Research is a work in progress. Estimated release: 1 December 2026. Our goal is to make it a search engine for trading setups in recorded crypto markets.
Binance USDT-MBEATUSDT rose 111% on 28 July 2026
Picked after the rise, on one market.
Next stepWhat happened
Price opened the 06:00 hour at 3.016 and reached a highest trade of 6.365 in the 17:00 hour; the tested readings were taken at 05:59.
What stood out at 05:59
- Order book tilt0.52Tested: 0.52 or higher
- Order book lopsidedness0.04912Tested: 0.05 or lower
- Volatility rank0.9428Tested: 0.94 or higher
05:59 always meets its own rules.
What the record says
No counts were saved to compare, only the summary text
Picked after the rise, on one market.
Evidence
Does it hold on other dates?
Nothing runs until you press Run.
Exactly what was counted3 conditions · 16 of 43,201 minutes · saved text
Saved summary text, as written 3 Aug 2026
Written automatically when this study was saved and kept as written; where a line differs from the counts above, the counts govern.
Minutes like this appeared only 16 times in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed leaned up: 9 of the 16 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward rose (56%).
About 0.5 a day, on 13 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
The other reading times, as written
From 15 minutes before
Minutes like this appeared only 2 times in the 43,199 minutes searched. What followed was close to a coin flip: 1 rose and 1 fell over the next 30 minutes (2 of the 2 matches have a complete 30 minutes forward).
About 0.1 a day over 31 days, but 2026-07-11 alone holds 50% of them: this is close to a single episode.
From 1 hour before
Minutes like this appeared only 2 times in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed leaned up: 2 of the 2 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward rose (100%).
About 0.1 a day over 31 days, but 2026-07-27 alone holds 50% of them: this is close to a single episode.
Picked after the rise, on one market.
- Order book tilt 0.52 or higher. Size at the best bid against the best ask; above 0 means more bids, below 0 more asks.Book imbalance · top levels ≥ 0.52 · feature.book_imbalance
- Order book lopsidedness 0.05 or lower. How lopsided the sizes at the best bid and ask were, either way, against recent readings; low means unusually even.Book imbalance percentile ≤ 0.05 · feature.book_imbalance_pctrank
- Volatility rank 0.94 or higher. How volatile the last hour was against this market's history, on a 0 to 1 scale.Realized vol percentile ≥ 0.94 · feature.realized_vol_pctrank
Read at 1 minute before the move.
Read at 05:59 UTC on 28 July, one minute before the selected 06:00 start.
BEAT only, 4 July to 2 August 2026 (UTC, ending 3 August 00:00); all 3 readings had values on 43,201 of those minutes.
Reference: every BEAT minute over the same dates, matches included; it is not a matched control group.
Outcome: the close exactly 30 minutes later, not the highest or lowest price along the way.
The 06:00 start was picked automatically after the move.
BEATUSDT stored readings end 2026-08-03 00:00 UTC (exclusive). Prices and tick replay have separate coverage.
The feature manifest spans the lead-up. Individual minutes or inputs can still be unavailable.
This is not a similarity search. Each count matches the exact readings above and nothing else.
Picked in hindsight: the counts include every other time these readings appeared, not just this move.
Fires often arrive as clusters of consecutive minutes, and forward windows overlap. A cluster is one episode, not many independent trials.
If these counts read weaker than the move suggested, that is the tool working: the lead-up of a picked move always looks special until it is counted everywhere else.
Saved study q#b36f8a58 @ dataset b91f2197, counted 3 Aug 2026 06:59 UTC.
When the matches happened
Of the 16 matches, 13 came before the rise began, 2 during it and 1 after it.
Neighbouring minutes overlap, so these are not 16 separate trials.
Picked after the rise, on one market.
Readings at five times before the rise24 hours to 1 minute before · 2 other times tried
Highlights follow fixed rules, not significance tests. Proposed conditions round values or use ranges; inspect them before running.
