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All times are UTC. Chart history only changes the display. Historical comparisons use the 30 days before the selected start and measure their own outcome horizon.
FLOCKUSDT rose 77% into Sep 4, after the end of the record. The minutes before it are not recorded yet, so there is nothing to count them against.
They join the record around 2026-09-05 05:15 UTC, when the rebuild reaches that day.
Shown below instead: the biggest move the record can already account for.
FLOCKUSDT rose into Aug 31
+54%
23 historical matches for the proposed conditions. This is an exploratory investigation. The combined trendline, compression and microstructure hypothesis still needs validation.
What the minutes before it looked like
Hourly candles. The marked lines are the minutes the readings came from: 1 minute, 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours and 24 hours before the move began. Every one of them sits before the move, never inside it.
Geometry and microstructure, on the same clock
Read left to right: 24h → 4h → 1h → 15m → 1m before the selected start. These are five snapshots, not a continuous tape. Neutral readings stay visible; unavailable values are never zero.
Descending resistance
| Reading | -24h | -4h | -1h | -15m | -1m |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Time since resistance breakhours · Highlight: 12 to 720 (inclusive) | 228 | 248 | 251 | 251.8 | 252 |
| Resistance line spandays | Unavailable | 76 | 76 | 76 | 76 |
| Resistance touchescount · Highlight: ≥ 3 | Unavailable | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| Touches before resistance breakcount · Highlight: ≥ 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| Line ATR contractionmultiple | Unavailable | 0.5865 | 0.5865 | 0.5865 | 0.5865 |
| Resistance line statelabel · Highlight: State other than none or normal | none | active_1d | active_1d | active_1d | active_1d |
| Distance to broken resistancemultiple | -2.083 | -2.339 | -2.238 | -2.233 | -2.257 |
| Distance to resistancemultiple | Unavailable | 1.1 | 1.151 | 1.153 | 1.14 |
| Support shapelabel · Highlight: State other than none or normal | Unavailable | falling | falling | falling | falling |
Candle compression
| Reading | -24h | -4h | -1h | -15m | -1m |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| last 15-minute candle range versus its baselinemultiple | 0.7253 | 1.85 | 0.7174 | 0.8742 | 0.8742 |
| last four-hour candle range versus its baselinemultiple | 0.5439 | 1.325 | 0.53 | 0.53 | 0.53 |
| last one-hour candle range versus its baselinemultiple | 0.7742 | 1.379 | 0.7975 | 0.7975 | 0.7975 |
Order book
| Reading | -24h | -4h | -1h | -15m | -1m |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Order-book imbalanceratio | 0.4562 | 0.3777 | -0.05676 | 0.4667 | 0.3391 |
| normalized spreadratio | 0.06326 | 0.1255 | 0.1262 | 0.0631 | 0.06304 |
| order-book imbalance rankpercentile | 0.5832 | 0.634 | 0.1255 | 0.3252 | 0.1364 |
Trade flow
| Reading | -24h | -4h | -1h | -15m | -1m |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Informed-trading pressureratio | 0.3018 | 0.3041 | 0.3022 | 0.2974 | 0.2897 |
| Net taker flow over the trailing four hoursratio | -0.0197 | -0.01719 | 0.0317 | 0.08177 | -0.03308 |
| Net taker flow over the trailing hourratio | -0.4026 | 0.2391 | -0.2752 | 0.2485 | 0.149 |
| large-trade share of recent flowratio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| taker-buy share of recent flowratio | 0.5021 | 0.8702 | 0.8453 | 0.5792 | 0.5869 |
| VPIN regimelabel | normal | normal | normal | normal | normal |
Funding and positioning
| Reading | -24h | -4h | -1h | -15m | -1m |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minutes until funding settlesminutes | 420 | 180 | 0 | 435 | 421 |
| funding raterate | 0.00005 | 0.00005 | 0.00005 | 0.00005 | 0.00005 |
| global long ratioratio | 0.7356 | 0.7395 | 0.7504 | 0.7508 | 0.7535 |
| normalized funding rateratio | 0.01667 | 0.01667 | 0.01667 | 0.01667 | 0.01667 |
| open-interest velocity rankpercentile | 0.3233 | 0.4022 | 0.3216 | 0.2646 | 0.5555 |
| top-trader long ratioratio | 0.6139 | 0.6045 | 0.605 | 0.6052 | 0.6044 |
| top-versus-crowd long skewratio_difference | -0.1217 | -0.135 | -0.1454 | -0.1456 | -0.1491 |
Liquidations
| Reading | -24h | -4h | -1h | -15m | -1m |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cascade clusteringratio · Highlight: ≥ 0.5 | 0.5421 | 0.5416 | 0.5416 | 0.5416 | 0.5416 |
| Liquidation intensityratio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Liquidations in the trailing hourusd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Longs liquidated in the trailing hourusd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Shorts liquidated in the trailing hourusd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Which side the trailing hour of liquidations fell onratio | Unavailable | Unavailable | Unavailable | Unavailable | Unavailable |
Highlighted cells meet the printed fixed rule. This does not establish rarity, statistical significance or a cause of the move. Book readings describe the best quotes, not full-depth liquidity; liquidation readings describe what the venue reported.
