Research is a work in progress. Estimated release: 1 December 2026. Our goal is to make it a search engine for trading setups in recorded crypto markets.
Binance USDT-MEDGEUSDT rose 92% on 31 August 2026
Picked after the rise, on one market.
Next stepWhat happened
Price opened the 19:00 hour at 0.3673 and reached a highest trade of 0.7059 in the 09:00 hour; the tested readings were taken at 18:00.
What stood out at 18:00
- Order book tilt0.7793Tested: 0.77 or higher
- The descending resistance lineactive_1dTested: is active 1d
- How many times the broken descending resistance had been tested6Tested: 3 or higher
18:00 always meets its own rules.
What the record says
Less often than any EDGE minute, in this sample
Price at least 2% higher after 30 minutes
288 matches in 43,201 minutes checked; 1 missing a 30-minute close, left out.
Picked after the rise, on one market.
Evidence
Does it hold on other dates?
Nothing runs until you press Run.
Exactly what was counted3 conditions · 288 of 43,201 minutes · saved text
- Order book tilt 0.77 or higher. Size at the best bid against the best ask; above 0 means more bids, below 0 more asks.Book imbalance · top levels ≥ 0.77 · feature.book_imbalance
- The descending resistance line is active 1d.the descending resistance line active_1d · feature.desc_resistance_active
- How many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higher.how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3 · feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches
Read at 1 hour before the move.
Read at 18:00 UTC on 31 August, one hour before the selected 19:00 start.
EDGE only, 7 August to 5 September 2026 (UTC, ending 6 September 00:00); all 3 readings had values on 43,201 of those minutes.
Reference: every EDGE minute over the same dates, matches included; it is not a matched control group.
Outcome: the close exactly 30 minutes later, not the highest or lowest price along the way.
The 19:00 start was picked automatically after the move.
EDGEUSDT stored readings end 2026-09-06 00:00 UTC (exclusive). Prices and tick replay have separate coverage.
The feature manifest spans the lead-up. Individual minutes or inputs can still be unavailable.
This is not a similarity search. Each count matches the exact readings above and nothing else.
Picked in hindsight: the counts include every other time these readings appeared, not just this move.
Fires often arrive as clusters of consecutive minutes, and forward windows overlap. A cluster is one episode, not many independent trials.
If these counts read weaker than the move suggested, that is the tool working: the lead-up of a picked move always looks special until it is counted everywhere else.
Saved study q#a34b4f13 @ dataset efb3e60c, counted 6 Sep 2026 07:59 UTC.
Saved summary text, as written 6 Sep 2026
Written automatically when this study was saved and kept as written; where a line differs from the counts above, the counts govern.
Minutes like this are common here: 288 of the 43,201 minutes searched (0.7%), about 9.3 a day. What followed was close to a coin flip: 155 rose and 132 fell over the next 30 minutes (287 of the 288 matches have a complete 30 minutes forward).
After 30 minutes this setup fell 2% or more in 1 of 287 complete windows (0.3%), against 2.1% with no condition (888 of 42,806): 0.17x.
This reports the time frame with the biggest gap from any minute, chosen after counting. At least 42 of its 287 windows overlap the rise.
Best point inside 30 minutes reached +5% or more in 2 of 287 complete windows; worst point fell 5% or more in 1 of 287.
About 9.3 a day, on 15 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
It counts the single minute on 6 September as a day.
The other reading times, as written
From 1 minute before
Minutes like this appeared only 16 times in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed was more often lower: 11 of the 16 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward fell (69%).
5 rose and 11 fell over 16 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
About 0.5 a day, on 11 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
From 15 minutes before
Minutes like this appeared only 27 times in the 20,520 minutes searched. What followed was more often higher: 15 of the 27 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward rose (56%).
15 rose and 12 fell over 27 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
About 0.9 a day, on 6 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 288 matches came on 15 of 30 days, 42 during the rise.
When the matches happened15 of 30 days
- 11 Aug19 matches
- 12 Aug19 matches
- 13 Aug20 matches
- 14 Aug20 matches
- 15 Aug19 matches
- 16 Aug19 matches
- 17 Aug20 matches
- 18 Aug21 matches
- 19 Aug20 matches
- 20 Aug20 matches
- 21 Aug10 matches
- 30 Aug21 matches
- 31 Aug22 matches
- 1 Sep21 matches
- 2 Sep17 matches
No matches on the other 15 days.
