BNCUSDT rose into Sep 8
+88%
Counted on 2026-09-12, against a record covering to 2026-09-12 00:00 UTC. These numbers are frozen: this page will always say what it said the day it was written.
This move is in the event archive as a pump 4h on 2026-09-07. Open the archived event
Exact setup countedBook imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.82 and Compression · 15m ≤ 0.41 and Containment · 15m inside · Read at 1 hour before the move.
After 30 minutes this setup fell 2% or more in 1 of 63 complete windows (1.6%), against 4.0% with no condition (952 of 23,541): 0.39x.
Best point inside 30 minutes reached +5% or more in 2 of 89 complete windows; worst point fell 5% or more in 1 of 89.
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Starting defaults and coverage
Starting defaults: 2026-08-13 to 2026-09-12 UTC; finishes up 2% or more after 1 hour. Review or change the markets, dates, conditions and outcome before running. Current recorded classification and sector tags, not point-in-time membership. Historical membership may differ. Instrument history does not guarantee every setup input or outcome is present; actual study exclusions remain authoritative.
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Watch the ignition replay Free replay covers the latest fully archived UTC day on 6 major markets. Pro reaches 90 days; Research reaches the whole recorded order book, which begins 15 May 2026. Earlier days are searchable but hold no book, so they cannot be replayed. Access is checked when you open a replay.
Evidence and counting
Read at 1 hour before the move.
Of the 101 fires, 71 came before the move began and 15 happened while it was already under way. A fire during the move sees it; it does not telegraph it.
About 3.3 a day, on 28 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
This is not a similarity search. Each count matches the exact readings above and nothing else.
Picked in hindsight: the counts include every other time these readings appeared, not just this move.
Fires often arrive as clusters of consecutive minutes, and forward windows overlap. A cluster is one episode, not many independent trials.
If these counts read weaker than the move suggested, that is the tool working: the lead-up of a picked move always looks special until it is counted everywhere else.
Explore the move and its lead-up
Hourly candles. The marked lines are the minutes the readings came from: 1 minute, 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours and 24 hours before the selected start. These five samples test the lead-up only, not the full move. Use the minute inspector to explore during or after the move.
Explore historical state
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Read the available analytical inputs at one minute, including measurements over the preceding windows. Compare with an hour earlier, then take a reading into Research to test it. Dates are UTC.
These additional reads are separate from the five pre-start samples. Observations during or after the selected move describe what had already happened; they are not advance evidence.
Selected time: 2026-09-05 08:00 UTC. During the selected move: hindsight. Choose Read this minute to request it. Missing minutes remain unavailable.
Follow positioning and flow through the move
Read 23 sampled minutes from the selected start through one hour after the selected end. The peak hour has extra 15-minute samples. The end marks the peak hour, not the exact peak tick. These are separate snapshots, not a continuous tape or an advance-warning test.
Historical access applies. Reads preserve each source revision; missing values stay unavailable. Contract OI, turnover and direct spot basis are not supplied by this table. Published premium is a different measure from direct basis.
No additional reads have run.
The OI score measures absolute USD-notional change, not signed contract growth. Zero 15-second liquidation intensity can coexist with substantial hourly liquidations. Binance liquidation amounts are observed publications, not complete venue totals.
Pre-start evidence: five separate snapshots
Highlighted readings and exact search conditions
Highlighted readings meet fixed rules, not a statistical-significance test. The observed value and proposed search condition are different: a condition rounds a value or selects an interval for a repeatable search.
- -24h2026-09-04 08:00 UTC
At 24 hours before the move, 10 of the 63 readings met a highlight rule.
the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline ≥ 4.5the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline ≥ 2.5Containment · 15m insideCascade clustering ≥ 0.59how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the short descending resistance broke 12 to 720Minutes to funding ≤ 1Realized vol percentile ≥ 0.99Return · 15m ≤ -0.011Return · 1h ≥ 0.037Show the full readings
READING BEFORE THE MOVE SEARCHES FOR the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_1h 4.597 ≥ 4.5 the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_4h 2.579 ≥ 2.5 Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15m inside inside Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.5934 ≥ 0.59 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 135 12 to 720 Minutes to funding feature.mins_to_funding 0 ≤ 1 Realized vol percentile feature.realized_vol_pctrank 0.9944 ≥ 0.99 Return · 15m feature.ret_15m -0.01189 ≤ -0.011 Return · 1h feature.ret_1h 0.03713 ≥ 0.037 - -4h2026-09-05 04:00 UTC
At 4 hours before the move, 7 of the 63 readings met a highlight rule.
