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All times are UTC. Chart history only changes the display. Historical comparisons use the 30 days before the selected start and measure their own outcome horizon.

Move read

SYNUSDT rose into Sep 16

+169%

Move window

Move window: 2026-09-15 21:00 to 2026-09-16 07:00 UTC.

10 hours. The automatic start is the last covered hourly candle touching the bottom 5% of the episode range (top 5% for a fall), measured using the eventual extreme. It is a hindsight anchor, not a detected causal onset. Change the start above to inspect a later acceleration. The end marks the hour containing the price extreme, not an exact tick.

Stored analytical feature coverage for SYNUSDT ends 2026-09-20 00:00 UTC (exclusive). Price candles can continue beyond it; feature availability and tick replay are separate.

The feature manifest spans the lead-up. Individual minutes or inputs can still be unavailable.

9 historical matches for the proposed conditions. This is an exploratory investigation. The combined trendline, compression and microstructure hypothesis still needs validation.

> Full SYNUSDT research page

Explore the move and its lead-up

Price history: lead-up and selected move
selected startreadings taken here+169%0.073640.130620.23170Sep 14 19:00Sep 15 21:00Sep 16 11:00UTC · log price scale

Hourly candles. The marked lines are the minutes the readings came from: 1 minute, 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours and 24 hours before the selected start. These five samples test the lead-up only, not the full move. Use the minute inspector to explore during or after the move.

Explore historical state

Current-minute reads are free after sign-in. Pro and Research include historical-minute inspection and comparison with an hour earlier.

Past readings use stored inputs where available. Recent minutes may use the live buffer and are labelled unpinned. Missing minutes remain visible.

Read the available analytical inputs at one minute, including measurements over the preceding windows. Compare with an hour earlier, then take a reading into Research to test it. Dates are UTC.

These additional reads are separate from the five pre-start samples. Observations during or after the selected move describe what had already happened; they are not advance evidence.

Selected time: 2026-09-15 21:00 UTC. During the selected move: hindsight. Choose Read this minute to request it. Missing minutes remain unavailable.

Before the time above:

Follow positioning and flow through the move

Read 15 sampled minutes from the selected start through one hour after the selected end. The peak hour has extra 15-minute samples. The end marks the peak hour, not the exact peak tick. These are separate snapshots, not a continuous tape or an advance-warning test.

Historical access applies. Reads preserve each source revision; missing values stay unavailable. Contract OI, turnover and direct spot basis are not supplied by this table. Published premium is a different measure from direct basis.

No additional reads have run.

The OI score measures absolute USD-notional change, not signed contract growth. Zero 15-second liquidation intensity can coexist with substantial hourly liquidations. Binance liquidation amounts are observed publications, not complete venue totals.

Pre-start evidence: five separate snapshots

Geometry and microstructure, on the same clock

Read left to right: 24h → 4h → 1h → 15m → 1m before the selected start. These are five snapshots, not a continuous tape. Neutral readings stay visible; unavailable values are never zero.

