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LUMFrom

LUMIAUSDT liquidation cascade on October 12, 2026

LUMIAUSDT fell as much as 20.9% and finished 13.9% below its recorded baseline.

Investigate LUMIAUSDT →Research the setup at 07:21 UTC →🔒 Replay with Pro →

Free replays cover the last 7 days and selected events.

Peak move
-20.9%
Net move
-13.9%
Reported liquidations
$291K
Largest liquidation
$10K
Duration
48h
Volume
$78.7M
Liquidation cascadeBinance
10-11 19:21 to 10-14 19:21 UTC · 30m candles
Key moments
Estimated liquidation zones

Candle-based estimates, not observed liquidation orders. As of 2026-10-14 19:10 UTC.

Key moments

Times in UTC. Select one to replay from that minute. Phase totals and extremes are retrospective; sequence details show when the closed-minute reading was known.
Fall to the lowRetrospective phase · $32K shorts reported liquidated · $247K longs reported liquidated · contract OI -15.1% · -20.9%Large rejecting wick2.7%Volume climax$1.2MLargest liquidationlongs liquidated · $10KLargest long-liquidation minuteReported total over one minute; selected retrospectively · $24KPattern breakdouble top · 100%
6 more momentsPattern breakdouble bottom · 88%Range brokenDownward move · reference $0.1083 · trades 1.8×, volume 3.2× (5m average / prior 60m median) · known at 14:52:00 UTC close · $0.1062Range break with expanding participationDownward move · reference $0.1083 · trades 5.0×, volume 9.4× (5m average / prior 60m median) · known at 14:53:00 UTC close · $0.1037Flash move-5.8%Low$0.0908After the extremeRetrospective phase · $5K shorts reported liquidated · $7K longs reported liquidated · contract OI -4.1% · +8.9%

Research markers

Why the liquidation cascade label?

These observations support the label. They do not show what caused the move or who started it.

Label confidence 0.87 of 1longs liquidated 87%liquidations $291Kchart pattern confirmed

How these numbers are measured

Peak and net moves start from the recorded baseline, which can differ from the replay's first price.

Liquidations are reported venue snapshots; orders a venue left out are not rebuilt.

Exact definitions
  • Replay window: 2026-10-12T07:21:00.000Z to 2026-10-14T07:21:00.000Z.
  • Recorded baseline: $0.11484. High: $0.11945. End: $0.09887.
  • Detected Oct 10, 2026 · 07:21 UTC. Episode baseline $0.08268 at Oct 10, 2026 · 06:37 UTC.
  • The liquidation cascade label describes the detected event class, so a later reversal changes the net move without silently changing the classification.
  • Price-extreme and wick times mark the source candle, not the exact tick.
Data provenance and methodology →
What the replay includes
Recorded streams
Order book (L2)4.1MTrades / tape850KLiquidations363Liquidation heatmapVPIN / toxicityOI & positioningFull snapshots2.9K
What you will see
  1. LUMIAUSDT fell as much as 20.9% and finished 13.9% below its recorded baseline. The event lasted 48h.
  2. Forced selling tripping liquidation levels in sequence: a cascade, not one seller.
  3. $291K liquidated, largest reported liquidation $10K.
  4. Capitulation wick of 2.7% at 10:01 UTC.
  5. A double top broke out at 01:03 UTC (100% confidence).