Research is a work in progress. Estimated release: 1 December 2026. Our goal is to make it a search engine for trading setups in recorded crypto markets.
Binance USDT-MBLESSUSDT rose 174% on 1 August 2026
Picked after the rise, on one market.
Next stepWhat happened
Price opened the 02:00 hour at 0.008197 and reached a highest trade of 0.0225 in the 01:00 hour; the tested readings were taken at 01:45.
What stood out at 01:45
- Order book tilt0.8749Tested: 0.87 or higher
- Upper wick (15m)0.7288Tested: 0.72 or higher
01:45 always meets its own rules.
What the record says
No counts were saved to compare, only the summary text
Picked after the rise, on one market.
Evidence
Does it hold on other dates?
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Exactly what was counted2 conditions · 64 of 43,201 minutes · saved text
Saved summary text, as written 7 Aug 2026
Written automatically when this study was saved and kept as written; where a line differs from the counts above, the counts govern.
Minutes like this appeared 64 times in the 43,201 minutes searched (0.1%). What followed was close to a coin flip: 35 rose and 29 fell over the next 30 minutes (64 of the 64 matches have a complete 30 minutes forward).
About 2.1 a day, on 27 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
The other reading times, as written
From 1 minute before
Minutes like this appeared 78 times in the 43,201 minutes searched (0.2%). What followed was close to a coin flip: 41 rose and 37 fell over the next 30 minutes (78 of the 78 matches have a complete 30 minutes forward).
About 2.5 a day, on 29 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
From 1 hour before
Minutes like this appeared only 22 times in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed was close to a coin flip: 12 rose and 10 fell over the next 30 minutes (22 of the 22 matches have a complete 30 minutes forward).
About 0.7 a day, on 16 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
Picked after the rise, on one market.
- Order book tilt 0.87 or higher. Size at the best bid against the best ask; above 0 means more bids, below 0 more asks.Book imbalance · top levels ≥ 0.87 · feature.book_imbalance
- Upper wick (15m) 0.72 or higher.Upper wick · 15m ≥ 0.72 · feature.candle_upper_wick_15m
Read at 15 minutes before the move.
Read at 01:45 UTC on 1 August, 15 minutes before the selected 02:00 start.
BLESS only, 6 July to 4 August 2026 (UTC, ending 5 August 00:00); all 2 readings had values on 43,201 of those minutes.
Reference: every BLESS minute over the same dates, matches included; it is not a matched control group.
Outcome: the close exactly 30 minutes later, not the highest or lowest price along the way.
The 02:00 start was picked automatically after the move.
BLESSUSDT stored readings end 2026-08-05 00:00 UTC (exclusive). Prices and tick replay have separate coverage.
The feature manifest spans the lead-up. Individual minutes or inputs can still be unavailable.
This is not a similarity search. Each count matches the exact readings above and nothing else.
Picked in hindsight: the counts include every other time these readings appeared, not just this move.
Fires often arrive as clusters of consecutive minutes, and forward windows overlap. A cluster is one episode, not many independent trials.
If these counts read weaker than the move suggested, that is the tool working: the lead-up of a picked move always looks special until it is counted everywhere else.
Saved study q#9987626d @ dataset 9dad0852, counted 7 Aug 2026 02:52 UTC.
When the matches happened
Of the 64 matches, 57 came before the rise began, 4 during it and 3 after it.
Neighbouring minutes overlap, so these are not 64 separate trials.
Picked after the rise, on one market.
Readings at five times before the rise24 hours to 1 minute before · 2 other times tried
Highlights follow fixed rules, not significance tests. Proposed conditions round values or use ranges; inspect them before running.
24 hours before · 31 Jul 02:00 UTC · 1 of 39 stood out
Order book tilt -0.91 or lowerShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance -0.9185 ≤ -0.91 4 hours before · 31 Jul 22:00 UTC · 3 of 39 stood out
Order book tilt -0.9 or lowerContainment (15m) is insideUpper wick (15m) 0.73 or higherShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance -0.9069 ≤ -0.9 Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15m inside inside Upper wick · 15m feature.candle_upper_wick_15m 0.7368 ≥ 0.73 1 hour before · 1 Aug 01:00 UTC · 4 of 39 stood out
Order book tilt 0.88 or higherContainment (15m) is insideLower wick (15m) 0.69 or higherTaker buy share (15m) 0.69 or higherShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance 0.8821 ≥ 0.88 Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15m inside inside Lower wick · 15m feature.candle_lower_wick_15m 0.7 ≥ 0.69 Taker buy share · 15m feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m 0.6938 ≥ 0.69 15 minutes before · 1 Aug 01:45 UTC · 2 of 39 stood out
Order book tilt 0.87 or higherUpper wick (15m) 0.72 or higherShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance 0.8749 ≥ 0.87 Upper wick · 15m feature.candle_upper_wick_15m 0.7288 ≥ 0.72 1 minute before · 1 Aug 01:59 UTC · 1 of 39 stood out
Upper wick (15m) 0.72 or higherShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Upper wick · 15m feature.candle_upper_wick_15m 0.7288 ≥ 0.72
Two other reading times we tried 78 and 22 matches
1 minute before (01:59): upper wick (15m) 0.72 or higher.
Upper wick · 15m ≥ 0.72
78 matches.
Of the 78 matches, 68 came before the rise began, 5 during it and 5 after it.
1 hour before (01:00): order book tilt 0.88 or higher, containment (15m) is inside, lower wick (15m) 0.69 or higher.
Book imbalance · top levels ≥ 0.88 and Containment · 15m inside and Lower wick · 15m ≥ 0.69
22 matches.
Of the 22 matches, 21 came before the rise began, 1 during it and 0 after it.
Fewer than 30 results, so no rate is printed.
The saved study leads with 01:45: the narrowest set with at least 30 matches before the rise.
Picked after the rise, on one market.
Hourly candles around the risefull context, lead-up, move
The 02:00 start was picked after the move.
Hourly candles, UTC. The marked lines are the minutes the readings came from: 1 minute, 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours and 24 hours before the selected start.
Other ways to test itsame dates
Same 2 conditions on BLESS, 6 June to 5 July 2026.
Each opens Review the test.
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