Descending resistance
Reading-24h-4h-1h-15m-1m
Time since resistance breakhours · Highlight: 12 to 720 (inclusive)1212424.7524.98
Resistance line spandaysUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable
Resistance touchescountUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable
Touches before resistance breakcount · Highlight: ≥ 344444
Line ATR contractionmultipleUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable
Resistance line statelabelnonenonenonenonenone
Distance to broken resistancemultiple · Highlight: -0.5 to 0.5 (inclusive)-1.67-0.7986-0.2825-0.458-0.4107
Distance to resistancemultipleUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable
Support shapelabelUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable
Candle compression
Reading-24h-4h-1h-15m-1m
last 15-minute candle range versus its baselinemultiple · Highlight: ≤ 0.5 or ≥ 21.7063.1580.21522.0142.014
last four-hour candle range versus its baselinemultiple · Highlight: ≤ 0.5 or ≥ 22.5070.97962.7562.7562.756
last one-hour candle range versus its baselinemultiple9.7633.4050.76920.76920.7692
Order book
Reading-24h-4h-1h-15m-1m
Order-book imbalanceratio-0.3450.5947-0.1121-0.0704-0.07752
normalized spreadratio0.22160.23910.24920.24620.2471
order-book imbalance rankpercentile0.88580.14170.24590.054070.2376
Trade flow
Reading-24h-4h-1h-15m-1m
Informed-trading pressureratio0.41050.22180.21820.21360.2025
Net taker flow over the trailing four hoursratio-0.073050.02706-0.07362-0.06204-0.06946
Net taker flow over the trailing hourratio-0.10920.0073790.083170.16160.165
large-trade share of recent flowratio00000
taker-buy share of recent flowratio0.40350.50480.54210.61540.5833
VPIN regimelabelnormalnormalnormalnormalnormal
Turnover against its recent hoursratio37.114.593UnavailableUnavailableUnavailable
Funding and positioning
Reading-24h-4h-1h-15m-1m
Funding minus premium indexsigned_fraction0.000050.00047360.000040450.0011420.0002511
Minutes until funding settlesminutes180420240195181
Premium index change over 1hsigned_fraction0.0007776-0.000423600.001357-0.0002106
Premium index rank over 30dpercentile0.67780.18260.67360.029170.2625
Published premium indexsigned_fraction0-0.00042360-0.001102-0.0002106
funding raterate0.000050.000050.000040450.000040450.00004045
global long ratioratio0.5460.51850.51660.51350.5128
hourly change in open contractssigned_fraction0.094890.03889-0.006651-0.008975-0.01063
normalized funding rateratio0.016670.016670.013480.013480.01348
open-interest velocity rankpercentile0.528210.25480.51620.378
top-trader long ratioratio0.68520.68690.64980.64970.6453
top-versus-crowd long skewratio_difference0.13920.16840.13320.13620.1325
Liquidations
Reading-24h-4h-1h-15m-1m
Cascade clusteringratio · Highlight: ≥ 0.50.50330.50990.51450.51450.5145
Liquidation intensityratio00000
Liquidations in the trailing hourusd972.50000
Longs liquidated in the trailing hourusd00000
Shorts liquidated in the trailing hourusd972.50000
Which side the trailing hour of liquidations fell onratio1UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable

Highlighted cells meet the printed fixed rule. This does not establish rarity, statistical significance or a cause of the move. Book readings describe the best quotes, not full-depth liquidity; liquidation readings describe what the venue reported.

Highlighted readings and exact search conditions

Highlighted readings meet fixed rules, not a statistical-significance test. The observed value and proposed search condition are different: a condition rounds a value or selects an interval for a repeatable search.

  1. -24h2026-09-14 21:00 UTC

    At 24 hours before the move, 11 of the 65 readings met a highlight rule.

    Compression · 1h ≥ 9.7Compression · 4h ≥ 2.5Lower wick · 15m ≥ 0.6Cascade clustering ≥ 0.5how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the short descending resistance broke 12 to 720Realized vol percentile ≥ 0.99Return · 15m ≥ 0.011Return · 1h ≥ 0.098VWAP distance · day ≥ 0.057
    Show the full readings
    READINGBEFORE THE MOVESEARCHES FOR
    Compression · 1h feature.candle_compression_1h9.763≥ 9.7
    Compression · 4h feature.candle_compression_4h2.507≥ 2.5
    Lower wick · 15m feature.candle_lower_wick_15m0.6071≥ 0.6
    Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index0.5033≥ 0.5
    how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches4≥ 3
    how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches3≥ 3
    how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break63012 to 720
    Realized vol percentile feature.realized_vol_pctrank0.9999≥ 0.99
    Return · 15m feature.ret_15m0.01121≥ 0.011
    Return · 1h feature.ret_1h0.09866≥ 0.098
    VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist0.0578≥ 0.057
  2. -4h2026-09-15 17:00 UTC

    At 4 hours before the move, 12 of the 65 readings met a highlight rule.

