XMRUSDT rose 27% into Aug 31. The record covers the whole lead-up.
Exact setup countedCompression · 15m ≤ 0.48 and Cascade clustering ≥ 0.5 and VWAP distance · day ≤ -0.02 · Read at 1 hour before the move.
Minutes like this appeared only 6 times in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed leaned up: 4 of the 6 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward rose (67%).
Opens this exact search in the research tool. Nothing runs until you confirm it there, and arming it as an alert sends a message when it next becomes true.
Evidence and counting
Read at 1 hour before the move.
Of the 6 fires, 6 came before the move began; none were during it.
About 0.2 a day over 31 days, but 2026-08-22 alone holds 67% of them: this is close to a single episode.
This is not a similarity search. Each count matches the exact readings above and nothing else.
Picked in hindsight: the counts include every other time these readings appeared, not just this move.
Fires often arrive as clusters of consecutive minutes, and forward windows overlap. A cluster is one episode, not many independent trials.
If these counts read weaker than the move suggested, that is the tool working: the lead-up of a picked move always looks special until it is counted everywhere else.
What the minutes before it looked like
Hourly candles. The marked lines are the minutes the readings came from: 1 minute, 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours and 24 hours before the move began. Every one of them sits before the move, never inside it.
A reading stands out when it sits outside the range it usually holds. The rules are fixed: the same ones the moment reader on the research page uses.
No recorded readings at 1 minute, 15 minutes, 4 hours, 24 hours before the move.
- -1h2026-08-26 20:00 UTC
At 1 hour before the move, 3 of the 39 readings stood out.
Compression · 15m ≤ 0.48Cascade clustering ≥ 0.5VWAP distance · day ≤ -0.02Show the full readings
READING BEFORE THE MOVE SEARCHES FOR Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m 0.4775 ≤ 0.48 Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.5068 ≥ 0.5 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist -0.02032 ≤ -0.02
Also counted
Every night the record counts what fired and what usually followed: the daily brief.
No account? Replay a real move tick by tick, free: TUT short squeeze · 9 Aug 2026.