 15m ≤ 0.48Sweep + reclaim · 1h bullishCascade clustering ≥ 0.54VWAP distance · day ≤ -0.089Show the full readings
READING BEFORE THE MOVE SEARCHES FOR Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m 0.4763 ≤ 0.48 Sweep + reclaim · 1h feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_1h bullish bullish Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.5499 ≥ 0.54 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist -0.08978 ≤ -0.089
Also counted
Every night the record counts what fired and what usually followed: the daily brief.
No account? Replay a real move tick by tick, free: TUT short squeeze · 9 Aug 2026.