ARCFrom

ARCUSDT liquidation cascade on October 12, 2026

ARCUSDT fell as much as 64.3% and finished 42.7% below its recorded baseline.

Free replays cover the last 7 days and selected events.

Peak move
-64.3%
Net move
-42.7%
Reported liquidations
$3.0M
Largest liquidation
$322K
Duration
51h 59m
Volume
$195M
Liquidation cascadeBinance
10-12 08:37 to 10-15 14:35 UTC · 30m candles
Key moments
Estimated liquidation zones

Candle-based estimates, not observed liquidation orders. As of 2026-10-15 14:25 UTC.

Research markers

Why the liquidation cascade label?

These observations support the label. They do not show what caused the move or who started it.

Label confidence 0.92 of 1longs liquidated 92%liquidations $3.0Mchart pattern confirmed

How these numbers are measured

Peak and net moves start from the recorded baseline, which can differ from the replay's first price.

Liquidations are reported venue snapshots; orders a venue left out are not rebuilt.

Exact definitions
  • Replay window: 2026-10-12T21:37:00.000Z to 2026-10-15T01:36:00.000Z.
  • Recorded baseline: $0.0615. High: $0.0616. End: $0.03522.
  • Detected Oct 13, 2026 · 01:36 UTC. Episode baseline $0.0615 at Oct 12, 2026 · 21:37 UTC.
  • The liquidation cascade label describes the detected event class, so a later reversal changes the net move without silently changing the classification.
  • Price-extreme and wick times mark the source candle, not the exact tick.
Data provenance and methodology →
What the replay includes
Recorded streams
Order book (L2)4.1MTrades / tape1.2MLiquidations1.2KLiquidation heatmapVPIN / toxicityOI & positioningFull snapshots3.1K
What you will see
  1. ARCUSDT fell as much as 64.3% and finished 42.7% below its recorded baseline. The event lasted 51h 59m.
  2. Forced selling tripping liquidation levels in sequence: a cascade, not one seller.
  3. $3.0M liquidated, largest reported liquidation $322K.
  4. $1.0M force-liquidated in about a minute from 00:53 UTC.
  5. Capitulation wick of 10.3% at 15:36 UTC.