Of the 288 matches, 246 came before the rise began, 42 during it and 0 after it.
Neighbouring minutes overlap, so these are not 288 separate trials.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 288 matches came on 15 of 30 days, 42 during the rise.
Other time frames30 minutes to 7 days
The answer uses 30 minutes, the time frame this study counted by default. Each row counts the same matches at a later close, in both directions. The bars show how often price was 2% or more higher at each time frame: first the matches, then any EDGE minute.
- 30 minutes
1 of 287 (0.3%) was 2% or more lower; any EDGE minute 888 of 42,806 (2.1%).
1 without a 30-minute close yet, left out.
At least 42 of these windows overlap the rise.
- 1 hour
5 of 286 (1.7%) were 2% or more lower; any EDGE minute 1,743 of 42,776 (4.1%).
2 without a 1-hour close yet, left out.
At least 42 of these windows overlap the rise.
- 4 hours
31 of 286 (10.8%) were 2% or more lower; any EDGE minute 5,727 of 42,593 (13.4%).
2 without a 4-hour close yet, left out.
At least 42 of these windows overlap the rise.
- 24 hours
108 of 284 (38.0%) were 2% or more lower; any EDGE minute 15,153 of 41,401 (36.6%).
4 without a 24-hour close yet, left out.
At least 42 of these windows overlap the rise.
- 72 hours
105 of 287 (36.6%) were 2% or more lower; any EDGE minute 17,602 of 38,559 (45.6%).
1 without a 72-hour close yet, left out.
At least 21 of these windows overlap the rise.
- 7 days
44 of 205 (21.5%) were 2% or more lower; any EDGE minute 12,332 of 32,849 (37.5%).
83 without a 7-day close yet, left out.
The saved summary picked, after counting, the time frame with the biggest gap from any minute: 30 minutes.
After 30 minutes this setup fell 2% or more in 1 of 287 complete windows (0.3%), against 2.1% with no condition (888 of 42,806): 0.17x.
Only 287 of the 288 matches have a 30-minute close, and at least 42 of those windows ran through the rise itself, so it partly counts the rise as an outcome.
Along the way (the highest and lowest price inside 30 minutes, not the close):
Best point inside 30 minutes reached +5% or more in 2 of 287 complete windows; worst point fell 5% or more in 1 of 287.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 288 matches came on 15 of 30 days, 42 during the rise.
Readings at five times before the rise24 hours to 1 minute before · 2 other times tried
Highlights follow fixed rules, not significance tests. Proposed conditions round values or use ranges; inspect them before running.
24 hours before · 30 Aug 19:00 UTC · 12 of 58 stood out
Containment (15m) is outsideThe descending resistance line is active 1dHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherThe distance from price to the descending resistance between 0 and 1How long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720The short descending resistance line is active 4hTouches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursThe support under the short descending resistance is flatTouches on the resistance 3 or moreThe support under the descending resistance is fallingHow many times price has touched the descending resistance 3 or higherShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15m outside outside the descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_active active_1d active_1d how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 6 ≥ 3 the distance from price to the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_dist_atr 0.9441 0 to 1 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 223 12 to 720 the short descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_short_active active_4h active_4h how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 3 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 145 12 to 720 the support under the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_support flat flat how many times price has touched the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_touches 3 ≥ 3 the support under the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_support falling falling how many times price has touched the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_touches 4 ≥ 3 4 hours before · 31 Aug 15:00 UTC · 13 of 58 stood out
Order book tilt 0.87 or higherUpper wick (15m) 0.63 or higherThe descending resistance line is active 1dHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherThe distance from price to the descending resistance between 0 and 1How long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720The short descending resistance line is active 4hTouches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursThe support under the short descending resistance is flatTouches on the resistance 3 or moreThe support under the descending resistance is fallingHow many times price has touched the descending resistance 3 or higherShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance 0.8718 ≥ 0.87 Upper wick · 15m feature.candle_upper_wick_15m 0.6316 ≥ 0.63 the descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_active active_1d active_1d how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 6 ≥ 3 the distance from price to the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_dist_atr 0.776 0 to 1 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 243 12 to 720 the short descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_short_active active_4h active_4h how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 3 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 165 12 to 720 the support under the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_support flat flat how many times price has touched the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_touches 3 ≥ 3 the support under the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_support falling falling how many times price has touched the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_touches 4 ≥ 3 1 hour before · 31 Aug 18:00 UTC · 12 of 58 stood out
