August 9, 2026: what fired, and what usually follows

Every night, the market states EdgeDepth tracks are counted against the full record. When one fired, this page shows what usually followed the previous times it fired on that market, and links the moment itself for replay. Counts first, each with its size, straight from the record.

Volatility spike on TUTUSDT

TUT13:14 UTC
PEAK MOVE-30.8%NET MOVE-20.9%LIQUIDATED$3.78M

TUTUSDT fell as much as 30.8% and finished 20.9% below its starting price.

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Short squeeze on TUTUSDT

TUT13:14 UTC
PEAK MOVE+90.5%NET MOVE+41.3%LIQUIDATED$2.14M

TUTUSDT rose as much as 90.5% and finished 41.3% above its starting price.

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Swept the lows and reclaimed (1h)

PEP1000PEPEUSDT · 00:00 UTC
WHAT FIRED

Swept the lows and reclaimed (1h) fired on 1000PEPEUSDT at 00:00 UTC. It also fired on DOGEUSDT, ETHUSDT, LINKUSDT, SEIUSDT and 1 other markets.

WHAT USUALLY FOLLOWS

The 126 previous times this happened on 1000PEPEUSDT, the median move over the next 24 hours was +0.13%, with a typical worst drawdown of -2.14% (125 of 126 with a complete 24h).

Over the last 30 days, 10 of 39 of these closed 2% or more higher within a day (25.6%). Across the 33,171 1000PEPEUSDT minutes when it was not present, 6,656 did (20.1%).

Why the counts matter
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One-sided tape: buyers

APTAPTUSDT · 00:00 UTC
WHAT FIRED

One-sided tape: buyers fired on APTUSDT at 00:00 UTC.

WHAT USUALLY FOLLOWS

The 859 previous times this happened on APTUSDT, the median move over the next 24 hours was -0.11%, with a typical worst drawdown of -2.56% (843 of 859 with a complete 24h).

Over the last 30 days, 91 of 359 of these closed 2% or more higher within a day (25.3%). Across the 31,066 APTUSDT minutes when it was not present, 7,151 did (23.0%).

Why the counts matter
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One-sided tape: sellers

AAVAAVEUSDT · 00:00 UTC
WHAT FIRED

One-sided tape: sellers fired on AAVEUSDT at 00:00 UTC. It also fired on AVAXUSDT.

WHAT USUALLY FOLLOWS

The 816 previous times this happened on AAVEUSDT, the median move over the next 24 hours was +0.43%, with a typical worst drawdown of -2.12% (799 of 816 with a complete 24h).

Over the last 30 days, 77 of 338 of these closed 2% or more higher within a day (22.8%). Across the 30,941 AAVEUSDT minutes when it was not present, 6,345 did (20.5%).

Why the counts matter
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Checked across 75 markets and 21 tracked market states. Ask this page again tomorrow: same answer for this day.

Observed examples in a selected archive, not a guarantee. Nothing here is trading advice.

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