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ADAUSDT liquidation cascade on October 12, 2026

ADAUSDT fell 7.2% at its peak, then round-tripped to finish 1.6% below its recorded baseline.

Investigate ADAUSDT →Research the setup at 21:41 UTC →🔒 Replay with Pro →

Free replays cover the last 7 days and selected events.

Peak move
-7.2%
Net move
-1.6%
Reported liquidations
$1.8M
Largest liquidation
$80K
Duration
21h 21m
Volume
$217M
Liquidation cascadeBinance
10-12 16:20 to 10-14 00:22 UTC · 15m candles
Key moments
Estimated liquidation zones

Candle-based estimates, not observed liquidation orders. As of 2026-10-14 00:10 UTC.

Key moments

Times in UTC. Select one to replay from that minute. Phase totals and extremes are retrospective; sequence details show when the closed-minute reading was known.
Fall to the lowRetrospective phase · $1K shorts reported liquidated · $1.6M longs reported liquidated · contract OI -0.9% · -7.2%Volume climax$3.2MFlash move-1.0%Range brokenDownward move · reference $0.2317 · trades 2.7×, volume 5.9× (5m average / prior 60m median) · known at 00:07:00 UTC close · $0.2294Largest long-liquidation minuteReported total over one minute; selected retrospectively · $161KRange break with expanding participationDownward move · reference $0.2317 · trades 3.6×, volume 8.0× (5m average / prior 60m median) · known at 00:08:00 UTC close · $0.2291
6 more momentsLargest liquidationlongs liquidated · $80KLow$0.2239After the extremeRetrospective phase · $52K shorts reported liquidated · $136K longs reported liquidated · contract OI -2.2% · +6.0%Back inside the broken rangeDownward move · reference $0.2317 · trades 0.6×, volume 0.5× (5m average / prior 60m median) · known at 01:45:00 UTC close · $0.2317Pattern breakdouble bottom · 100%Largest short-liquidation minuteReported total over one minute; selected retrospectively · $13K

Research markers

Why the liquidation cascade label?

These observations support the label. They do not show what caused the move or who started it.

Label confidence 0.87 of 1longs liquidated 97%liquidations $1.8Mchart pattern confirmed

Other ADAUSDT events

Examples, not a historical success rate.

Liquidation cascadePeak -4.8%Short squeezePeak +9.0%Volatility spikePeak +1.2%
3 more eventsVolatility spikePeak +2.0%Liquidation cascadePeak -12.8%Liquidation cascadePeak -6.3%
Browse all ADAUSDT events →

Similar events in other markets

3 other markets sold off in the same window, grouped because their order-flow toxicity (VPIN) moved together, not by price correlation.
APTAPTUSDT squeezePeak +7.6%METMETUSDT crashPeak -9.0%ERAERAUSDT crashPeak -8.3%
More like this
ARCARCUSDT cascadePeak -64.3%RAT1000RATSUSDT cascadePeak -58.6%USUSUSDT cascadePeak -65.1%
2 more eventsMINMINAUSDT cascadePeak -53.8%EPIEPICUSDT cascadePeak -49.5%
More liquidation cascade events →

How these numbers are measured

Peak and net moves start from the recorded baseline, which can differ from the replay's first price.

Liquidations are reported venue snapshots; orders a venue left out are not rebuilt.

Exact definitions
  • Replay window: 2026-10-12T21:41:00.000Z to 2026-10-13T19:02:00.000Z.
  • Recorded baseline: $0.2413. High: $0.2414. End: $0.2374.
  • Detected Oct 13, 2026 · 00:06 UTC. Episode baseline $0.2413 at Oct 12, 2026 · 21:41 UTC.
  • The liquidation cascade label describes the detected event class, so a later reversal changes the net move without silently changing the classification.
  • Price-extreme and wick times mark the source candle, not the exact tick.
Data provenance and methodology →
What the replay includes
Recorded streams
Order book (L2)1.8MTrades / tape105KLiquidations335Liquidation heatmapVPIN / toxicityOI & positioningFull snapshots1.3K
What you will see
  1. ADAUSDT fell 7.2% at its peak, then round-tripped to finish 1.6% below its recorded baseline. The event lasted 21h 21m.
  2. Forced selling tripping liquidation levels in sequence: a cascade, not one seller.
  3. Moved with 3 other symbols in the same window: possible contagion.
  4. $1.8M liquidated, largest reported liquidation $80K.
  5. A double bottom broke out at 02:25 UTC (100% confidence).