    Book imbalance · top levels ≥ 0.59Compression · 15m ≥ 3.1Compression · 1h ≥ 3.4Cascade clustering ≥ 0.5how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the descending resistance broke 12 to 720how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the short descending resistance broke 12 to 720OI change magnitude score ≥ 0.99Return · 15m ≥ 0.023Return · 1h ≥ 0.024VWAP distance · day ≥ 0.031
    Show the full readings
    READINGBEFORE THE MOVESEARCHES FOR
    Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance0.5947≥ 0.59
    Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m3.158≥ 3.1
    Compression · 1h feature.candle_compression_1h3.405≥ 3.4
    Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index0.5099≥ 0.5
    how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches4≥ 3
    how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break2112 to 720
    how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches3≥ 3
    how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break65012 to 720
    OI change magnitude score feature.oi_velocity_pctrank1≥ 0.99
    Return · 15m feature.ret_15m0.02326≥ 0.023
    Return · 1h feature.ret_1h0.02451≥ 0.024
    VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist0.03127≥ 0.031
  3. -1h2026-09-15 20:00 UTC

    At 1 hour before the move, 9 of the 65 readings met a highlight rule.

    Compression · 15m ≤ 0.22Compression · 4h ≥ 2.7Cascade clustering ≥ 0.51the distance from price back to the broken descending resistance -0.5 to 0.5how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the descending resistance broke 12 to 720how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the short descending resistance broke 12 to 720VWAP distance · day ≤ -0.021
    Show the full readings
    READINGBEFORE THE MOVESEARCHES FOR
    Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m0.2152≤ 0.22
    Compression · 4h feature.candle_compression_4h2.756≥ 2.7
    Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index0.5145≥ 0.51
    the distance from price back to the broken descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_broken_dist_atr-0.2825-0.5 to 0.5
    how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches4≥ 3
    how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break2412 to 720
    how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches3≥ 3
    how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break65312 to 720
    VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist-0.02141≤ -0.021
  4. -15m2026-09-15 20:45 UTC

    At 15 minutes before the move, 10 of the 65 readings met a highlight rule.

    Book imbalance percentile ≤ 0.055Compression · 15m ≥ 2Compression · 4h ≥ 2.7Cascade clustering ≥ 0.51the distance from price back to the broken descending resistance -0.5 to 0.5how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the descending resistance broke 12 to 720how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the short descending resistance broke 12 to 720Return · 15m ≥ 0.022
    Show the full readings
    READINGBEFORE THE MOVESEARCHES FOR
    Book imbalance percentile feature.book_imbalance_pctrank0.05407≤ 0.055
    Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m2.014≥ 2
    Compression · 4h feature.candle_compression_4h2.756≥ 2.7
    Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index0.5145≥ 0.51
    the distance from price back to the broken descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_broken_dist_atr-0.458-0.5 to 0.5
    how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches4≥ 3
    how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break24.7512 to 720
    how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches3≥ 3
    how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break653.812 to 720
    Return · 15m feature.ret_15m0.02264≥ 0.022
  5. -1m2026-09-15 20:59 UTC

    At 1 minute before the move, 8 of the 65 readings met a highlight rule.

    Compression · 15m ≥ 2Compression · 4h ≥ 2.7Cascade clustering ≥ 0.51the distance from price back to the broken descending resistance -0.5 to 0.5how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the descending resistance broke 12 to 720how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the short descending resistance broke 12 to 720
    Show the full readings
    READINGBEFORE THE MOVESEARCHES FOR
    Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m2.014≥ 2
    Compression · 4h feature.candle_compression_4h2.756≥ 2.7
    Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index0.5145≥ 0.51
    the distance from price back to the broken descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_broken_dist_atr-0.4107-0.5 to 0.5
    how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches4≥ 3
    how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break24.9812 to 720
    how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches3≥ 3
    how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break65412 to 720

Point the research surface at any past minute yourself PRO

Historical comparison

Exact setup countedCompression · 15m ≥ 2 and Compression · 4h ≥ 2.7 and Cascade clustering ≥ 0.51 · Read at 1 minute before the move.These are the printed conditions only. The selected detector family does not change this automatically proposed combination. Edit it before testing the full recipe.

What the record says

The selected move lasts 10 hours. This comparison measures 24 hours after each historical match. Changing it uses the existing result.