Highlighted readings and exact search conditions
Highlighted readings meet fixed rules, not a statistical-significance test. The observed value and proposed search condition are different: a condition rounds a value or selects an interval for a repeatable search.
- -24h2026-08-29 09:00 UTC
At 24 hours before the move, 6 of the 58 readings met a highlight rule.
Cascade clustering ≥ 0.54how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the descending resistance broke 12 to 720the distance from price back to the broken short descending resistance -0.5 to 0.5how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the short descending resistance broke 12 to 720Show the full readings
READING BEFORE THE MOVE SEARCHES FOR Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.5421 ≥ 0.54 how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 228 12 to 720 the distance from price back to the broken short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_dist_atr -0.1518 -0.5 to 0.5 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 3 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 36 12 to 720 - -4h2026-08-30 05:00 UTC
At 4 hours before the move, 11 of the 58 readings met a highlight rule.
Containment · 15m outsideEngulfing · 15m bullishCascade clustering ≥ 0.54the descending resistance line active_1dhow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the descending resistance broke 12 to 720how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the short descending resistance broke 12 to 720the support under the descending resistance fallinghow many times price has touched the descending resistance ≥ 3Taker buy share · 15m ≥ 0.87Show the full readings
READING BEFORE THE MOVE SEARCHES FOR Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15m outside outside Engulfing · 15m feature.candle_engulfing_15m bullish bullish Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.5416 ≥ 0.54 the descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_active active_1d active_1d how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 248 12 to 720 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 3 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 56 12 to 720 the support under the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_support falling falling how many times price has touched the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_touches 4 ≥ 3 Taker buy share · 15m feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m 0.8702 ≥ 0.87 - -1h2026-08-30 08:00 UTC
At 1 hour before the move, 11 of the 58 readings met a highlight rule.
Containment · 15m insideCascade clustering ≥ 0.54the descending resistance line active_1dhow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the descending resistance broke 12 to 720how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the short descending resistance broke 12 to 720the support under the descending resistance fallinghow many times price has touched the descending resistance ≥ 3Minutes to funding ≤ 1Taker buy share · 15m ≥ 0.84Show the full readings
READING BEFORE THE MOVE SEARCHES FOR Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15m inside inside Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.5416 ≥ 0.54 the descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_active active_1d active_1d how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 251 12 to 720 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 3 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 59 12 to 720 the support under the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_support falling falling how many times price has touched the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_touches 4 ≥ 3 Minutes to funding feature.mins_to_funding 0 ≤ 1 Taker buy share · 15m feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m 0.8453 ≥ 0.84 - -15m2026-08-30 08:45 UTC
At 15 minutes before the move, 9 of the 58 readings met a highlight rule.