24 hours before · 27 Jul 06:00 UTC · 2 of 33 stood out
Liquidation bunching 0.69 or higher1-hour price change 0.021 or higherShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.6918 ≥ 0.69 Return · 1h feature.ret_1h 0.02182 ≥ 0.021 4 hours before · 28 Jul 02:00 UTC · 5 of 33 stood out
Containment (15m) is insideLiquidation bunching 0.73 or higher15-minute price change 0.028 or higher1-hour price change 0.08 or higherDistance from the day's average price 0.068 or higherShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15m inside inside Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.7384 ≥ 0.73 Return · 15m feature.ret_15m 0.02881 ≥ 0.028 Return · 1h feature.ret_1h 0.08069 ≥ 0.08 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist 0.06872 ≥ 0.068 1 hour before · 28 Jul 05:00 UTC · 5 of 33 stood out
Order book tilt -0.88 or lowerEngulfing (1h) is bullishLiquidation bunching 0.69 or higher1-hour price change 0.041 or higherDistance from the day's average price 0.054 or higherShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance -0.8838 ≤ -0.88 Engulfing · 1h feature.candle_engulfing_1h bullish bullish Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.6975 ≥ 0.69 Return · 1h feature.ret_1h 0.04106 ≥ 0.041 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist 0.05404 ≥ 0.054 15 minutes before · 28 Jul 05:45 UTC · 7 of 33 stood out
Order book tilt 0.87 or higherEngulfing (1h) is bullishLower wick (15m) 0.61 or higherLiquidation bunching 0.68 or higherOpen interest change rank 0.99 or higher1-hour price change 0.034 or higherDistance from the day's average price 0.077 or higherShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance 0.8765 ≥ 0.87 Engulfing · 1h feature.candle_engulfing_1h bullish bullish Lower wick · 15m feature.candle_lower_wick_15m 0.6154 ≥ 0.61 Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.6865 ≥ 0.68 OI velocity percentile feature.oi_velocity_pctrank 0.995 ≥ 0.99 Return · 1h feature.ret_1h 0.03453 ≥ 0.034 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist 0.0775 ≥ 0.077 1 minute before · 28 Jul 05:59 UTC · 9 of 33 stood out
Order book tilt 0.52 or higherOrder book lopsidedness 0.05 or lowerEngulfing (1h) is bullishLower wick (15m) 0.61 or higherLiquidation bunching 0.65 or higherVolatility rank 0.94 or higher15-minute price change 0.012 or higher1-hour price change 0.041 or higherDistance from the day's average price 0.066 or higherShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance 0.52 ≥ 0.52 Book imbalance percentile feature.book_imbalance_pctrank 0.04912 ≤ 0.05 Engulfing · 1h feature.candle_engulfing_1h bullish bullish Lower wick · 15m feature.candle_lower_wick_15m 0.6154 ≥ 0.61 Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.6505 ≥ 0.65 Realized vol percentile feature.realized_vol_pctrank 0.9428 ≥ 0.94 Return · 15m feature.ret_15m 0.01202 ≥ 0.012 Return · 1h feature.ret_1h 0.04158 ≥ 0.041 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist 0.06624 ≥ 0.066
Two other reading times we tried 2 and 2 matches
15 minutes before (05:45): order book tilt 0.87 or higher, engulfing (1h) is bullish, open interest change rank 0.99 or higher.
Book imbalance · top levels ≥ 0.87 and Engulfing · 1h bullish and OI velocity percentile ≥ 0.99
2 matches.
Of the 2 matches, 2 came before the rise began, 0 during it and 0 after it.
1 hour before (05:00): order book tilt -0.88 or lower, engulfing (1h) is bullish, liquidation bunching 0.69 or higher.
Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.88 and Engulfing · 1h bullish and Cascade clustering ≥ 0.69
2 matches.
Of the 2 matches, 2 came before the rise began, 0 during it and 0 after it.
Fewer than 30 results, so no rate is printed.
No set had 30 matches before the rise; the saved study leads with the one that had the most.
Picked after the rise, on one market.
Hourly candles around the risefull context, lead-up, move
The 06:00 start was picked after the move, and the hour before was already rising.
Hourly candles, UTC. The marked lines are the minutes the readings came from: 1 minute, 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours and 24 hours before the selected start.
Other ways to test itsame dates
Same 3 conditions on BEAT, 4 June to 3 July 2026.
Each opens Review the test.
Running needs a free account and uses your allowance; you see the cost first.