Too few completed windows for a directional generalization.

OutcomeMatching setupSame-market referenceDifference
Finished at least 2% higher4 / 9 (44.4%)0 unavailable9,963 / 41,666 (23.9%)1535 unavailableNot reported
Finished at least 2% lower4 / 9 (44.4%)0 unavailable14,189 / 41,666 (34.1%)1535 unavailableNot reported
Reached +5% at any point8 / 9 (88.9%)0 unavailable11,680 / 41,713 (28.0%)1488 unavailableNot reported
Reached -5% at any point5 / 9 (55.6%)0 unavailable13,726 / 41,713 (32.9%)1488 unavailableNot reported

Reference: eligible minutes in the same market and scan period, without the proposed conditions. The 30-window reporting floor is not a significance test. Overlapping windows and shared market events can reduce independent evidence. Conditions were selected after seeing this move; confirmation needs unseen data.

Does this setup hold across its sector?

Open the proposed study with starting defaults. Review the evidence, refine the idea, then save it or monitor it if useful.

Multiple recorded sectors: sector_crypto, sector_defi. Choose one explicitly.

Starting defaults and coverage

Starting defaults: 2026-08-21 to 2026-09-20 UTC; finishes up 2% or more after 1 hour. Review or change the markets, dates, conditions and outcome before running. Current recorded classification and sector tags, not point-in-time membership. Historical membership may differ. Instrument history does not guarantee every setup input or outcome is present; actual study exclusions remain authoritative.

Choose a different recorded sector

520 sector crypto markets

115 DeFi sector markets

Choose the study population explicitly: This market only · All recorded crypto perpetuals

Watch the ignition replay Free replay covers the latest fully archived UTC day on 6 major markets. Pro reaches 90 days; Research reaches the whole recorded order book, which begins 15 May 2026. Earlier days are searchable but hold no book, so they cannot be replayed. Access is checked when you open a replay.

Evidence and counting
feature.candle_compression_15m + feature.candle_compression_4h + feature.cascade_clustering_index

Read at 1 minute before the move.

Of the 9 fires, 5 came before the move began and 3 happened while it was already under way. A fire during the move sees it; it does not telegraph it.

About 0.3 a day, on 4 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.

q#7e674f57 @ dataset fbafe5a9

This is not a similarity search. Each count matches the exact readings above and nothing else.

Picked in hindsight: the counts include every other time these readings appeared, not just this move.

Fires often arrive as clusters of consecutive minutes, and forward windows overlap. A cluster is one episode, not many independent trials.

If these counts read weaker than the move suggested, that is the tool working: the lead-up of a picked move always looks special until it is counted everywhere else.

Also counted

Book imbalance percentile ≤ 0.055 and Compression · 15m ≥ 2 and Compression · 4h ≥ 2.75 matches, 3 rose, 2 fell
feature.book_imbalance_pctrank + feature.candle_compression_15m + feature.candle_compression_4h

Read at 15 minutes before the move.

3 rose and 2 fell over 5 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.

Of the 5 fires, 2 came before the move began and 2 happened while it was already under way. A fire during the move sees it; it does not telegraph it.

About 0.2 a day over 31 days, but 2026-09-15 alone holds 60% of them: this is close to a single episode.

q#61aceefd @ dataset fbafe5a9
Compression · 15m ≤ 0.22 and Compression · 4h ≥ 2.7 and Cascade clustering ≥ 0.512 matches, 1 rose, 0 fell
feature.candle_compression_15m + feature.candle_compression_4h + feature.cascade_clustering_index

Read at 1 hour before the move.

1 rose and 0 fell over 1 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.

Of the 2 fires, 2 came before the move began; none were during it.

About 0.1 a day over 31 days, but 2026-08-22 alone holds 50% of them: this is close to a single episode.

q#3ad28744 @ dataset fbafe5a9

Every night the record counts what fired and what usually followed: the daily brief.

No account? Replay a real move tick by tick, free: TUT short squeeze · 9 Aug 2026.

SYNUSDT rose 169% into Sep 16. · Investigate a move