Lower wick · 15m ≥ 0.63Cascade clustering ≥ 0.54the descending resistance line active_1dhow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the descending resistance broke 12 to 720how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the short descending resistance broke 12 to 720the support under the descending resistance fallinghow many times price has touched the descending resistance ≥ 3Show the full readings
READING BEFORE THE MOVE SEARCHES FOR Lower wick · 15m feature.candle_lower_wick_15m 0.6364 ≥ 0.63 Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.5416 ≥ 0.54 the descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_active active_1d active_1d how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 251.8 12 to 720 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 3 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 59.75 12 to 720 the support under the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_support falling falling how many times price has touched the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_touches 4 ≥ 3 - -1m2026-08-30 08:59 UTC
At 1 minute before the move, 9 of the 58 readings met a highlight rule.
Lower wick · 15m ≥ 0.63Cascade clustering ≥ 0.54the descending resistance line active_1dhow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the descending resistance broke 12 to 720how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the short descending resistance broke 12 to 720the support under the descending resistance fallinghow many times price has touched the descending resistance ≥ 3Show the full readings
READING BEFORE THE MOVE SEARCHES FOR Lower wick · 15m feature.candle_lower_wick_15m 0.6364 ≥ 0.63 Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.5416 ≥ 0.54 the descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_active active_1d active_1d how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 252 12 to 720 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 3 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 59.98 12 to 720 the support under the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_support falling falling how many times price has touched the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_touches 4 ≥ 3
Historical comparison
Exact setup countedContainment · 15m outside and Engulfing · 15m bullish and Cascade clustering ≥ 0.54 · Read at 4 hours before the move.These are the printed conditions only. The selected detector family does not change this automatically proposed combination. Edit it before testing the full recipe.
The selected move lasts 22 hours. This comparison measures 24 hours after each historical match. Changing it uses the existing result.
Too few completed windows for a directional generalization.
| Outcome | Matching setup | Same-market reference | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finished at least 2% higher | 6 / 21 (28.6%)2 unavailable | 13,837 / 40,548 (34.1%)2653 unavailable | Not reported |
| Finished at least 2% lower | 5 / 21 (23.8%)2 unavailable | 9,899 / 40,548 (24.4%)2653 unavailable | Not reported |
| Reached +5% at any point | 7 / 22 (31.8%)1 unavailable | 15,385 / 41,139 (37.4%)2062 unavailable | Not reported |
| Reached -5% at any point | 3 / 22 (13.6%)1 unavailable | 8,800 / 41,139 (21.4%)2062 unavailable | Not reported |
Reference: eligible minutes in the same market and scan period, without the proposed conditions. The 30-window reporting floor is not a significance test. Overlapping windows and shared market events can reduce independent evidence. Conditions were selected after seeing this move; confirmation needs unseen data.
Counts above cover this market only. The proposed Research handoff expands to 57 AI sector markets; its counts have not been computed here. This market only · Every recorded market
Evidence and counting
Read at 4 hours before the move.
Of the 23 fires, 20 came before the move began and 1 happened while it was already under way. A fire during the move sees it; it does not telegraph it.
About 0.7 a day, on 17 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
This is not a similarity search. Each count matches the exact readings above and nothing else.
Picked in hindsight: the counts include every other time these readings appeared, not just this move.
Fires often arrive as clusters of consecutive minutes, and forward windows overlap. A cluster is one episode, not many independent trials.
If these counts read weaker than the move suggested, that is the tool working: the lead-up of a picked move always looks special until it is counted everywhere else.
Also counted
Lower wick · 15m ≥ 0.63 and Cascade clustering ≥ 0.54 and the descending resistance line active_1d12 matches, 8 rose, 4 fell
Read at 1 minute before the move.
8 rose and 4 fell over 12 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
Of the 12 fires, 12 came before the move began; none were during it.
About 0.4 a day over 31 days, but 2026-08-19 alone holds 58% of them: this is close to a single episode.
Containment · 15m inside and Cascade clustering ≥ 0.54 and the descending resistance line active_1d16 matches, 11 rose, 4 fell
Read at 1 hour before the move.
11 rose and 4 fell over 15 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
Of the 16 fires, 14 came before the move began and 2 happened while it was already under way. A fire during the move sees it; it does not telegraph it.
About 0.5 a day over 31 days, but 2026-08-19 alone holds 69% of them: this is close to a single episode.
Every night the record counts what fired and what usually followed: the daily brief.
No account? Replay a real move tick by tick, free: TUT short squeeze · 9 Aug 2026.