Research is a work in progress. Estimated release: 1 December 2026. Our goal is to make it a search engine for trading setups in recorded crypto markets.
Binance USDT-MAKEUSDT rose 408% on 2 September 2026
Picked after the rise, on one market.
Next stepWhat happened
Price opened the 15:00 hour at 0.008824 and reached a highest trade of 0.04486 in the 21:00 hour; the tested readings were taken at 14:00.
What stood out at 14:00
- 15-minute range against usual5.329Tested: 5.3 or higher
- Open interest change rank1Tested: 0.99 or higher
- Volatility rank1Tested: 0.99 or higher
14:00 always meets its own rules.
What the record says
Too few results to compare
Price at least 2% higher after 30 minutes
11 matches in 43,168 minutes checked.
Picked after the rise, on one market.
Evidence
Does it hold on more dates?
Nothing runs until you press Run.
Exactly what was counted3 conditions · 11 of 43,168 minutes · saved text
- 15-minute range against usual 5.3 or higher. The last finished 15-minute candle's high to low range, as a multiple of its usual range.Compression · 15m ≥ 5.3 · feature.candle_compression_15m
- Open interest change rank 0.99 or higher. How unusual the change in open positions was, opening or closing, on a 0 to 1 scale.OI velocity percentile ≥ 0.99 · feature.oi_velocity_pctrank
- Volatility rank 0.99 or higher. How volatile the last hour was against this market's history, on a 0 to 1 scale.Realized vol percentile ≥ 0.99 · feature.realized_vol_pctrank
Read at 1 hour before the move.
Read at 14:00 UTC on 2 September, one hour before the selected 15:00 start.
AKE only, 7 August to 5 September 2026 (UTC, ending 6 September 00:00); all 3 readings had values on 43,168 of those minutes.
Reference: every AKE minute over the same dates, matches included; it is not a matched control group.
Outcome: the close exactly 30 minutes later, not the highest or lowest price along the way.
The 15:00 start was picked automatically after the move.
AKEUSDT stored readings end 2026-09-06 00:00 UTC (exclusive). Prices and tick replay have separate coverage.
The feature manifest spans the lead-up. Individual minutes or inputs can still be unavailable.
This is not a similarity search. Each count matches the exact readings above and nothing else.
Picked in hindsight: the counts include every other time these readings appeared, not just this move.
Fires often arrive as clusters of consecutive minutes, and forward windows overlap. A cluster is one episode, not many independent trials.
If these counts read weaker than the move suggested, that is the tool working: the lead-up of a picked move always looks special until it is counted everywhere else.
Saved study q#f21e5e71 @ dataset efb3e60c, counted 6 Sep 2026 07:59 UTC.
Saved summary text, as written 6 Sep 2026
Written automatically when this study was saved and kept as written; where a line differs from the counts above, the counts govern.
Minutes like this appeared only 11 times in the 43,168 minutes searched. What followed was more often higher: 7 of the 11 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward rose (64%).
7 rose and 4 fell over 11 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
About 0.4 a day, on 8 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
It counts the single minute on 6 September as a day.
The other reading times, as written
From 1 minute before
Minutes like this appeared only 4 times in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed was close to a coin flip: 2 rose and 2 fell over the next 30 minutes (4 of the 4 matches have a complete 30 minutes forward).
2 rose and 2 fell over 4 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
About 0.1 a day over 31 days, but 2026-09-02 alone holds 50% of them: this is close to a single episode.
From 4 hours before
Minutes like this appeared only 1 time in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed was more often higher: 1 of the 1 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward rose (100%).
1 rose and 0 fell over 1 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
About 0 a day over 31 days, but 2026-09-02 alone holds 100% of them: this is close to a single episode.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 11 matches came on 8 of 30 days.
When the matches happened8 of 30 days
- 13 Aug2 matches
- 14 Aug1 match
- 22 Aug1 match
- 26 Aug2 matches
- 27 Aug1 match
- 29 Aug1 match
- 2 Sep2 matches
- 5 Sep1 match
No matches on the other 22 days.
Of the 11 matches, 9 came before the rise began, 0 during it and 2 after it.
Neighbouring minutes overlap, so these are not 11 separate trials.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 11 matches came on 8 of 30 days.
Other time frames30 minutes to 7 days
The answer uses 30 minutes, the time frame this study counted by default. Each row counts the same matches at a later close, in both directions. The bars show how often price was 2% or more higher at each time frame: first the matches, then any AKE minute.
- 30 minutes
3 of 11 were 2% or more lower; any AKE minute 3,937 of 43,171 (9.1%).
Every match has a 30-minute close.
- 1 hour
5 of 11 were 2% or more lower; any AKE minute 5,859 of 43,141 (13.6%).
Every match has a 1-hour close.
- 4 hours
4 of 11 were 2% or more lower; any AKE minute 11,799 of 42,961 (27.5%).
Every match has a 4-hour close.
- 24 hours
4 of 10 were 2% or more lower; any AKE minute 15,561 of 41,761 (37.3%).
1 without a 24-hour close yet, left out.
At least 1 of these windows overlap the rise.
- 72 hours
3 of 10 were 2% or more lower; any AKE minute 13,842 of 38,881 (35.6%).
1 without a 72-hour close yet, left out.
At least 1 of these windows overlap the rise.
