CAPFrom

CAPUSDT short squeeze on October 6, 2026

CAPUSDT rose as much as 33.5% and finished 16.3% above its recorded baseline.

Free replays cover the last 7 days and selected events.

Peak move
+33.5%
Net move
+16.3%
Reported liquidations
$379K
Largest liquidation
$16K
Duration
19h 55m
Volume
$176M
Short squeezeBinance
10-05 22:59 to 10-06 22:16 UTC · 15m candles
Key moments
Estimated liquidation zones

Candle-based estimates, not observed liquidation orders. As of 2026-10-06 22:05 UTC.

Key moments

Times in UTC. Select one to replay from that minute. Phase totals and extremes are retrospective; sequence details show when the closed-minute reading was known.
Rise to the highRetrospective phase · $226K shorts reported liquidated · $10K longs reported liquidated · contract OI +20.3% · +33.5%Range midpoint recoveredUpward move · reference $0.07439 · trades 4.5×, volume 3.9× (5m average / prior 60m median) · known at 12:06:00 UTC close · $0.07519Range break with expanding participationUpward move · reference $0.07918 · trades 9.0×, volume 10.5× (5m average / prior 60m median) · known at 12:19:00 UTC close · $0.08317Range brokenUpward move · reference $0.07918 · trades 9.0×, volume 10.5× (5m average / prior 60m median) · known at 12:19:00 UTC close · $0.08317Large rejecting wick3.0%Largest short-liquidation minuteReported total over one minute; selected retrospectively · $56K
6 more momentsVolume climax$3.2MHigh$0.1016After the extremeRetrospective phase · $52K shorts reported liquidated · $91K longs reported liquidated · contract OI -18.6% · -12.9%Half the extension retracedUpward move · reference $0.1004 · trades 5.1×, volume 4.6× (5m average / prior 60m median) · known at 14:04:00 UTC close · $0.08883Largest long-liquidation minuteReported total over one minute; selected retrospectively · $17KBack inside the broken rangeUpward move · reference $0.07918 · trades 3.6×, volume 4.2× (5m average / prior 60m median) · known at 14:16:00 UTC close · $0.07854

Research markers

Why the short squeeze label?

These observations support the label. They do not show what caused the move or who started it.

Label confidence 0.73 of 1shorts liquidated 73%liquidations $379K

How these numbers are measured

Peak and net moves start from the recorded baseline, which can differ from the replay's first price.

Liquidations are reported venue snapshots; orders a venue left out are not rebuilt.

Exact definitions
  • Replay window: 2026-10-06T02:52:00.000Z to 2026-10-06T22:47:00.000Z.
  • Recorded baseline: $0.07613. High: $0.10162. End: $0.08856.
  • Detected Oct 6, 2026 · 12:19 UTC. Episode baseline $0.07613 at Oct 6, 2026 · 02:52 UTC.
  • The short squeeze label describes the detected event class, so a later reversal changes the net move without silently changing the classification.
  • Price-extreme and wick times mark the source candle, not the exact tick.
Data provenance and methodology →
What the replay includes
Recorded streams
Order book (L2)2.4MTrades / tape1.5MLiquidations388Liquidation heatmapVPIN / toxicityOI & positioning
What you will see
  1. CAPUSDT rose as much as 33.5% and finished 16.3% above its recorded baseline. The event lasted 19h 55m.
  2. Liquidations skewed to the short side: a short squeeze, not just a move.
  3. $379K liquidated, largest reported liquidation $16K.
  4. Capitulation wick of 3.0% at 12:31 UTC.