BTRUSDT rose 394% into Aug 27. The record covers the whole lead-up.
Exact setup countedBook imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.51 and Book imbalance percentile ≤ 0.063 and Realized vol percentile ≥ 0.99 · Read at 1 minute before the move.
Minutes like this appeared only 11 times in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed was close to a coin flip: 6 rose and 5 fell over the next 30 minutes (11 of the 11 matches have a complete 30 minutes forward).
Opens this exact search in the research tool. Nothing runs until you confirm it there, and arming it as an alert sends a message when it next becomes true.
Evidence and counting
Read at 1 minute before the move.
Of the 11 fires, 9 came before the move began; none were during it.
About 0.4 a day, on 10 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
This is not a similarity search. Each count matches the exact readings above and nothing else.
Picked in hindsight: the counts include every other time these readings appeared, not just this move.
Fires often arrive as clusters of consecutive minutes, and forward windows overlap. A cluster is one episode, not many independent trials.
If these counts read weaker than the move suggested, that is the tool working: the lead-up of a picked move always looks special until it is counted everywhere else.
What the minutes before it looked like
Hourly candles. The marked lines are the minutes the readings came from: 1 minute, 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours and 24 hours before the move began. Every one of them sits before the move, never inside it.
A reading stands out when it sits outside the range it usually holds. The rules are fixed: the same ones the moment reader on the research page uses.
No recorded readings at 1 hour, 4 hours, 24 hours before the move.
- -15m2026-08-26 02:45 UTC
At 15 minutes before the move, 7 of the 39 readings stood out.
Book imbalance · top levels ≥ 0.96Compression · 15m ≥ 7.4Cascade clustering ≥ 0.62Realized vol percentile ≥ 0.99Return · 15m ≥ 0.06Return · 1h ≥ 0.074VWAP distance · day ≥ 0.024Show the full readings
READING BEFORE THE MOVE SEARCHES FOR Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance 0.9633 ≥ 0.96 Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m 7.451 ≥ 7.4 Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.6223 ≥ 0.62 Realized vol percentile feature.realized_vol_pctrank 0.9932 ≥ 0.99 Return · 15m feature.ret_15m 0.06027 ≥ 0.06 Return · 1h feature.ret_1h 0.07431 ≥ 0.074 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist 0.02457 ≥ 0.024 - -1m2026-08-26 02:59 UTC
At 1 minute before the move, 8 of the 39 readings stood out.
Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.51Book imbalance percentile ≤ 0.063Compression · 15m ≥ 7.4Cascade clustering ≥ 0.62Realized vol percentile ≥ 0.99Return · 15m ≥ 0.017Return · 1h ≥ 0.092VWAP distance · day ≥ 0.036Show the full readings
READING BEFORE THE MOVE SEARCHES FOR Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance -0.5108 ≤ -0.51 Book imbalance percentile feature.book_imbalance_pctrank 0.0621 ≤ 0.063 Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m 7.451 ≥ 7.4 Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.6223 ≥ 0.62 Realized vol percentile feature.realized_vol_pctrank 0.9946 ≥ 0.99 Return · 15m feature.ret_15m 0.01758 ≥ 0.017 Return · 1h feature.ret_1h 0.09227 ≥ 0.092 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist 0.03643 ≥ 0.036
Also counted
Book imbalance · top levels ≥ 0.96 and Compression · 15m ≥ 7.4 and Realized vol percentile ≥ 0.992 matches, 2 rose, 0 fell
Read at 15 minutes before the move.
Minutes like this appeared only 2 times in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed leaned up: 2 of the 2 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward rose (100%).
Of the 2 fires, 2 came before the move began; none were during it.
About 0.1 a day over 31 days, but 2026-08-16 alone holds 50% of them: this is close to a single episode.
Every night the record counts what fired and what usually followed: the daily brief.
No account? Replay a real move tick by tick, free: TUT short squeeze · 9 Aug 2026.