RUNFrom

RUNEUSDT liquidation cascade on October 30, 2026

RUNEUSDT fell as much as 23.9% and finished 12.9% below its recorded baseline.

Free replays cover the last 7 days and selected events.

The replay covers Oct 30 23:36 to Oct 31 22:03 UTC, the main stretch of the move.

Peak move
-23.9%
Net move
-12.9%
Reported liquidations
$424K
Largest liquidation
$14K
Duration
67h 20m
Volume
$73.1M
Liquidation cascadeBinance
10-30 05:49 to 11-03 10:49 UTC · 1h candles
Key moments
Estimated liquidation zones

Candle-based estimates, not observed liquidation orders. As of 2026-11-03 10:35 UTC.

Key moments

Times in UTC. Select one inside the replay window to replay from that minute. Phase totals and extremes are retrospective; sequence details show when the closed-minute reading was known.
Fall to the lowRetrospective phase · $62K shorts reported liquidated · $258K longs reported liquidated · contract OI +16.7% · -23.9%
Pattern breakdescending trendline · 90%Flash move-4.8%Large rejecting wick1.6% of closeVolume climax$1.2M
Largest long-liquidation minuteReported total over one minute; selected retrospectively · $22K
6 more moments
Low$0.4914
Range brokenDownward move · reference $0.4992 · trades 2.6×, volume 5.4× (5m average / prior 60m median) · known at 04:52:00 UTC close · $0.4968
After the extremeRetrospective phase · $74K shorts reported liquidated · $31K longs reported liquidated · contract OI +3.7% · +14.4%
Back inside the broken rangeDownward move · reference $0.4992 · trades 2.5×, volume 4.8× (5m average / prior 60m median) · known at 04:55:00 UTC close · $0.5016
Largest short-liquidation minuteReported total over one minute; selected retrospectively · $14K
Largest liquidationshorts liquidated · $14K

Research markers

Why the liquidation cascade label?

These observations support the label. They do not show what caused the move or who started it.

Label confidence 0.68 of 1longs liquidated 68%liquidations $424Kchart pattern confirmed

How these numbers are measured

Peak and net moves start from the recorded baseline, which can differ from the replay's first price.

Liquidations are reported venue snapshots; orders a venue left out are not rebuilt.

Exact definitions
  • Replay window: 2026-10-30T23:36:00.000Z to 2026-10-31T22:03:00.000Z.
  • Event window: 2026-10-30T22:39:00.000Z to 2026-11-02T17:59:00.000Z. The figures on this page cover the whole event; the replay was trimmed to the main stretch of the move.
  • Recorded baseline: $0.6457. High: $0.7325. End: $0.5622.
  • Detected Nov 2, 2026 · 11:59 UTC. Episode baseline $0.6457 at Oct 30, 2026 · 22:39 UTC.
  • The liquidation cascade label describes the detected event class, so a later reversal changes the net move without silently changing the classification.
  • Price-extreme and wick times mark the source candle, not the exact tick.
Data provenance and methodology →
What the replay includes

The replay covers Oct 30 23:36 to Oct 31 22:03 UTC, the main stretch of the move. The figures above cover the whole event.

Recorded streams
Order book (L2)918KTrades / tape105KLiquidations75Liquidation heatmapVPIN / toxicityOI & positioningFull snapshots1.3K
What you will see
  1. RUNEUSDT fell as much as 23.9% and finished 12.9% below its recorded baseline. The event lasted 67h 20m.
  2. Forced selling tripping liquidation levels in sequence: a cascade, not one seller.
  3. $424K liquidated, largest reported liquidation $14K.
  4. Capitulation wick of 1.6% at 21:52 UTC.
  5. A descending trendline broke out at 15:41 UTC (90% confidence).