- 7 days
1 of 8 was 2% or more lower; any AKE minute 13,511 of 33,121 (40.8%).
3 without a 7-day close yet, left out.
At least 2 of these windows overlap the rise.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 11 matches came on 8 of 30 days.
Readings at five times before the rise24 hours to 1 minute before · 2 other times tried
Highlights follow fixed rules, not significance tests. Proposed conditions round values or use ranges; inspect them before running.
24 hours before · 1 Sep 15:00 UTC · 4 of 58 stood out
Order book tilt 0.76 or higherLiquidation bunching 0.57 or higherTouches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance 0.7682 ≥ 0.76 Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.5766 ≥ 0.57 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 93 12 to 720 4 hours before · 2 Sep 11:00 UTC · 6 of 58 stood out
15-minute range against usual 0.29 or lower4-hour range against usual 0.5 or lowerContainment (15m) is insideLiquidation bunching 0.54 or higherTouches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m 0.2898 ≤ 0.29 the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_4h 0.4981 ≤ 0.5 Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15m inside inside Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.5462 ≥ 0.54 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 113 12 to 720 1 hour before · 2 Sep 14:00 UTC · 10 of 58 stood out
15-minute range against usual 5.3 or higher1-hour range against usual 5.7 or higherLiquidation bunching 0.54 or higherTouches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursOpen interest change rank 0.99 or higherVolatility rank 0.99 or higher15-minute price change 0.074 or higher1-hour price change 0.19 or higherDistance from the day's average price 0.13 or higherShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m 5.329 ≥ 5.3 the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_1h 5.796 ≥ 5.7 Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.5417 ≥ 0.54 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 116 12 to 720 OI velocity percentile feature.oi_velocity_pctrank 1 ≥ 0.99 Realized vol percentile feature.realized_vol_pctrank 1 ≥ 0.99 Return · 15m feature.ret_15m 0.07451 ≥ 0.074 Return · 1h feature.ret_1h 0.1911 ≥ 0.19 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist 0.1323 ≥ 0.13 15 minutes before · 2 Sep 14:45 UTC · 10 of 58 stood out
15-minute range against usual 2 or higher1-hour range against usual 5.7 or higherLower wick (15m) 0.67 or higherLiquidation bunching 0.61 or higherTouches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursVolatility rank 0.99 or higher15-minute price change -0.039 or lower1-hour price change -0.12 or lowerDistance from the day's average price -0.1 or lowerShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m 2.008 ≥ 2 the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_1h 5.796 ≥ 5.7 Lower wick · 15m feature.candle_lower_wick_15m 0.6792 ≥ 0.67 Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.6103 ≥ 0.61 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 116.8 12 to 720 Realized vol percentile feature.realized_vol_pctrank 1 ≥ 0.99 Return · 15m feature.ret_15m -0.03969 ≤ -0.039 Return · 1h feature.ret_1h -0.1265 ≤ -0.12 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist -0.1043 ≤ -0.1 1 minute before · 2 Sep 14:59 UTC · 9 of 58 stood out
15-minute range against usual 2 or higher1-hour range against usual 5.7 or higherLower wick (15m) 0.67 or higherLiquidation bunching 0.62 or higherTouches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursVolatility rank 0.99 or higher15-minute price change 0.099 or higher1-hour price change -0.094 or lowerShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m 2.008 ≥ 2 the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_1h 5.796 ≥ 5.7 Lower wick · 15m feature.candle_lower_wick_15m 0.6792 ≥ 0.67 Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.6284 ≥ 0.62 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 117 12 to 720 Realized vol percentile feature.realized_vol_pctrank 0.9998 ≥ 0.99 Return · 15m feature.ret_15m 0.09935 ≥ 0.099 Return · 1h feature.ret_1h -0.09471 ≤ -0.094
Two other reading times we tried 4 and 1 matches
1 minute before (14:59): 15-minute range against usual 2 or higher, 1-hour range against usual 5.7 or higher, volatility rank 0.99 or higher.
Compression · 15m ≥ 2 and the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline ≥ 5.7 and Realized vol percentile ≥ 0.99
4 matches: price was 2% or more higher after 30 minutes in 1 of 4, and 2% or more lower in 1 of 4.
Of the 4 matches, 2 came before the rise began, 0 during it and 2 after it.
4 hours before (11:00): 15-minute range against usual 0.29 or lower, 4-hour range against usual 0.5 or lower, containment (15m) is inside.
Compression · 15m ≤ 0.29 and the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline ≤ 0.5 and Containment · 15m inside
1 match: price was 2% or more higher after 30 minutes in 0 of 1, and 2% or more lower in 0 of 1.
Of the 1 match, 1 came before the rise began, 0 during it and 0 after it.
Fewer than 30 results, so no rate is printed.
No set had 30 matches before the rise; the saved study leads with the one that had the most.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 11 matches came on 8 of 30 days.
Hourly candles around the risefull context, lead-up, move
The 15:00 start was picked after the move.
Hourly candles, UTC. The marked lines are the minutes the readings came from: 1 minute, 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours and 24 hours before the selected start.
Other ways to test itsame dates
- This market only
- The 71 sector alpha markets · No result for these markets has been measured.
- Every recorded market
Same 3 conditions on AKE, 8 July to 6 August 2026.
Each opens Review the test.
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