BNCUSDT rose into Sep 8
+78%
Counted on 2026-09-13, against a record covering to 2026-09-13 00:00 UTC. These numbers are frozen: this page will always say what it said the day it was written.
This move is in the event archive as a pump 4h on 2026-09-07. Open the archived event
Exact setup countedBook imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.85 and Book imbalance percentile ≤ 0.066 and Compression · 15m ≤ 0.45 · Read at 1 minute before the move.
13 rose and 12 fell over 25 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
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Evidence and counting
Read at 1 minute before the move.
Of the 31 fires, 19 came before the move began; none were during it.
About 1 a day, on 16 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
This is not a similarity search. Each count matches the exact readings above and nothing else.
Picked in hindsight: the counts include every other time these readings appeared, not just this move.
Fires often arrive as clusters of consecutive minutes, and forward windows overlap. A cluster is one episode, not many independent trials.
If these counts read weaker than the move suggested, that is the tool working: the lead-up of a picked move always looks special until it is counted everywhere else.
Explore the move and its lead-up
Hourly candles. The marked lines are the minutes the readings came from: 1 minute, 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours and 24 hours before the selected start. These five samples test the lead-up only, not the full move. Use the minute inspector to explore during or after the move.
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Read the available analytical inputs at one minute, including measurements over the preceding windows. Compare with an hour earlier, then take a reading into Research to test it. Dates are UTC.
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Selected time: 2026-09-08 03:00 UTC. During the selected move: hindsight. Choose Read this minute to request it. Missing minutes remain unavailable.
Follow positioning and flow through the move
Read 10 sampled minutes from the selected start through one hour after the selected end. The peak hour has extra 15-minute samples. The end marks the peak hour, not the exact peak tick. These are separate snapshots, not a continuous tape or an advance-warning test.
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The OI score measures absolute USD-notional change, not signed contract growth. Zero 15-second liquidation intensity can coexist with substantial hourly liquidations. Binance liquidation amounts are observed publications, not complete venue totals.
Pre-start evidence: five separate snapshots
Highlighted readings and exact search conditions
Highlighted readings meet fixed rules, not a statistical-significance test. The observed value and proposed search condition are different: a condition rounds a value or selects an interval for a repeatable search.
- -24h2026-09-07 03:00 UTC
At 24 hours before the move, 6 of the 63 readings met a highlight rule.
Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.57the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline ≤ 0.38Containment · 15m insideCascade clustering ≥ 0.59how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the short descending resistance broke 12 to 720Show the full readings
READING BEFORE THE MOVE SEARCHES FOR Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance -0.5746 ≤ -0.57 the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_4h 0.3755 ≤ 0.38 Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15m inside inside Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.599 ≥ 0.59 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 202 12 to 720 - -4h2026-09-07 23:00 UTC
At 4 hours before the move, 12 of the 63 readings met a highlight rule.
Book imbalance percentile ≤ 0.057the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline ≥ 2the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline ≥ 2.9Lower wick · 15m ≥ 0.79Sweep + reclaim · 15m bullishCascade clustering ≥ 0.59how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the short descending resistance broke 12 to 720Return · 1h ≤ -0.02Taker buy share · 15m ≤ 0.32Toxic flow (VPIN) ≥ 0.56VPIN regime elevatedShow the full readings
READING BEFORE THE MOVE SEARCHES FOR Book imbalance percentile feature.book_imbalance_pctrank 0.05616 ≤ 0.057 the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_1h 2.06 ≥ 2 the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_4h 2.915 ≥ 2.9 Lower wick · 15m feature.candle_lower_wick_15m 0.7931 ≥ 0.79 Sweep + reclaim · 15m feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_15m bullish bullish Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.5991 ≥ 0.59 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 222 12 to 720 Return · 1h feature.ret_1h -0.02093 ≤ -0.02 Taker buy share · 15m feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m 0.3102 ≤ 0.32 Toxic flow (VPIN) feature.vpin 0.5643 ≥ 0.56 VPIN regime feature.vpin_regime elevated elevated - -1h2026-09-08 02:00 UTC
At 1 hour before the move, 10 of the 63 readings met a highlight rule.
the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline ≥ 2.3the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline ≥ 3.9Containment · 15m insideUpper wick · 15m ≥ 0.67Cascade clustering ≥ 0.59how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the short descending resistance broke 12 to 720Realized vol percentile ≥ 0.98Return · 1h ≥ 0.025VWAP distance · day ≥ 0.025Show the full readings
READING BEFORE THE MOVE SEARCHES FOR the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_1h 2.355 ≥ 2.3 the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_4h 3.95 ≥ 3.9 Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15m inside inside Upper wick · 15m feature.candle_upper_wick_15m 0.6792 ≥ 0.67 Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.5991 ≥ 0.59 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 225 12 to 720 Realized vol percentile feature.realized_vol_pctrank 0.98 ≥ 0.98 Return · 1h feature.ret_1h 0.02553 ≥ 0.025 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist 0.02568 ≥ 0.025 - -15m2026-09-08 02:45 UTC
At 15 minutes before the move, 8 of the 63 readings met a highlight rule.
Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.52Compression · 15m ≤ 0.45the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline ≥ 2.3the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline ≥ 3.9Upper wick · 15m ≥ 0.67Cascade clustering ≥ 0.59how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the short descending resistance broke 12 to 720Show the full readings
READING BEFORE THE MOVE SEARCHES FOR Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance -0.5296 ≤ -0.52 Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m 0.4414 ≤ 0.45 the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_1h 2.355 ≥ 2.3 the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_4h 3.95 ≥ 3.9 Upper wick · 15m feature.candle_upper_wick_15m 0.6757 ≥ 0.67 Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.5991 ≥ 0.59 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 225.8 12 to 720 - -1m2026-09-08 02:59 UTC
At 1 minute before the move, 9 of the 63 readings met a highlight rule.
Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.85Book imbalance percentile ≤ 0.066Compression · 15m ≤ 0.45the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline ≥ 2.3the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline ≥ 3.9Upper wick · 15m ≥ 0.67Cascade clustering ≥ 0.59how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the short descending resistance broke 12 to 720Show the full readings
READING BEFORE THE MOVE SEARCHES FOR Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance -0.856 ≤ -0.85 Book imbalance percentile feature.book_imbalance_pctrank 0.06587 ≤ 0.066 Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m 0.4414 ≤ 0.45 the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_1h 2.355 ≥ 2.3 the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_4h 3.95 ≥ 3.9 Upper wick · 15m feature.candle_upper_wick_15m 0.6757 ≥ 0.67 Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.5991 ≥ 0.59 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 226 12 to 720
Also counted
Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.52 and Compression · 15m ≤ 0.45 and the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline ≥ 2.317 matches, 6 rose, 4 fell
Read at 15 minutes before the move.
6 rose and 4 fell over 10 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
Of the 17 fires, 15 came before the move began and 1 happened while it was already under way. A fire during the move sees it; it does not telegraph it.
About 0.5 a day, on 13 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline ≥ 2.3 and the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline ≥ 3.9 and Realized vol percentile ≥ 0.985 matches, 1 rose, 4 fell
Read at 1 hour before the move.
1 rose and 4 fell over 5 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
Of the 5 fires, 3 came before the move began and 1 happened while it was already under way. A fire during the move sees it; it does not telegraph it.
About 0.2 a day over 31 days, but 2026-09-08 alone holds 80% of them: this is close to a single episode.
Every night the record counts what fired and what usually followed: the daily brief.
No account? Replay a real move tick by tick, free: TUT short squeeze · 9 Aug 2026.