VICUSDT rose 147% into Aug 4. The record covers the whole lead-up.

Move window: 2026-08-03 08:00 to 2026-08-04 01:00 UTC. The record for VICUSDT currently ends 2026-08-07 00:00 UTC.

Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.89 and Lower wick · 15m ≥ 0.79 and Cascade clustering ≥ 0.57

feature.book_imbalance + feature.candle_lower_wick_15m + feature.cascade_clustering_index

Read at 15 minutes before the move.

Minutes like this appeared only 24 times in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed leaned up: 14 of the 24 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward rose (58%).

Of the 24 fires, 23 came before the move began and 1 happened while it was already under way. A fire during the move sees it; it does not telegraph it.

About 0.8 a day, on 14 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.

q#02f2d50a @ dataset 84e561d5

Best supported: Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.89 and Lower wick · 15m ≥ 0.79 and Cascade clustering ≥ 0.57, the combination with the most fires before the move began.

Opens this exact search in the research tool. Nothing runs until you confirm it there, and arming it as an alert sends a message when it next becomes true.

No account? Replay a real move tick by tick, free: EVAA short squeeze · 8 Jul 2026.

Picked in hindsight: the counts include every other time these readings appeared, not just this move.

What the minutes before it looked like

Where these readings were taken
the move beginsreadings taken here0.067450.023040.040630.07168Aug 2 06:00Aug 3 08:00Aug 4 05:00UTC · log price scale

Hourly candles. The marked lines are the minutes the readings came from: 1 minute, 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours and 24 hours before the move began. Every one of them sits before the move, never inside it.

A reading stands out when it sits outside the range it usually holds. The rules are fixed: the same ones the moment reader on the research page uses.

At 1 minute before the move, 5 of the 39 readings stood out. 2026-08-03 07:59 UTC
READINGBEFORE THE MOVESEARCHES FOR
Lower wick · 15m feature.candle_lower_wick_15m0.7912≥ 0.79
Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index0.5707≥ 0.57
Minutes to funding feature.mins_to_funding1≤ 1
Return · 15m feature.ret_15m0.01972≥ 0.019
VPIN regime feature.vpin_regimeelevatedelevated
At 15 minutes before the move, 6 of the 39 readings stood out. 2026-08-03 07:45 UTC
READINGBEFORE THE MOVESEARCHES FOR
Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance-0.8976≤ -0.89
Lower wick · 15m feature.candle_lower_wick_15m0.7912≥ 0.79
Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index0.5707≥ 0.57
Minutes to funding feature.mins_to_funding15≤ 15
Return · 1h feature.ret_1h-0.02573≤ -0.025
VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist-0.03365≤ -0.033
At 1 hour before the move, 6 of the 39 readings stood out. 2026-08-03 07:00 UTC
READINGBEFORE THE MOVESEARCHES FOR
Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance0.6048≥ 0.6
Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m0.3787≤ 0.38
Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15moutsideoutside
Upper wick · 15m feature.candle_upper_wick_15m0.6471≥ 0.64
Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index0.5711≥ 0.57
Return · 1h feature.ret_1h-0.03244≤ -0.032
At 4 hours before the move, 8 of the 39 readings stood out. 2026-08-03 04:00 UTC
READINGBEFORE THE MOVESEARCHES FOR
Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m5.263≥ 5.2
Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15minsideinside
Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index0.5748≥ 0.57
Realized vol percentile feature.realized_vol_pctrank1≥ 0.99
Return · 15m feature.ret_15m0.09522≥ 0.095
Return · 1h feature.ret_1h-0.1638≤ -0.16
VPIN regime feature.vpin_regimeelevatedelevated
VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist0.02895≥ 0.028
At 24 hours before the move, 3 of the 39 readings stood out. 2026-08-02 08:00 UTC
READINGBEFORE THE MOVESEARCHES FOR
Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance-0.6317≤ -0.63
Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index0.5856≥ 0.58
Minutes to funding feature.mins_to_funding0≤ 1

Also counted

This is not a similarity search. Each count matches the exact readings above and nothing else.

Lower wick · 15m ≥ 0.79 and Cascade clustering ≥ 0.57 and Minutes to funding ≤ 1

feature.candle_lower_wick_15m + feature.cascade_clustering_index + feature.mins_to_funding

Read at 1 minute before the move.

Minutes like this appeared only 6 times in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed leaned up: 5 of the 6 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward rose (83%).

Of the 6 fires, 6 came before the move began; none were during it.

About 0.2 a day, on 6 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.

q#8ec0b391 @ dataset 84e561d5

Book imbalance · top levels ≥ 0.6 and Compression · 15m ≤ 0.38 and Containment · 15m outside

feature.book_imbalance + feature.candle_compression_15m + feature.candle_containment_15m

Read at 1 hour before the move.

Minutes like this appeared only 2 times in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed leaned down: 2 of the 2 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward fell (100%).

Both are true: these readings sat before this rise, and the other times they appeared, what followed more often fell. That disagreement is the finding: a lead-up that looks special is not the same as one that usually comes before rises.

Of the 2 fires, 1 came before the move began; none were during it.

About 0.1 a day over 31 days, but 2026-08-03 alone holds 50% of them: this is close to a single episode.

q#ba44d5b8 @ dataset 84e561d5

Fires often arrive as clusters of consecutive minutes, and forward windows overlap. A cluster is one episode, not many independent trials.

If these counts read weaker than the move suggested, that is the tool working: the lead-up of a picked move always looks special until it is counted everywhere else.

Every night the record counts what fired and what usually followed: the daily brief.