Compression · 15m ≥ 2.4Sweep + reclaim · 1h bearishCascade clustering ≥ 0.59how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the short descending resistance broke 12 to 720OI velocity percentile ≥ 0.92Taker buy share · 15m ≥ 0.81Show the full readings
READING BEFORE THE MOVE SEARCHES FOR Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m 2.46 ≥ 2.4 Sweep + reclaim · 1h feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_1h bearish bearish Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.5975 ≥ 0.59 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 155 12 to 720 OI velocity percentile feature.oi_velocity_pctrank 0.925 ≥ 0.92 Taker buy share · 15m feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m 0.8104 ≥ 0.81 - -1h2026-09-05 07:00 UTC
At 1 hour before the move, 7 of the 63 readings met a highlight rule.
Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.82Compression · 15m ≤ 0.41Containment · 15m insideCascade clustering ≥ 0.59how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the short descending resistance broke 12 to 720VWAP distance · day ≥ 0.024Show the full readings
READING BEFORE THE MOVE SEARCHES FOR Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance -0.8211 ≤ -0.82 Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m 0.4074 ≤ 0.41 Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15m inside inside Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.5979 ≥ 0.59 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 158 12 to 720 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist 0.02409 ≥ 0.024 - -15m2026-09-05 07:45 UTC
At 15 minutes before the move, 6 of the 63 readings met a highlight rule.
Book imbalance · top levels ≥ 0.62Lower wick · 15m ≥ 0.66Cascade clustering ≥ 0.59how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the short descending resistance broke 12 to 720Minutes to funding ≤ 15Show the full readings
READING BEFORE THE MOVE SEARCHES FOR Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance 0.6218 ≥ 0.62 Lower wick · 15m feature.candle_lower_wick_15m 0.6667 ≥ 0.66 Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.5979 ≥ 0.59 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 158.8 12 to 720 Minutes to funding feature.mins_to_funding 15 ≤ 15 - -1m2026-09-05 07:59 UTC
At 1 minute before the move, 6 of the 63 readings met a highlight rule.
Lower wick · 15m ≥ 0.66Cascade clustering ≥ 0.59how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the short descending resistance broke 12 to 720Minutes to funding ≤ 1Taker buy share · 15m ≤ 0.29Show the full readings
READING BEFORE THE MOVE SEARCHES FOR Lower wick · 15m feature.candle_lower_wick_15m 0.6667 ≥ 0.66 Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.5979 ≥ 0.59 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 159 12 to 720 Minutes to funding feature.mins_to_funding 1 ≤ 1 Taker buy share · 15m feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m 0.2888 ≤ 0.29
Also counted
Lower wick · 15m ≥ 0.66 and Cascade clustering ≥ 0.59 and how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3139 matches, 33 rose, 37 fell
Read at 1 minute before the move.
After 30 minutes this setup fell 2% or more in 1 of 70 complete windows (1.4%), against 4.0% with no condition (952 of 23,541): 0.35x.
Best point inside 30 minutes reached +5% or more in 3 of 94 complete windows; worst point fell 5% or more in 0 of 94.
Of the 139 fires, 106 came before the move began and 21 happened while it was already under way. A fire during the move sees it; it does not telegraph it.
About 4.5 a day, on 26 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
Book imbalance · top levels ≥ 0.62 and Lower wick · 15m ≥ 0.66 and Cascade clustering ≥ 0.59113 matches, 42 rose, 32 fell
Read at 15 minutes before the move.
After 30 minutes this setup fell 2% or more in 2 of 74 complete windows (2.7%), against 4.0% with no condition (952 of 23,541): 0.67x.
Best point inside 30 minutes reached +5% or more in 3 of 92 complete windows; worst point fell 5% or more in 0 of 92.
Of the 113 fires, 83 came before the move began and 18 happened while it was already under way. A fire during the move sees it; it does not telegraph it.
About 3.6 a day, on 25 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
Every night the record counts what fired and what usually followed: the daily brief.
No account? Replay a real move tick by tick, free: TUT short squeeze · 9 Aug 2026.