Order book tilt 0.77 or higherThe descending resistance line is active 1dHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherThe distance from price to the descending resistance between 0 and 1How long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720The short descending resistance line is active 4hTouches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursThe support under the short descending resistance is flatTouches on the resistance 3 or moreThe support under the descending resistance is fallingHow many times price has touched the descending resistance 3 or higherShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance 0.7793 ≥ 0.77 the descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_active active_1d active_1d how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 6 ≥ 3 the distance from price to the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_dist_atr 0.9098 0 to 1 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 246 12 to 720 the short descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_short_active active_4h active_4h how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 3 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 168 12 to 720 the support under the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_support flat flat how many times price has touched the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_touches 3 ≥ 3 the support under the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_support falling falling how many times price has touched the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_touches 4 ≥ 3 15 minutes before · 31 Aug 18:45 UTC · 11 of 58 stood out
The descending resistance line is active 1dHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherThe distance from price to the descending resistance between 0 and 1How long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720The short descending resistance line is active 4hTouches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursThe support under the short descending resistance is flatTouches on the resistance 3 or moreThe support under the descending resistance is fallingHow many times price has touched the descending resistance 3 or higherShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule the descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_active active_1d active_1d how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 6 ≥ 3 the distance from price to the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_dist_atr 0.8336 0 to 1 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 246.8 12 to 720 the short descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_short_active active_4h active_4h how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 3 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 168.8 12 to 720 the support under the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_support flat flat how many times price has touched the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_touches 3 ≥ 3 the support under the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_support falling falling how many times price has touched the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_touches 4 ≥ 3 1 minute before · 31 Aug 18:59 UTC · 15 of 58 stood out
Order book tilt 0.88 or higherOrder book lopsidedness 0.9 or higherThe descending resistance line is active 1dHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherThe distance from price to the descending resistance between 0 and 1How long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720The short descending resistance line is active 4hTouches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursThe support under the short descending resistance is flatTouches on the resistance 3 or moreThe support under the descending resistance is fallingHow many times price has touched the descending resistance 3 or higherVolatility rank 0.088 or lowerTaker buy share (15m) 0.71 or higherShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance 0.8808 ≥ 0.88 Book imbalance percentile feature.book_imbalance_pctrank 0.9097 ≥ 0.9 the descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_active active_1d active_1d how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 6 ≥ 3 the distance from price to the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_dist_atr 0.8653 0 to 1 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 247 12 to 720 the short descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_short_active active_4h active_4h how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 3 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 169 12 to 720 the support under the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_support flat flat how many times price has touched the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_touches 3 ≥ 3 the support under the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_support falling falling how many times price has touched the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_touches 4 ≥ 3 Realized vol percentile feature.realized_vol_pctrank 0.08747 ≤ 0.088 Taker buy share · 15m feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m 0.7175 ≥ 0.71
Two other reading times we tried 16 and 27 matches
1 minute before (18:59): order book tilt 0.88 or higher, order book lopsidedness 0.9 or higher, volatility rank 0.088 or lower.
Book imbalance · top levels ≥ 0.88 and Book imbalance percentile ≥ 0.9 and Realized vol percentile ≤ 0.088
16 matches: price was 2% or more higher after 30 minutes in 0 of 16, and 2% or more lower in 0 of 16.
Of the 16 matches, 12 came before the rise began, 3 during it and 1 after it.
15 minutes before (18:45): the descending resistance line is active 1d, how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higher, the distance from price to the descending resistance between 0 and 1.
the descending resistance line active_1d and how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3 and the distance from price to the descending resistance 0 to 1
27 matches: price was 2% or more higher after 30 minutes in 3 of 27, and 2% or more lower in 2 of 27.
Of the 27 matches, 27 came before the rise began, 0 during it and 0 after it.
Fewer than 30 results, so no rate is printed.
The saved study leads with 18:00 because it is the only set with at least 30 matches before the rise.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 288 matches came on 15 of 30 days, 42 during the rise.
Hourly candles around the risefull context, lead-up, move
The 19:00 start was picked after the move, and the hour before was already rising.
Hourly candles, UTC. The marked lines are the minutes the readings came from: 1 minute, 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours and 24 hours before the selected start.
Other ways to test itsame dates
- This market only
- The 115 DeFi sector markets · No result for these markets has been measured.
- Every recorded market
Same 3 conditions on EDGE, 8 July to 6 August 2026.
Each opens Review the test.
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